Hey all. . . I just feel better now that CFB is back in full swing. The folks at this site were very helpful during the last college hoops season, so hopefully I can repay the kindness with some good CFB leans. Consistently CFB is my best handicapping sport. Now that I've jinxed myself, here goes with today's plays:
Wake +12 over Clemson. I love ACC football. From a handicapping perspective, it has about a dozen or so trends that do the trick each season. Last 2 years, 19-9 ATS had you played all them. One is this matchup where Wake is 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 seasons. I know Clemson has bigtime revenge and bigtime preseason expectations, but I'm sticking with Wake. I actually think WF has the better stable of runnning backs and more explosive receivers especially Idlette. He will make a game changing play at some time (can I somehow place a wager on that?). WF runs the football well, Clemson not the best run stoppers. I love big dogs that will rush the football more than the favorite.
UCLA -1 over OSU. UCLA is 9-1 ATS in home openers and if it's September and early in the season, the Bruins are money. L4Y, UCLA is 13-5-2 ATS in first five games of year. We'll address those later season woes come October. As for OSU, they're just 4-14 as road dogs and 5-11-2 on grass.
Navy -7 over Duke. Navy is on a 13-4 ATS run, and I've been on them most of that time. Not stopping now. This is not why I'm taking them, but Navy is 26-1 ATS when they win as a favorite. Picked that stat off a website last year as the Middies went from big dogs to big favs in the latter half of the year.
Toledo +11 over Minnesota. To be fair, this is somewhat of a Homer pick. I grew up in Toledo a few blocks from the campus. I'm a big fan, so take it with a grain of salt. The Rockets have enough firepower to keep up if not win. I did well fading Minny in key spots last year. Khaliq had been the QB for so long, how will they fare with a new guy under center. Worst case scenario for Toledo is they fall behind by a score or two early, but the Rockets won't quit and would remain a nice back door cover candidate. I see both clubs scoring into the 30s. Might be a good Over play, but that's hardly a recommendation.
Cincy +13.5 over Ohio State. The Bearcats and CU have been good underdog plays especially on the road for a few seasons now. They nearly upset the Bucks in 2002. The Bearcats new coach was the Bucks DC, so I like that dynamic as well. This is a small play. I don't like any of the other early games, but it's opening Saturday, so I need to make at least play on the early kickoffs.
I am also leaning towards Rutgers,NIU, Memphis and CSU, but not sure if I want to pull the trigger.
Any thoughts?
GOOD LUCK TO EVERYBODY!!!!! THIS WILL BE A FUN SEASON.
Wake +12 over Clemson. I love ACC football. From a handicapping perspective, it has about a dozen or so trends that do the trick each season. Last 2 years, 19-9 ATS had you played all them. One is this matchup where Wake is 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 seasons. I know Clemson has bigtime revenge and bigtime preseason expectations, but I'm sticking with Wake. I actually think WF has the better stable of runnning backs and more explosive receivers especially Idlette. He will make a game changing play at some time (can I somehow place a wager on that?). WF runs the football well, Clemson not the best run stoppers. I love big dogs that will rush the football more than the favorite.
UCLA -1 over OSU. UCLA is 9-1 ATS in home openers and if it's September and early in the season, the Bruins are money. L4Y, UCLA is 13-5-2 ATS in first five games of year. We'll address those later season woes come October. As for OSU, they're just 4-14 as road dogs and 5-11-2 on grass.
Navy -7 over Duke. Navy is on a 13-4 ATS run, and I've been on them most of that time. Not stopping now. This is not why I'm taking them, but Navy is 26-1 ATS when they win as a favorite. Picked that stat off a website last year as the Middies went from big dogs to big favs in the latter half of the year.
Toledo +11 over Minnesota. To be fair, this is somewhat of a Homer pick. I grew up in Toledo a few blocks from the campus. I'm a big fan, so take it with a grain of salt. The Rockets have enough firepower to keep up if not win. I did well fading Minny in key spots last year. Khaliq had been the QB for so long, how will they fare with a new guy under center. Worst case scenario for Toledo is they fall behind by a score or two early, but the Rockets won't quit and would remain a nice back door cover candidate. I see both clubs scoring into the 30s. Might be a good Over play, but that's hardly a recommendation.
Cincy +13.5 over Ohio State. The Bearcats and CU have been good underdog plays especially on the road for a few seasons now. They nearly upset the Bucks in 2002. The Bearcats new coach was the Bucks DC, so I like that dynamic as well. This is a small play. I don't like any of the other early games, but it's opening Saturday, so I need to make at least play on the early kickoffs.
I am also leaning towards Rutgers,NIU, Memphis and CSU, but not sure if I want to pull the trigger.
Any thoughts?
GOOD LUCK TO EVERYBODY!!!!! THIS WILL BE A FUN SEASON.
