First round of Oscar betting

[lakerfan]

(All thegreek.com unless noted)

If you are looking for the strong short term play stick to the 1 unit bets It is very possible that all the 1/4 unit plays will lose, but they all have some value. I am posting what I am playing, but the LOTR editing bet is the strongest of the three 1/4 unit plays.

1 Unit Plays:

Cinematography - Far From Heaven +300
Cinematography - Road to Perdition +450

(don't let the favorite Chicago -300 scare you, it is far from what it should be priced at. 66% chance that one of the two films above wins the category)

1/4 Unit Plays:

Editing - LOTR: Two Towers +1100
Original Screenplay - Y Tu Mama Tambien +2000
Picture - Pianist +2400 (by buying at 4 with WSEX interactive)

 

[Anders]

Great to see u posting these here mate; I'm getting on ...

Loved "Y Tu Mama Tambien"

Not a LOTR type-person but proud of what good Kiwi bloke Peter Jackson has done to date and very surprised he missed out on a Best Director nomination....could be a strong bet when he gets nominated for the 3rd and final instalment...

 

[gardenweasel]

thanks, bud

thanks, bud

for the heads up....appreciated...

 

[lakerfan]

Anders - Agree with you on Y Tu Mama Tambien, a very good movie that is now available on video (for anyone else who might be interested). New Zealand has always been a country I have wanted to visit. From everything I hear it is quite nice. All the best.

gardenweasel - Keep the boxing info coming. Great analysis.

 

[lakerfan]

ADDING

1 Unit Play:

Picture - Chicago -200 (Buying at 67 at WSEX)

Playing a little chalk here, but Chicago is a strong play at this price. The way I view it only three films have a shot: Chicago, The Hours, and Pianist. We have the long shot Pianist covered (it keeps building and is the kind of film that could surprise). The Hours will have to make some major moves to have any shot at it (don't see it happening for a number of reasons). Chicago is worth the price up to -250 at this point.

 

[countinguy]

GL Lakerfan, wanted to bump this up so some other people could make a little off of this!! Think u have the winners!!

 

[countinguy]

NICE WINNER!!:toast: :toast:

 

[lakerfan]

Thanks countinguy.

Always nice to post a winner.