Football Service thread 11/19 - 11/25

[WildBillPicks7]

Playbook:

College Football 2-MINUTE HANDICAP
Posted: 11/18/2013

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WEEK 12

Wednesday, Nov 20th

N Illinois 8-0 away vs conf revenge? 4-0 Weekday RG? 3-0 Last Road Game? 3-1 as conf favs 5 < pts?1-3 Game Eleven
TOLEDO SERIES: Dog 3-1? 5-0 Game Eleven? 4-1 home w/ conf revenge? 3-1 aft score 50+ pts? 5-2 as conf dogs 6 < pts? 1-5 Weekday HG

Thursday, Nov 21st

Rutgers 6-1 Weekday RG? 4-1 bef Conn? 8-2 conf dogs > 11 pts? 0-4 aft Cincy? 1-4 Game Ten dogs
C FLORIDA 6-0 Weekdays?. 9-2 in 1st of BB HG? 4-1 as favs > 10 pts? 0-5 Game Ten favs? 0-2 bef S Florida

Saturday, Nov 23rd

Indiana 6-2 aft Wisc? 2-9 Game Eleven? 3-14 bef Purdue? 3-9 in 2nd of BB RG
OHIO STATE SERIES: 8-2-1 L11? 10-0 aft Illinois? 8-1 as conf HF?s > 20 pts? 1-7 bef RG vs Mich? 1-6 Game Eleven home

Michigan St SERIES: Visitor 6-0? 3-0-1 Last Road Game? 7-1 as RF?s 5 > pts? 0-6 bef Minn? 0-3 aft Nebraska? 2-5 Game Eleven away
NORTHWESTERN 5-1 aft Mich? 5-1 bef Illinois? 6-2 Last Home Game? 11-4 as HD?s 5 > pts? 1-5 Game Eleven home

Idaho 4-0 off SU home loss 21 > pts? 5-2 as dogs 35 > pts? 7-3 in 1st of BB RG? 0-9 away w/ rest? 3-9 Game Eleven
FLORIDA STATE 1-4 Last Home Game? 2-8 as non-comf favs 31 > pts? 3-8 Game Eleven? 3-7 vs opp w/ rest

Kentucky SERIES: 4-1 L5? 3-0 Game Eleven? 3-0 bef Tenn? 1-5 as RD?s 14 > pts? 3-7 aft Vandy
GEORGIA 5-2 as DD conf HF?s? 0-4 aft Auburn? 0-4 Game Eleven? 1-4 Last Home Game

Wisconsin 3-0 as RF?s 10 < pts? 4-1 away vs conf revenge? 0-7 bef Penn St? 1-4 Game Eleven
MINNESOTA 5-1 Game Eleven? 5-2 Last Home Game? 0-3 aft Penn St? 1-5 home w/ rest? 2-8 off SU conf win 14 > pts

Virginia SERIES: Dog 7-1? 3-0 w/ rest? 8-1 aft N Carolina? 9-3 Game Eleven? 1-4 as dogs 14 > pts? 1-4 off SU conf loss 21 > pts
MIAMI-FLA 5-0 home vs opp w/ rest? 4-0 aft Duke? 1-5 Last Home Game? 1-4 as conf favs 14 > pts? 2-8 Game Eleven

Memphis 8-1 vs .750 > opp Gm 8 >? 9-3 Game Ten? 8-3 in 2nd of BB RG? 1-3 as RD?s 13 > pts
LOUISVILLE SERIES: 2-0 L2? 3-0 aft Houston? 3-1-1 in 2nd of BB HG? 0-5 Last Home Game? 1-5 as conf favs > 16 pts? 2-5 bef CIncy

Arizona St 4-0-1 away w/ conf revenge? 5-1 conf fav/dog 3 < pts? 7-2 aft Oreg St? 1-9 Last Road Game? 3-8 Game Eleven
UCLA SERIES: 8-2 L10? 5-1 as conf HF/HD 3 < pts? 7-2 Last Home Game? 5-2 Game Eleven? 0-6 home vs conf revenge

