12-8 +5.57
-
ml 11-7 +5.57
tot 1-0 +1.0
1st5 0-1 -1.0
---
marlins -117 1.17/1
Brewers -115 1.15/1
P2 White Sox -174 / Mariners -170 0.67/1
---
--Jose needs no introduction as he's been just as dominating in his first 2 go's this
season as he was last year--not even 22 until July 31st...he faced the Phils 3 times
last year and allowed 1 run in 18 innings while walking 4 and striking out 16 (.129 baa)
and amazingly had his best go visiting allowing, 1 hit in 7 shutout innings with 1 walk
and 9 K's; tough to say what Burnett brings but his best days are long gone and the
marlins pen looks to be much safer behind; both clubs have dropped 4 straight but
much more attractive run differential of +13 for mia vs -7 for Phil, not to mention
the OPS vs R of .822 for mia and .680 for Phil; high probability of rain for this one
--Peralta has a chance to be a very good starter and, while it may not last, the Brews
BP has been phenomenal; Liriano surely has more left than Burnett but a repeat of last
season looks unlikely, not to mention that the Brews have hit .347 against him at Miller,
leaving him a 7.54 era in 5 starts there and that includes a 9-3 Brewin in his only go
there last season, on Sept.4th; Mil comes home having won 6 straight and also holds
the early OPS edge at .777 to .706, though one could gripe about opponents faced,
ballparks visited etc
--tempted by the CWS runline as the Sox are crushing the ball early on with an OPS of
.804 which trails on the Rockies (clev at .689 with half as many dingers); decent wind
blowing right-to-left and I might grab me some +124 before kickoff (ump scheduled is
Brian Knight, if that helps); Chisox pen has been grim and that continuing is likely
the only possibility of Sale not drastically improving upon his totally misleading
11-14 record from '13 (he was 17-8 in '12 with other numbers no better); injuns pen
has been good so far and will be needed as Carrasco has gone 0-3 vs Cws in 5 games
with his other numbers likewise unattractive, especially in his 2 go's at USCell
--Mariners are 3-0 vs L so far and this looks like an important early series with the
a's coming in having won 4 straight; lefty Milone has been called up from AAA where he
had a great 1.74 era and 1-15 BB-K ratio in 2 starts but he also allowed batters to
hit .348 off him...he has reasonable numbers vs the M's including in 4 at Safeco but
the M's offense has been nothing to write home about since he joined the bigs; Felix
is zoned so far after 2 on the road and has solid numbers vs the a's; both pens have
been good though the numbers favour the M's early on and there is a sizable probability
that middle relief will be required more from the visitors; slight wind blowing in from
center if the roof is open; this runline (+133, here) is nowhere near as attractive as
the Chisox based on the offense, opponent and ballpark but the parlay gave me what looks
like a solid option, certainly paying more than a Yu(Tex) combo would have
--tigers were sure tempting at -106 and now I see +102, just for the offensive offense
that the Padres sport, but Cashner is a good SP and I'm not yet convinced that space
cadet Porcello has his shit figured out, not to mention the perpetually risky tigers
bullpen
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/iI0IR7rimP4" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
-
ml 11-7 +5.57
tot 1-0 +1.0
1st5 0-1 -1.0
---
marlins -117 1.17/1
Brewers -115 1.15/1
P2 White Sox -174 / Mariners -170 0.67/1
---
--Jose needs no introduction as he's been just as dominating in his first 2 go's this
season as he was last year--not even 22 until July 31st...he faced the Phils 3 times
last year and allowed 1 run in 18 innings while walking 4 and striking out 16 (.129 baa)
and amazingly had his best go visiting allowing, 1 hit in 7 shutout innings with 1 walk
and 9 K's; tough to say what Burnett brings but his best days are long gone and the
marlins pen looks to be much safer behind; both clubs have dropped 4 straight but
much more attractive run differential of +13 for mia vs -7 for Phil, not to mention
the OPS vs R of .822 for mia and .680 for Phil; high probability of rain for this one
--Peralta has a chance to be a very good starter and, while it may not last, the Brews
BP has been phenomenal; Liriano surely has more left than Burnett but a repeat of last
season looks unlikely, not to mention that the Brews have hit .347 against him at Miller,
leaving him a 7.54 era in 5 starts there and that includes a 9-3 Brewin in his only go
there last season, on Sept.4th; Mil comes home having won 6 straight and also holds
the early OPS edge at .777 to .706, though one could gripe about opponents faced,
ballparks visited etc
--tempted by the CWS runline as the Sox are crushing the ball early on with an OPS of
.804 which trails on the Rockies (clev at .689 with half as many dingers); decent wind
blowing right-to-left and I might grab me some +124 before kickoff (ump scheduled is
Brian Knight, if that helps); Chisox pen has been grim and that continuing is likely
the only possibility of Sale not drastically improving upon his totally misleading
11-14 record from '13 (he was 17-8 in '12 with other numbers no better); injuns pen
has been good so far and will be needed as Carrasco has gone 0-3 vs Cws in 5 games
with his other numbers likewise unattractive, especially in his 2 go's at USCell
--Mariners are 3-0 vs L so far and this looks like an important early series with the
a's coming in having won 4 straight; lefty Milone has been called up from AAA where he
had a great 1.74 era and 1-15 BB-K ratio in 2 starts but he also allowed batters to
hit .348 off him...he has reasonable numbers vs the M's including in 4 at Safeco but
the M's offense has been nothing to write home about since he joined the bigs; Felix
is zoned so far after 2 on the road and has solid numbers vs the a's; both pens have
been good though the numbers favour the M's early on and there is a sizable probability
that middle relief will be required more from the visitors; slight wind blowing in from
center if the roof is open; this runline (+133, here) is nowhere near as attractive as
the Chisox based on the offense, opponent and ballpark but the parlay gave me what looks
like a solid option, certainly paying more than a Yu(Tex) combo would have
--tigers were sure tempting at -106 and now I see +102, just for the offensive offense
that the Padres sport, but Cashner is a good SP and I'm not yet convinced that space
cadet Porcello has his shit figured out, not to mention the perpetually risky tigers
bullpen
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/iI0IR7rimP4" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
