thurs:3-5-1 -4.8
July:106-62-10 +53.8
-
ml:43-27 +22.49 (faves:28-13 +13.12) (dogs:15-14 +9.37)
rl:25-10-1 +20.51 (NL:10-7-1 +3.61) (AL:15-3 +16.9) // (V:6-4 +1.91) (H:19-6-1 +18.6)
totals:9-11-5 -4.97 (ov:5-2-3 +2.95) (un:4-9-2 -7.92)
team totals:4-1 +3.01 (ov:4-1 +3.01)
1st5:19-10-4 +7.68 (faves:14-6-1 +7.13) (dogs:4-4-1 -0.45) (ov:0-0-1 0) (un:1-0-1 +1.0)
parlays:6-3 +5.08
=====
Thanks again for the words. I enjoy doing this...good distraction from some other B.S. going on.
I was due for the red. Did get 2/3's of the way to my longest BB winning streak--14 days about a thousand years ago.
Flip Sanchez' and Mazzaro's lines and I would have been laughing.
phillies -1.5 -104 1.04/1
Reds -133 2/1.5
brewers@Astros ov8 -115 1.15/1
cubs@Rockies ov9 -101 1.01/1
marlins@Padres ov7 +109 1/1.09
Blue Jays -1.5 +120 1.5/1.8
Red Sox -1.5 -113 1.13/1
yankees -105 1.26/1.2
mariners@Twins ov8.5 +110 1/1.1
I'm not actually crazy about this board (hard to tell, I guess). Could be the confidence shaker yesterday.
---same day-old shiite on the OPS/runs per
---Oswalt decent vs in 11+2BP but nothing special in 2 at NatPark and was shit in his only vs '010, at home...hard to know what to expect as he's had 2 stinkers in a row (PIT/cin) after 2 beauties (SD/pit); attraction here is phils momentum and their two meetings--both April '010--vs Stammen (0-0/15.63/.485)...amazing he picked up no L in those 2...Nats actually won the first of 'em; Phils OPS .903 last 7 days scoring 6 per (was home, mind you) while Nats were .594 scoring 3.5 per; Nats are 22-14 home to righties...15, anyone?; likely add an ml parlay, hopefully before it hits -180, which it should (current -167)
---Cueto has been great for 7 straight, is good at home and was good in 2 vs, 1 home (no'010); hard to predict Medlen--his 1st vs; Reds had the day off while atl played afternoon, losing in Washington; both averaging around 5 scored per past week
---not so much this year, but the past few both mil and Hou have preferred hitting lefties; both clubs with past week OPS' well above year average; I like Happ (should be a freakin' Jay if ... nevermind) but he can't be thrilled about going from a club that just won 8 straight to a club with little hope for next year, and he won't be stretched meaning the horrible 'stros pen will see action; Parra's been shit vs including at home on June 28th and he's crap on the road...was good in his last vs wash but that was following 4 stinkers and his duration is suspect, too, meaning the joke of a brewers bullpen should see action; this number seems way too low for Minute Maid; wind out to right at 7mph in the off-chance the roof is open
---Dempster poor vs, especially at Coors in 4+4BP (1-2/11.37/.309) and he's not having his best season; Francis shit vs in 5 (0-0/8.77/.354) though he's been good last 2 after a crappy run; neither club producing past week but Rox finally woke up yesterday, with 7 of 8 starters scoring a run, and cubs are definitely preferring lefties this season; wind in from center at 8mph but you can't have everything; chance of thunderstorms; cubs have some Zambrano apology to teammates set up for today which should have little bearing save for maybe rallying good spirits for the prospects of '011
