These early game numbers are out of whack, especially considering the way the Warriors have gotten off to a slow starts. They've adjusted too far going off the full game line and not accounted for the way the Warriors typically start games. GS hasn't been ahead after the 1Q in 3 straight games and lost 5 of 7 1Qs to HOU in the last series. In this playoff run, opponents have been ahead in 9 of 17 of GS's games after the 1st Qtr and the ATS number is even worse. Going even further back, the Cavs held the lead after the 1st qtr in 2 of 5 games in last year's finals, CLE won 4 of 7 1Qs in 2016 and went 2-2-2 (with 2 pushes) in 2015 when Lebron was shorthanded and the weak supporting cast most resembled the team they bring to this year's finals.
Gimme the Cavs 1st Qtr and if it doesn't work out in this game, I'll come back with the same plays in game 2...
CLE 1Q +4.5 (-105) 5x
CLE 1Q ML (+255) 2x
I got some pretty good 1Q numbers, but I'd take CLE at +4 with low juice or 4.5 up to -115 and the ML down to +230. Additionally, I'd take the 1st to 10 and 1st to 20 scoring props at prices of +170 and +200 or better, respectively. I just can't post those props because I'm not playing them as my book's lines are too heavily juiced both ways. I think I hit them too many times this season playing against the Bulls with those props so they adjusted against me...lol
Gimme the Cavs 1st Qtr and if it doesn't work out in this game, I'll come back with the same plays in game 2...
CLE 1Q +4.5 (-105) 5x
CLE 1Q ML (+255) 2x
I got some pretty good 1Q numbers, but I'd take CLE at +4 with low juice or 4.5 up to -115 and the ML down to +230. Additionally, I'd take the 1st to 10 and 1st to 20 scoring props at prices of +170 and +200 or better, respectively. I just can't post those props because I'm not playing them as my book's lines are too heavily juiced both ways. I think I hit them too many times this season playing against the Bulls with those props so they adjusted against me...lol
