First Round Plays

[Nickelback]

Starting with North Dakota State +10 or higher over Kansas.

Joe Public is already on the defending champs nearly 75% in this game. What they may not know is that playing in Minneapolis is essentially a home game for State which amounts to a 3 hour drive. The Bison already played against Minnesota earlier this year losing to the Gophers 90-76. In that game the Bison shot 45% overall and 50% 3PFG and basically played the Gophers to a draw after falling down by double digits very early in the contest.

It will be key for the Bison to hit their shots at a high percentage as Kansas (and particularly Cole Aldrich) will not provide them many second chances. I think the Bison will give Kansas all they want and at the very least, have a decent shot at a backdoor cover playing in front of thousands of fans that should make the trip.

I will wait to see if this line creeps up to 11 or 12 before playing it Thursday night in Vegas.

 

[Old School]

how well do you think they will turn out for North Dakota State.


I have inlaws from that neck of the woods and they never go anywhere but to the beer store and to the icehouse for fishing..


except for summer...

then they all come South to my house at the beach.:SIB

 

[Nickelback]

Well, they apparently showed up against the Gophers so no reason to believe they will not show up for the bigger game against the defending National Champs!

 

[EagleGreen]

Starting with North Dakota State +10 or higher over Kansas.

Starting with North Dakota State +10 or higher over Kansas.

that line is awful low in my opinion so maybe you are on to something Nickleback. That little bracket of 4 teams there in MN I am not getting a good feel for. I had USC capped at +2 came out as -2, WVA -6 came out at -8.5 and KAN -15 came out as -10 so I am a bit puzzled by these games!

 

[Jaxx]

how well do you think they will turn out for North Dakota State.


I have inlaws from that neck of the woods and they never go anywhere but to the beer store and to the icehouse for fishing..


except for summer...

then they all come South to my house at the beach.:SIB

:mj07:

 

[Destructor D]

KU was really inconsistent late in the season. However, Aldrich should have a monster game plus he's from Minnesota so he'll be ready to play. I was listening the Bison's coach and he believes Aldrich will be too much.

That being said, Sherron Collins is capable of killing KU as he did vs. Texas Tech going 3 for 17 from the floor and Baylor where he was 6 for 20. If Collins doesn't hit at least 40% from the field, KU won't cover the 10 point spread.

 

[pipes3131]

I played up at NDSU back in the 90's,, the fans will show up in droves, trust me. Short drive and a bunch of buses lined up to hit Minny for the game. If they hit their 3's and w/ Kansas being young, they have a shot..

 

[Nickelback]

Gotta post most of my plays tonight otherwise I may not get a chance:

Cal pk over Maryland - Biggest play of the first round

I think Cal has the outside shooters and height up front to dominate and frustrate this Maryland team. Early money is on Maryland which makes me like this play even more.

Memphis -19.5 over Northridge - Check out Thunder's take on this one.

Morgan State +17 over Oklahoma - Morgan has been battle tested this year against decent teams. I think they have enough to stay within 17 over a good OU team on a neutral floor.

Ohio State -3 over Sienna - Virtual home game for the Buckeyes.

Utah State +5 over Marquette - Line has move down several points yet the consensus is on Marquette?

Texas -4.5 over Minnesota - Just feel like the Horns have more weapons in this contest.

Opinion plays only:

Arizona -1 over Utah
ASU -5 over Temple
Michigan +5.5 over Clemson
Washington -5.5 over Miss State

I think the Pac-10 lines overall hold a lot of value but only one has enough value to play and its a very strong value in my opinion. The Pac this year was a very difficult conference for all teams which led to more losses for the top teams in the Pac and drove the seeding up this year. The top teams in the Pac are still up there with the rest of the top conferences.

Gl!

 

[gjn23]

personally i think sc is the best bet in the pac-10

the have tons of talent and athleticism but hadnt played as a team until the last 2 weeks (after lewis/hackett fight) and struggled offensively until derozan exploded

lay it with sc

 

[MonkeyPants]

Good luck in the tournament Nickelback!!

Love Cal over the Terps on Thursday.

 

[Theboundbook]

that line is awful low in my opinion so maybe you are on to something Nickleback. That little bracket of 4 teams there in MN I am not getting a good feel for. I had USC capped at +2 came out as -2, WVA -6 came out at -8.5 and KAN -15 came out as -10 so I am a bit puzzled by these games!

Think about what you just posted from your capping of what the line "should be" from your homework, what it is, and you have the answer, (AND WINNER ATS) on 2 outta 3 of those games.... Possibly all 3!!!! When something is off or fishy, IT IS! NOT IT MIGHT BE.... Yes, sometimes a team favored by 12 that should be favored by 20 DOES WIN BY 25, but generally not, and those are the ones.... (2 outta 3 dont end up that way even though they "should)...


So, what my drunk ass is trying to say is, you know already who will cover ats....

 

[EagleGreen]

So, what my drunk ass is trying to say is, you know already who will cover ats...

So, what my drunk ass is trying to say is, you know already who will cover ats...

awesome! you are right on with your assessment bound! :mj07: nice reply