---Volstad has been crap on the road and nothing special lately, not to mention short outtings which might provide a crappy, though well rested pen some work (said same thing re:Sanchez yesterday:shrug: )...he's had one at Petco and was very good; LeBlanc's decent but not their best arm and the fish are also preferring lefties and have seen them the past 2 games at San Fran; wind in from left at 11mph but homers aren't really the way to score at Petco
---Marcum doesn't have good numbers vs but he's been very good at home and pretty good lately; Masterson's 1st GS at Rogers...he's been crap on the road (1-5/6.48/.303) and nothing special lately; Jays .856 last 7 days scoring over 5 per while injuns were .706 with just over 2 per; Jays 24-12 at home to R while clev 12-24 at R; 80.7% of Jays home wins are by 2+ while clev's at 75.7% of road losses by 2+ (mlb average app.70% which seems down this year but don't tell my runline record that); Jays hot and had a day off while injuns traveling after facing the champs
---can't really back up the Bosox runline except that Lester's been dynamite while tigers are fading; 'Sox had day off while tigers traveling after a(nother) loss in Tampa
---Hughes has been way better on the road but he hasn't looked sharp lately...he was good in his only GS at the Trop (no'10 vs); Davis nothing special vs in 3 especially in 2 home vs, including back on April 10th...he's been better on the road...pretty good lately but vs weak competition; yanks .864 past 7 days scoring almost 7 per--19 the past 2 in Clev--while Rays were .659 scoring around 4 per, as yesterday, either at home or at Clev; I like the over 9, +101, but am banking on a Hughes surprise
---Baker's been poor vs in 7 including a .356 baa while Fister was crap in his only vs May31st at home...Fister's been crap on the road in 6 and erratic lately while Baker, pretty good at home, was good in his last at Balt after 2 shitty; m's showing signs of hitting last couple of days, with the top 5 getting hits yesterday, while Twins recent OPS was an mlb-best 1.029 while scoring 8.5 per game--this all on the road; 2 or 3 from the m's should do it (runline tempting); wind from the South at 12mph but I can't find an alignment for Target Field...anybody know?...e.g. is home plate to the N,S,E,W?; number and price look decent regardless
Also tempted by the a's (or the over) but that price should improve (current -103).
Also the rangers (perpetually) but Hunter was bad in his only at (Sept'09) while Santana's been good 3 straight. Hard to argue with 8-0, though, or this offensive advantage. It's a late one so time to dive later.
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July:106-62-10 +53.8
-
ml:43-27 +22.49 (faves:28-13 +13.12) (dogs:15-14 +9.37)
rl:25-10-1 +20.51 (NL:10-7-1 +3.61) (AL:15-3 +16.9) // (V:6-4 +1.91) (H:19-6-1 +18.6)
totals:9-11-5 -4.97 (ov:5-2-3 +2.95) (un:4-9-2 -7.92)
team totals:4-1 +3.01 (ov:4-1 +3.01)
1st5:19-10-4 +7.68 (faves:14-6-1 +7.13) (dogs:4-4-1 -0.45) (ov:0-0-1 0) (un:1-0-1 +1.0)
parlays:6-3 +5.08
=====
Thanks again for the words. I enjoy doing this...good distraction from some other B.S. going on.
I was due for the red. Did get 2/3's of the way to my longest BB winning streak--14 days about a thousand years ago.
Flip Sanchez' and Mazzaro's lines and I would have been laughing.
phillies -1.5 -104 1.04/1
Reds -133 2/1.5
brewers@Astros ov8 -115 1.15/1
cubs@Rockies ov9 -101 1.01/1
marlins@Padres ov7 +109 1/1.09
Blue Jays -1.5 +120 1.5/1.8
Red Sox -1.5 -113 1.13/1
yankees -105 1.26/1.2
mariners@Twins ov8.5 +110 1/1.1
I'm not actually crazy about this board (hard to tell, I guess). Could be the confidence shaker yesterday.