Texas A&M 5-1-1 Game Eleven? 0-6 w/ rest? 0-3 bef Missouri? 2-8 in 1st of BB RG? 2-5 away w/ conf revenge
LSU SERIES: 3-1 L4? 5-1 off DD SU conf loss vs conf opp? 4-1 w/ rest... 0-7 as conf favs 7 < pts? 2-7 as HF?s vs rested opp? 2-6 Game Eleven

Oregon 5-1 as RF?s 10 > pts? 9-2 vs conf revenge? 3-1 aft HG vs Utah? 0-4 Game Eleven
ARIZONA SERIES: 3-1 L4 home? 6-1 as dogs in 2nd of BB HG? 5-1 as dogs w/ conf revenge? 7-2 Game eleven? 0-3 Last Home Game? 1-3 aft Wash

California SERIES: Visitor 4-0? 1-6 Last Road Game? 2-10 in 2nd of BB RG? 1-4 as dogs 20 > pts? 1-3 Game Twelve
STANFORD 6-2-1 as conf favs 24 > pts? 1-4 aft Usc? 1-4 Game Eleven home? 3-10 bef Notre Dame? 2-5 in 1st of BB HG

Baylor 4-0 aft Tex Tech? 3-1 bef Tcu? 1-5 as conf RF?s 2 > pts? 3-14 Game Ten? 3-9 away vs conf revenge
OKLAHOMA ST SERIES: 6-1 L7? 4-1 aft Texas? 0-5-1 L6 as HD?s? 1-4 as dogs w/ conf revenge? 1-4 vs undef opp Gm 7

New Mexico 4-0 as conf RD?s 14 > pts? 9-2 aft Colo St? 13-4 in 2nd of BB RG? 1-3 Game Eleven away
FRESNO ST SERIES: 4-1 L5? 0-4 off SU road win 20 > pts? 1-4 aft Wyoming? 1-3 w/ rest

Oklahoma SERIES: Visitor 4-0? 4-0 in 1st of BB RG? 8-3-1 as conf dogs 7 < pts? 0-3 aft Iowa St? 1-5 away w/ conf revenge? 1-3 Game Eleven
KANSAS ST 5-0 home vs conf revenge? 8-1-1 as conf favs 7 < pts? 8-2 in 2nd of BB HG? 1-5 Game Eleven

Missouri 4-0 away off SU conf win 21 > pts? 3-0 in 2nd of BB RG? 3-1 w/ rest? 1-3 Game Eleven
MISISSIPPI 3-0 off 4+ SU wins? 8-3 Game Eleven? 1-3 home of DD non-conf win? 2-5 as conf HD?s 6 < pts

 

[WildBillPicks7]

NorthCoast Power Sweep & Power Plays - They were hot last week, NC missed College GOY on Texas +3 as their 5 star, supposedly only 7th loss in 32 years.

Power Sweep plays:

Phone Early Bird - Central Michigan -8 1/2 said it would sore to 10 or 10 1/2 by game time

UNDERDOG - Wake Forest
Tech play - N Texas
Revenge - Okla St
Situation - Iowa

4* Wisconsin by 24
3* Tennessee by 10
2* Virginia +
2* N C State by 1

NFL -

3* STL by 8
2* AZ by 6
3* Over Tampa/Det
3* Over Dallas/NYG
3* Over AZ/Indy
2* Over Car/Mia
2* Under Pitt/CLE

System play: Over STL/Chicago, Non-Division team gives up less than 10 pts last game?

