Fields Open

[DOGS THAT BARK]

outright to place top 5 @ Expekt and CB
Gulbis 7/1
Pressel 7/1
Han 7/1
Redman 8/1

Appears 5 Dimes have dropped their place only option with the Bush last week.

54 hole matches @ Expekt
Gulbis -112 over Pressel
Redman -121 over Mitazato

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

adding 54 holes
Han -110 over Webb
Webb -115 over Miyazato
Wie +100 over Creamer

Expect Wie to be tough on home course and virgin to all others-evidently she thinks so also opting to play this event over last weeks where she tied for 2nd last year.With that being said I would not be one bit disappointed if she missed cut

 

[Stanley]

Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)

Michelle Wie to win 14/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and Victor Chandler
As a Hawaiian, Wie will have very strong local support, but her home field advantage will never be stronger than in this particular event. In short, this event takes place on the course on which she practices almost every day. And to make her advantage even stronger, this will be the inaugural Fields Open in Hawaii, so very few of her competitors will have spent any time on this course before this week. As well as being her area of practice, this is the club where she helps out with the junior program; this is the club which displays her Women?s Amateur Public Links Champions trophy; and this is the club which made 300 red-lettered ?Go Michelle? buttons which were given to children free when she first contested the Sony Open on the PGA Tour. This is an event that she really should win.

Morgan Pressel to win 33/1 e.w. @ BetFred
In terms of young prodigies, Wie may have gathered most of the headlines, but Pressel is not too far behind. She was the youngest-ever player to qualify for the U.S. Women's Open at the age of 12 in 2001, she finished 2nd in the 2005 U.S. Women's Open and earned an age exemption from the then-LPGA Tour Commissioner Ty Votaw to apply for LPGA Tour membership at the age of 17, which she duly earned when finishing 6th in the LPGA Final Qualifying Tournament. And to dispel any notion that it was mostly hype, she finished 5th in last week's SBS Open in Hawaii. That's a very impressive resum? and eve without Annika Sorenstam this week, this is an excellent fore-taster to what will be an eagerly-anticipated LPGA Tour season.

Natalie Gulbis to win 33/1 e.w. @ BetInternet, Centrebet, Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Gulbis has made rather different headlines, particularly since she posed for FHM magazine and published her own swimsuit calendar. But having finished 6th in the 2005 LPGA Money List with twelve top-10 finishes, she has proved that she can play as well. She finished alongside Pressel in 5th place last week, ranking 3rd in greens in regulation on the week, and has a good record in Hawaii overall. She may not be teen prodigies like the other selections, she has shown that she can certainly be backed at these odds in a field without Annika.

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays (2pts unless stated):

Lorie Kane to beat Marisa Baena -111 @ Centrebet
A six-shot win for Kane in this match last week should be repeated. In terms of form in Hawaii, Kane did win the 2001 Takefuji Classic and only lost in a playoff to Annika Sorenstam the following year, so her credentials for playing in these conditions are good. Not good enough to win, but still good enough to beat Baena more times that these odds would suggest.

Michele Redman to beat Ai Miyazato -120 @ Expekt [4pts]
Had pencilled in a play on Ochoa to beat Miyazato last week, but backed off over concerns over her erratic form following her swing changes last year. That was a lost opportunity, so will not do the same again this week. Miyazato has simply been very disappointing (relative to the hype) in all her three starts this year: in the Women's World Cup in South Africa, in the Australian Ladies Masters and in last week's SBS Open where she finished 48th and 35 places behind Redman. So with Redman in a run of extremely consistent form - a worst finish of 32nd since the U.S. Women's Open last June - and with very impressive in Hawaii - top-20 finishes in each of the last four Tour events here - that also includes a top-10 finish when this course was last used on the LPGA Tour (1995), she should at leat finish in the top-20, which will be more than good enough to beat Miyazato.

Karrie Webb to beat Ai Miyazato -118 @ Centrebet [4pts]
Webb also disappointed in Australia, but she still finished four shots ahead of Miyazato and that was her margin of victory last week in Hawaii. In fact, since the start of the 2005 season, these two have played in ten common events with Webb prevailing seven times, a tie being the result twice and Miyazato finishing ahead of Webb only once and that was in a JLPGA Tour event. Add in Webb's form in Hawaii - before last week's 26th place finish, she had finished in the top-10 in all her previous visits to the Islands, including one win (2000 Takefuji Classic) - and Webb should certainly finish in the top-20 this week and win this match.

May add more if Five Dimes do a better job than last week when they released matchup odds within about one hour of the start of the event!

 

[Stanley]

Further matchup play (2pts)

Carin Koch to beat Sophie Gustafson -110 @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Gustafson continued her poor form in Hawaii last week by missing the cut for the second consecutive year and although she was opposed with Rosales with withdrew during the second round on that occasion, she is opposed again this week and with a more dependable opponent. Koch did make the cut last week and although it was a disappointing performance overall, her record in Hawaii has been much better with top-10 finishes in her two previous starts and she did play on this course back in 1995 and secured a top-15 finish. I have much more confidence in Koch to complete the event this week and leave the self-destruction to Gustafson.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

a few more 54 holes @ 5dimes
Redman -125 over SY Kang
Petterson-118 over Stahle
Daly-Donofrio +110 over Moodie

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

--and a couple 54 @ Pinn
C. Kim -112 over S-Y. Kang
Grace Park -125 over Miyazato

 

[Stanley]

Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 2-1: +1.56pts

Wie 3rd
Pressel 11th
Gulbis 4th

What a disappointing return from three such strong challenges for this title. Wie and Gulbis were even joint leaders at one stage during the back nine, but Wie missed an 8-foot-putt on the last that would have meant a place in a playoff and Gulbis missed a number of short putts in the closing holes before throwing away the full return on the place money by hitting her approach shot to the last hole in the water. Almost as cringe-worthy as watching Morgan Pressel cry in her post-round interview!

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 0-4: -13.94pts

Kane/Baena LOST by 3
Redman/Miyazato LOST by 3
Webb/Miyazato LOST by 4
Koch/Gustafson LOST by 2

No comment!

LPGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 3-5; -0.69pts
Matchups: 1-6; -15.38pts

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Interview was sad--why would they want to embarrass her with interview in that state---biggest question is why the vets scored so poorly on such an easy layout in perfect conditions?--will do weekly totals in this thread as bulk were lpga (unfortunately)as Kim-Han-Redman shoot 9 over between them final round

Bush 54 holes Week 3-7
Gulbis -112 over Pressel>win (-11/-8)
Redman -121 over Mitazato>loss (-3/-6)
Han -110 over Webb>loss (-1/-2)
Webb -115 over Miyazato>loss (-2/-6)
Wie +100 over Creamer>win (-13/-8)
Redman -125 over SY Kang>loss (-3/-6)
Petterson-118 over Stahle>win @ cut
Daly-Donofrio +110 over Moodie>loss @ cut
C. Kim -112 over S-Y. Kang >loss (-1/-6)
Grace Park -125 over Miyazato

Accenture Match Play Championship
Poulter +167 over Toms> loss (19 holes)

Chrysler Classic
72 Hole
Rose -110 over Green @ Bet Fred>win (-14-10)

Beards
54 holes
Mc Nulty -112 over Irwin @ Expekt>loss (-5/-10)
McGowen -121 over Green @ 5dimes>win (+2/+5)