Outright plays (2 units):
Allen Doyle to win 16/1 e.w. @
Five Dimes (1 unit to win & 1 unit to finish in top-5)
Has yet to repeat his ultra-consistent play of the past few years, but at least with two 7th place finishes and a 12th place in the last three weeks, he is improving. This is the scene of some impressive displays in the past - three top-5 finishes in four years - so hopefully he will find another gear this week.
Larry Nelson to win 20/1 e.w. @
Stan James [5 places option]
Very strange price. Surrey go 10/1 and 12/1 is commonly available, so looks good from a value standpoint at least. When the player in mind has won this event for the last two years, he is most definitely good value at 20/1.
Jim Thorpe to win 33/1 e.w. @
Bet365 or
Five Dimes
Last week's letdown after his runners-up spot in the Ford Seniors was to be expected and can be ignored, though he has shown a tendency since winning the Tradition to give up on events if he has a poor first round. Top-20 on all three previous starts here and runner-up two years ago, he should be a factor if in contention after round one.