Power Plays:

4 1/2*Kansas
4 1/2* Nebraska
4 1/2 * Hawaii
4 * Fla ST
4* UCF
4* Houston
4*La Tech
4* Missouri
4* N Nexas
3* Wisconsin
3* USC
2* Bowling Green
2* Oregon
2* Oklahoma St

NFL -

4* Over Det/Tampa
4* Under KC/SD
4* New Orleans by 20
3* Arizona by 7
2* Baltimore by 12


GL!!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

ATS LOCK CLUB

College Sides
(3*) - UNLV +2.5

College Totals
(3*) - UNDER 59.5 - Rutgers/Cent Fla

 

[WildBillPicks7]

King Creole

2* rice/uab - over 63.5

This guy is hitting over 60% this year on totals NFL & CFB

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Northcoast

MARQUEES
Central Florida-17
New Orleans-9

Regular Opinions
New Orleans - under 53
Central Florida - over 57
UNLV+2
OVER 61 - same game-unlv

 

[WildBillPicks7]

CKO

COLEGE FOOTBALL
11 *UCF over Rutgers
Late Score Forecast:
*UCF 42 - Rutgers 15

Gold Sheet. They are not doing well at all this year in football, but have gone 4-3 L7 Best Bets in their Key Releases.

 

[Senor Capper]

Brandon Lang :facepalm:

My 50 DIME selection is a 3-Team 10-Point Teaser on Central Florida, Saints and the Over . The current line on these games is -17 1/2, -9 1/2 and 53. I advise taking UCF down to -7 1/2, Saints to +1/2 and the total down to 43 and go over.

Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

REALLY ?? :facepalm: x3

 

[WildBillPicks7]

NorthCoast Power Sweep & Power Plays - They were hot last week, NC missed College GOY on Texas +3 as their 5 star, supposedly only 7th loss in 32 years.

Power Sweep plays:

Phone Early Bird - Central Michigan -8 1/2 said it would sore to 10 or 10 1/2 by game time

UNDERDOG - Wake Forest
Tech play - N Texas
Revenge - Okla St
Situation - Iowa

4* Wisconsin by 24
3* Tennessee by 10
2* Virginia +
2* N C State by 1

NFL -

3* STL by 8
2* AZ by 6
3* Over Tampa/Det
3* Over Dallas/NYG
3* Over AZ/Indy
2* Over Car/Mia
2* Under Pitt/CLE

System play: Over STL/Chicago, Non-Division team gives up less than 10 pts last game?

Power Plays:

4 1/2*Kansas
4 1/2* Nebraska
4 1/2 * Hawaii
4 * Fla ST
4* UCF
4* Houston
4*La Tech
4* Missouri
4* N Nexas
3* Wisconsin
3* USC
2* Bowling Green
2* Oregon
2* Oklahoma St

NFL -

4* Over Det/Tampa
4* Under KC/SD
4* New Orleans by 20
3* Arizona by 7
2* Baltimore by 12


GL!!

NorthCoast Phones: BIG DOG Play of Week = Oklahoma ST + the points, 8-4 on the year, 4 outright dog winners.

 

[Cricket]

Thanks Wild Bill :0008 :toast:

 

[BlueDevil71]

Guys - here's Pointwise. The "1" and "2" plays have been outstanding....

BOWLING GREEN over Eastern Mich RATING: 1
BAYLOR over Oklahoma State RATING: 1
RICE over Uab RATING: 2
MISSOURI over Mississippi RATING: 3
WISCONSIN over Minnesota RATING: 4
OREGON over Arizona RATING: 4
MICHIGAN STATE over Northwestern RATING: 5
IOWA over Michigan RATING: 5

:toast:

 

[WildBillPicks7]

CKO

10 EAST CAROLINA over *NC State
Late CKO score forecast:
EAST CAROLINA 45 - *NC State 27

10 VANDERBILT over *Tennessee
Late Score Forecast:
VANDERBILT 27 - *Tennessee 20

10 MICHIGAN over *Iowa
Late Score Forecast:
MICHIGAN 24 - *Iowa 19


THE GOLD SHEET

♦♦♦♦♦♦ KEY RELEASES ♦♦♦♦♦♦

MICHIGAN STATE by 20 over Northwestern
DUKE by 18 over Wake Forest
HOUSTON by 13 over Cincinnati
UCLA by 10 over Arizona State

