I'm seeing as high as -240/+200 up from an opener in the -200/+170 area. I'm a little bit surprised the price on the series was that high to begin with, so I guess I don't agree with the line move. I know the Ducks look like a powerhouse with Kesler, Getzlaf and Perry, among others, but I think the Flames are a good team and are being discounted here. They seem to be playing inspired hockey and could be a dangerous underdog in this situation.
Now, hockey isn't my strong suit from a handicapping standpoint, so I'm appealing to those wiser than me in this forum, but I think that the Flames have better chance to win this series than the odds reflect (about 69%/31%). It didn't seem to me that the Ducks really dominated the Jets in the last round, even though they swept. If you tally it up, they only led for about 41 of the 245 total minutes played in that series. A lot of late 3rd period comebacks plus the overtime win, seems like they've been pretty lucky. Not to mention their goal differential on the season was only +10, which seems low for a team that won 51 games with total of 109 points.
Calgary's situation in goal may not appear to be ideal, with Hiller getting pulled early in game 6 against the 'Nucks after giving up two early goals, but this was top level goalie in the regular season in terms of SV% and GAA. I like the fact that he is returning to face his old team in Anaheim (already getting the nod for game 1). This is the same team that gave up on him last year after seven seasons with the club, so maybe he's got something to prove against them.
I know the odds don't reflect the following statement, but I think that of the two bigger underdogs in the 2nd round, the Flames have a better chance of beating the Ducks than the Caps have of upsetting the Rangers, but that's probably just the fan in me speaking :lol:
Anybody else have an opinion on this series? :shrug:
Now, hockey isn't my strong suit from a handicapping standpoint, so I'm appealing to those wiser than me in this forum, but I think that the Flames have better chance to win this series than the odds reflect (about 69%/31%). It didn't seem to me that the Ducks really dominated the Jets in the last round, even though they swept. If you tally it up, they only led for about 41 of the 245 total minutes played in that series. A lot of late 3rd period comebacks plus the overtime win, seems like they've been pretty lucky. Not to mention their goal differential on the season was only +10, which seems low for a team that won 51 games with total of 109 points.
Calgary's situation in goal may not appear to be ideal, with Hiller getting pulled early in game 6 against the 'Nucks after giving up two early goals, but this was top level goalie in the regular season in terms of SV% and GAA. I like the fact that he is returning to face his old team in Anaheim (already getting the nod for game 1). This is the same team that gave up on him last year after seven seasons with the club, so maybe he's got something to prove against them.
I know the odds don't reflect the following statement, but I think that of the two bigger underdogs in the 2nd round, the Flames have a better chance of beating the Ducks than the Caps have of upsetting the Rangers, but that's probably just the fan in me speaking :lol:
Anybody else have an opinion on this series? :shrug:
