Toledo+12.5
Locking it in
1-0
Kentucky has played pretty good as an underdog (vs Georgia being the exception), but have been notorious for barely getting by foes less talented than Toledo; and on their own home field. I'm not for sure why, they just don't seem to be able to put people away. However, they do have the potential. The running game should be no worse than last year, even with the loss of RB Benny Snell, and there's talk that the passing game could be considerably better. The DL should be the strength of the defense, 2 deep and SEC caliber. LB's are pretty good, although there's no replacing a Josh Allen. The perceived weakness is the secondary; they lost practically every starter from last year except one, and he was lost for the year this summer before practice even started. I think normally this would play right into Toledo's hands, but I did read that they graduated 3 all conference receivers. So, long story short, I don't have a clue what could happen, but do think it could go either way; Toledo could even win SU, or Kentucky could cover. Bear in mind this is coming from a Kentucky fan tho. I won't be playing the game but I did initially lean Toledo until I read about the 3 receivers that graduated, and Toledo's tendency to give up a lot of points.