First team to score betting option - any thoughts ??

[Cartman88]

If I fancy a team to win a match I generally consider two options which are backing the side "to win outright" or backing the side to be the "first team to score".

The odds are generally something like this:

Team A outright +140
Team A first team to score -115
or
Team A outright +200
Team A first team to score +130

I am finding plenty of merit in the "first team to score" option.

In the event Team A scores first you win. In the event Team B scores first you lose (however it is very likely that an outright play on Team A would have lost anyway as they would have needed to come from 1-0 down and scored at least two goals).

I haven't had the time to have a decent look at any historical data on what percentage of teams come back from 1-0 down to win World Cup matches (I don't think it has happened in the 2002 tournament to date).

Any other thoughts on this ??

 

[Cartman88]

The other important thing to factor into the above is that with many books a 0-0 result would mean a loss.

 

[ChuckyTheGoat]

U may find some value, Cartman.

And u hit on a key point. I listed a similar note last nite.

The "First goal" option can be written as a 2-way or 3-way option. It's 2-way at Intertops (0-0 is a push). Canbet is 3-way w/ No Score as an option.

 

[Cartman88]

Well there goes that theory !!!!

In the first two games tonight teams manage to come back from 1-0 down and win outright.