Gold Sheet this year, 23-23 in College, 50%, minus juice, not good!!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

PLAYBOOK

5★ BEST BET
Texas A&M over LSU by 10
When the Tigers take the fi eld in Baton Rouge today, not only will
they be trying to erase the memories of a brutal second half against
Alabama when a third-quarter deadlock quickly turned in a ?Roll
Tide? of epic proportions, but they?ll also be attempting to extend
their winning skein to three over Texas A&M. The Bama loss knocked
LSU completely out of the BCS picture, but Les Miles has had an offweek
to adjust and it?s nothing that a win over their new SEC rivals
can?t cure. Aggie HC Kevin Sumlin was not the man in charge when
the Tigers tattooed Texas A&M in the Cotton Bowl following the
2010 season, but he certainly will be looking for payback from the
24-19 defeat last season that snapped a 5-game winning streak (LSU
forced 5 Aggie turnovers and responded to an early A&M 12-point
lead with 24 unanswered points). Sumlin?s team has been a perfect
10-0 away from Kyle Field since he took over from Mike Sherman,
but surprisingly, this is only their third road trip of the season. A quick
look at the stats reveals that in games against the three common
opponents they?ve faced this season (Alabama, Mississippi State and
Ole Miss), the Aggies won the stats by +166 yards while the Tigers
lost the stats by -127 yards, giving Johnny Football a 98 YPG net
differential advantage. A&M is also coming off a bye week, and Miles
is just 2-7 ATS as a home favorite against a rested opponent. The
Clincher: Aggie coach Kevin Sumlin is 13-3 SUATS in games
when his teams are seeking revenge, including 7-0 SUATS
versus foes off a SUATS loss.

4★ BEST BET
PENN ST over Nebraska by 14
Not a bad season for either of these once-powerful programs: both
teams reside in 3rd place in their respective divisions within the Big
Ten and both have records that would qualify for the post-season.
Of course, the Nittany Lions are going nowhere except the shopping
malls this holiday season due to the Sandusky punishments, and that
is one of the reasons we like them so much this weekend ? a victory
here guarantees a winning season and in their current situation,
players have to be satisfi ed with just a little less than normal.
Meanwhile, the Huskers have plenty ahead of them and while
they couldn?t overcome 5 turnovers to a stout Spartan defense last
week, they were the fi rst team to outyard MSU this season, posting
a season-high 392 yards against the nation?s top-ranked stop unit.
Also, leading Big 10 rusher Ameer Abdullah rushed for 100 yards for
the 7th straight game and became the fi rst RB to reach the century
mark against MSU this season. But with the Final Home Game of the
year important for many alternative reasons in Happy Valley, and
with a convincing Game Eleven record of 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS ? not
to mention a perfect fi t inside our INCREDIBLE STAT box on page 3 ?
we?ll look for a strong effort from Bill O?Brien?s team in what could be
Bo?s fi nal foray on the Big 10 road. The Clincher: The Lions are 5-0
SUATS in Last Home Games with revenge this century.

