Fedex St Jude

Ian

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Nick Price is an obvious favourite but I would rather bet in running as 10/1 is poor value - at some stage he will probably be bigger.
David Gossett was 2nd last time out, always plays well in the summer, Southwind is his home course - 66/1 Sporting Odds is too big.
Cannot help but give a passing mention to Mr Begay - he finally made a cut last week and played the best golf he has played in ages on one of his favourite courses - another is this week - I will be very surprised if he gets into contention but I will have a very small bet at 200/1 - again at Sporting Odds.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Might eye ball a couple consistant old times with good course form,Trip and Haas if over 10/1 to place.

Mattiace may get some consideration also. Ranks 9th in scoring ave here.
 
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milpalm

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Robert Allenby, 25/1 at Eurobet. Has struggled this year but was 12th in the US Open. It's about time he won again.

Jay Haas, 66/1 Centrebet. Has 3 top 20s the last 4 years here and won this in 1992. Played well when 12th in the US Open.

David Gossett, 66/1 Sportingodds. Local lad who showed glimpses of form when he was runner-up in the Buick Classic.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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got a early 1st rd play @ WSEX

Haas +110 -.5 stroke vs Flesch

Haas has not had opening rd here over par in last 13 attemps,Flesch has pair of 73's in 2 attemps.

Interesting note that Wsex has (+/-) strokes format for 1st rd.
Hope they continue had some nice ones last week.
 

AUMemphisTiger

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As a new member, didn't realize a golf discussion was a topic, so I posted my opinion in the off the wall area. Anyways, I absolutely love David Gosset(+105) against Jonathan Kaye(-125).
War Damn Eagle --DAK
 

bettingmad

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Robert Damron 150/1 0.5 EW Victor Chandler

I have been away recently and am out of touch so only prepared to risk a small amount on a longshot. Although having a poor year with only 3 top 30's, last year he did manage what a lot of these will never achieve when tasting victory in the Byron Nelson. Perhaps his good run here 3rd 1997, 7th 1998 & 2000 can inspire him to get back on track... then again he may miss the cut!

Sorry to hear your news Stan.
 

lostinamerica

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OUTRIGHTS

Cheers Ian -- Thanks for the heads up on David Gossett (was 50/1 @ Bet365) sleeping in his own bed and all that this week -- I had no trouble pulling the trigger on that one, given the deep golf roots in his family. Others with local angles that are worth tracking to see if the home cooking angle shows any signs of slumping include Loren Roberts, Shaun Micheel, and John Daly, while David Toms' swing coach Rob Akins is a local, and Bryce Molder is from only 160 miles down the road in Conway, Arkansas.

Dicky Pride (150/1 @ Bet365, and then 200/1 @5dimes) seems to rate as a shot at value rather than just a shot in the dark. I caught a segment on The Golf Channel about his medical ordeal, and how his sights have been squarely set on a return at this event, with family and friends along side. Plus he said he believes he is playing well. A lot of the same information on what he has been through is in an article at the Memphis link in DTB's post.

I'll probably add another Outright after I research the matchups, now that they are finally appearing at my outs -- I don't think they want to give us a sporting chance to pick winners.

ELSEWHERE:

Tom Watson (10/1 @ Bet365)
I'll hitch my wagon with the winless Watson. While value may not be there, I pretty much feel a need to be along for the ride.

Jim Thorpe (25/1 @ Bet365)
A pairing with Watson initially scared me as being a possible case of too many eggs in one basket, but his value was too hard to ignore. It starts with a solid record in USGA championships; he's having a stellar year; he's strong in 72 hole senior events and in senior majors; he has been strong in the hot summer months during his career, and has fared well on the senior tour after playing 8-10 consecutive events. He also seems to fit the profile of a motivated senior that relishes an opportunity to be a Big Dog with this go round. To boot, he found time this week to participate in a Congressional luncheon in D.C. for the First Tee program and speak directly on the issue of enhancing opportunities for minority kids in the game, and chimed in with an opinion on Caves Valley that, "It's a great golf course, but it doesn't have that bite yet that the USGA normally puts into thier golf courses." Full speed ahead. And did I mention he is paired with Tom Watson?

Padraig Harrington (10/1 @ Bet365)
A core of the U.S. Ryder Cup squad followed the U.S. Open by stepping up to the plate smartly in Hartford; now I hope it's Padraig's turn to perform with similar flair on home soil, and "go one better than I did last year" on a course where he also won an amateur title. His value looked more attractive than Justin Rose(16/1) in filling out my card, for now.

All Outrights are for 0.25* ($10) e.w.

GL
 
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lostinamerica

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Matchups (Tournament) for 1*:

Price(-140) over Estes @Bet365
Thorpe(-130) over Zoeller @ 5dimes
Gossett(-140) over Sposa @ 5dimes
Stankowski(-130) over Chamblee @ 5dimes
B. Wadkins(-110) over Nelson @ 5dimes


3 Balls (1st Round) for 0.50* @ Bet365:

Begay(11/4) over Roberts/Herron
Price(11/8) over Toms/Azinger


GL
 

King Creole

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King Creole's BEST BET:

King Creole's BEST BET:

Plays rated 2 thru 5 stars:

Bob Estes -120 (12:42pm) vs Steve Flesch +100 (12:24pm)

4**** BEST BET on BOB ESTES (-120)

....Lots of AMMO for this one.... get in EARLY for your best LINE VALUE: BOB ESTES is the DEFENDING Champion here... and holds the 2nd LOWEST career scoring average at this site over the last 5 years (68.44). He's also in good CURRENT form as he WON the Kemper Open three short weeks ago, so his "mindset" is of a very confident nature. Flesch has only played here TWICE (20th and a MISSED cut).... ESTES is a more accurate DRIVER (70% vs 65%), and he's ranked #8 on Tour in GREENS in REGULATION (68%). Finally... he's made the cut in 12 out of 14 Tournaments this year while Flesch has MISSED the CUT in 5 out of his last 12. This one is a no-brainer... ride the defending CHAMP!
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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2nd rd @ $plays
Roberts +130 over Begay double play
(will count as 2 wins or losses)

Win or lose I like this one and haven't a clue how they arrived at this #.

I know Begay plays this course well as it was only course he shot par or better in each rd last year. However making one cut in 12 attemps this year does not instill confidence to lay these odds. I can't think of player in this tourny that warrants laying +130 to Roberts let alone Begay??????
OK Murph come get me
:p
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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I thought about Ian coz I know ole Murph will climb on with both feet after throwing Razz at him.:D

Shit 4000+ posts. I need to get a life LOL
 
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