---same day-old shiite on the OPS/runs per
---Oswalt decent vs in 11+2BP but nothing special in 2 at NatPark and was shit in his only vs '010, at home...hard to know what to expect as he's had 2 stinkers in a row (PIT/cin) after 2 beauties (SD/pit); attraction here is phils momentum and their two meetings--both April '010--vs Stammen (0-0/15.63/.485)...amazing he picked up no L in those 2...Nats actually won the first of 'em; Phils OPS .903 last 7 days scoring 6 per (was home, mind you) while Nats were .594 scoring 3.5 per; Nats are 22-14 home to righties...15, anyone?; likely add an ml parlay, hopefully before it hits -180, which it should (current -167)
---Cueto has been great for 7 straight, is good at home and was good in 2 vs, 1 home (no'010); hard to predict Medlen--his 1st vs; Reds had the day off while atl played afternoon, losing in Washington; both averaging around 5 scored per past week
---not so much this year, but the past few both mil and Hou have preferred hitting lefties; both clubs with past week OPS' well above year average; I like Happ (should be a freakin' Jay if ... nevermind) but he can't be thrilled about going from a club that just won 8 straight to a club with little hope for next year, and he won't be stretched meaning the horrible 'stros pen will see action; Parra's been shit vs including at home on June 28th and he's crap on the road...was good in his last vs wash but that was following 4 stinkers and his duration is suspect, too, meaning the joke of a brewers bullpen should see action; this number seems way too low for Minute Maid; wind out to right at 7mph in the off-chance the roof is open
---Dempster poor vs, especially at Coors in 4+4BP (1-2/11.37/.309) and he's not having his best season; Francis shit vs in 5 (0-0/8.77/.354) though he's been good last 2 after a crappy run; neither club producing past week but Rox finally woke up yesterday, with 7 of 8 starters scoring a run, and cubs are definitely preferring lefties this season; wind in from center at 8mph but you can't have everything; chance of thunderstorms; cubs have some Zambrano apology to teammates set up for today which should have little bearing save for maybe rallying good spirits for the prospects of '011
---Volstad has been crap on the road and nothing special lately, not to mention short outtings which might provide a crappy, though well rested pen some work (said same thing re:Sanchez yesterday:shrug: )...he's had one at Petco and was very good; LeBlanc's decent but not their best arm and the fish are also preferring lefties and have seen them the past 2 games at San Fran; wind in from left at 11mph but homers aren't really the way to score at Petco
---Marcum doesn't have good numbers vs but he's been very good at home and pretty good lately; Masterson's 1st GS at Rogers...he's been crap on the road (1-5/6.48/.303) and nothing special lately; Jays .856 last 7 days scoring over 5 per while injuns were .706 with just over 2 per; Jays 24-12 at home to R while clev 12-24 at R; 80.7% of Jays home wins are by 2+ while clev's at 75.7% of road losses by 2+ (mlb average app.70% which seems down this year but don't tell my runline record that); Jays hot and had a day off while injuns traveling after facing the champs
---can't really back up the Bosox runline except that Lester's been dynamite while tigers are fading; 'Sox had day off while tigers traveling after a(nother) loss in Tampa
---Hughes has been way better on the road but he hasn't looked sharp lately...he was good in his only GS at the Trop (no'10 vs); Davis nothing special vs in 3 especially in 2 home vs, including back on April 10th...he's been better on the road...pretty good lately but vs weak competition; yanks .864 past 7 days scoring almost 7 per--19 the past 2 in Clev--while Rays were .659 scoring around 4 per, as yesterday, either at home or at Clev; I like the over 9, +101, but am banking on a Hughes surprise
---Baker's been poor vs in 7 including a .356 baa while Fister was crap in his only vs May31st at home...Fister's been crap on the road in 6 and erratic lately while Baker, pretty good at home, was good in his last at Balt after 2 shitty; m's showing signs of hitting last couple of days, with the top 5 getting hits yesterday, while Twins recent OPS was an mlb-best 1.029 while scoring 8.5 per game--this all on the road; 2 or 3 from the m's should do it (runline tempting); wind from the South at 12mph but I can't find an alignment for Target Field...anybody know?...e.g. is home plate to the N,S,E,W?; number and price look decent regardless
Also tempted by the a's (or the over) but that price should improve (current -103).
Also the rangers (perpetually) but Hunter was bad in his only at (Sept'09) while Santana's been good 3 straight. Hard to argue with 8-0, though, or this offensive advantage. It's a late one so time to dive later.
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