UPSET GAME OF THE WEEK UPSET
WAKE FOREST over Duke by 3
Before you guffaw over the possibility of an outright upset by the
Demon Deacons, let us ask you this: is the idea of Wake winning
at home over the Blue Devils any more unlikely than Duke beating
both Virginia Tech AND Miami Florida in the same season? Not
when the pressure in this Tobacco Road rivalry is all on Duke, who
takes to the road in the rare role of a favorite (2-5 ATS last seven
as chalk). Recent series history solves nothing since the Blue Devils
are 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings (4-0-1 ATS in Winston-
Salem) but Wake Forest has won 12 of the last 13 games on the
scoreboard versus the Dukies. Bad scheduling spot for the visitors
as they?re off a monster win over the Hurricanes and a potential
battle for the ACC Coastal title with arch-rival North Carolina closes
out the regular season next weekend. Yes, David Cutcliffe?s Blue
Man Group is riding an attention-getting 5-0 SUATS streak but
they?ve been outyarded in their last three victories ? and that?s a
no-no in our handicapping book. Duke is also a ?TIMES THEY ARE A
CHANGIN? fade from Marc?s 2011 Black Book, which demands we
fade teams who were 6-7 last year when they take to the road off
a SU win. Wake HC Jim Grobe suffered his fi rst loss in fi ve games
against Cutcliffe last year and he brings a strong 17-6-2 ATS mark
as a home dog of 10 or fewer points with revenge into today?s
fray. With the Deacons holding Florida State to a season-low 296
yards two Saturday?s ago, we?ll side with the home team in this
?devils versus demons? special. And down goes Duke! The Clincher:
Cutcliffe is 1-7 SU and 0-7-1 ATS in his career in games off
a double-digit conference win in which his team beat the
spread by 17 or more points.

AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK
PLAY ON any .200 or greater college football conference home dog of 3 or more points off back-to-back home losses with revenge if they scored 17 or more points in their last game.
Play ON: ARIZONA WILDCATS
ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 14-1 (93%)

INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK
Penn State is 15-0 SU and 14-1 ATS at home with revenge off a conference win when facing a conference foe with at least one loss on the season.

They are 18-18 this year on 5*, 4* and 3* tip sheet plays, 50%, again minus juice, not good.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Guys - here's Pointwise. The "1" and "2" plays have been outstanding....

BOWLING GREEN over Eastern Mich RATING: 1
BAYLOR over Oklahoma State RATING: 1
RICE over Uab RATING: 2
MISSOURI over Mississippi RATING: 3
WISCONSIN over Minnesota RATING: 4
OREGON over Arizona RATING: 4
MICHIGAN STATE over Northwestern RATING: 5
IOWA over Michigan RATING: 5

:toast:

Thanks BlueDevil. They are 42-29 overall on their star rated plays this year in CFB!!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Mark Lawrence

CFB

10* Oklahoma State (GOY)
3* WF
3* NW
3* OU
3* Arizona
3* Ole Miss

 

[WildBillPicks7]

King Creole

2* Colorado State/Utah State - Over 58

2* New Mexico/Fresno State - Over 66.5

2* Vanderbilt+3

3* Mizzou/Ole Miss - Over 57.5

This guy is sharp with his totals, more so in the NFL!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

SEAN MICHAELS

One-and-Only
100 DIME
College Football Total of the Year

OVER 55.5 - New Mexico St at Fla-Atlantic at 3:00 Eastern

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Ats Football Lock Club

8* michigan st. -6.5
8* vanderbilt +3
8* texas a&m +5

2 unit round robin parlay
(2 par mich st/van; 2 par mich st/tx a&m; 2 par van/tx a&m)

5* temple -7
5* minnesota +17

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Brandon Lang

My 100 Dime selection is on Oklahoma State over Baylor. The current line on this game is +8 1/2 in Vegas and offshore. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

My 50 Dime 3-Team 10 point teaser is on Texas A&M, BYU and Missouri . The current line on these games is A&M +4 1/2 (versus LSU), BYU -1 (versus Notre Dame) and Missouri (-2 1/2 versus Ole Miss). I advise taking A&M to +14 1/2, BYU to +9 and Missouri to +7 1/2. Be sure to shop around for the best lines available.

My 25 Dime 3-Team Parlay is on Arizona St, Houston and Tennessee. The current line on these games is Arizona St -2 1/2, Houston -2 1/2 and Tennessee -2 1/2. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.​

 

[WildBillPicks7]

The Underdog

CFB Game of the Year
Mississippi

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Northcoast

Total Pow - Cowboys / Giants - Over 45.5