Fri parlay

Terryray

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Forum Member
Dec 6, 2001
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Kansas City area for who knows how long....
07:00 PM CFB [310] Temple +6.5 -110
10:30 PM CFB [311] TOTAL o89.5 -115 (Oregon vrs California)
10:30 PM CFB [313] San Jose State +23-110
07:05 PM NHL [52] New York Islanders -1.5 +145
07:05 PM NHL [54] Columbus Blue Jackets -109
07:35 PM NHL [56] Detroit Red Wings +106

1 unit bet pays 64 ....betdsi line


Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:


ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:

Blackhawks vs. Blue Jackets
Play: Blue Jackets +127

Few will give the Blue Jackets much of a chance in this game as they're off to an 0-2 start while the Blackhawks are rolling off back-to-back wins, outscoring the opposition 12-7 in those two games.However, I'm expecting a strong effort from the Jackets on home ice, knowing that they'll need to pick up a win here or things could get ugly, with each of their next four games coming on the road against Western Conference opposition.

Chicago certainly didn't look invincible in its lone previous road game, suffering a 3-2 loss in Nashville. While it has picked up back-to-back wins, it remains just an even 2-2 on the season so far.

Also note that the Blue Jackets have taken three of the last four meetings in this series. The one game the Blackhawks won over that stretch came at home as a -240 favorite.

Columbus has been in each of its first two games, collapsing in the third period against the Bruins and falling just short following a late rally against the Sharks. I look for them to do a better job of finishing on Friday night.

Blackhawks vs. Blue Jackets
Play: Over 5?

In the series 34 of 50 have played over. Chicago has gone over in their last 7 games and 3 of their first 4 this year have had at least 5 goals scored. Columbus looks for their first win and has flown over in 9 of the last 11 with 3 or more days rest. Look for this game to play over.

San Jose St. +23 over SDSU

Rivalry games have been the stage for shocking upsets in which a squad with a losing record upends and spoils the season of a team with an elegant won-loss record. San Jose State and San Diego State are as bitter as foes as one can fathom. The Spartans and the Aztecs have put together a feud that civilization cannot capture in any RPG. That said, San Jose State and San Diego State enter on contrasting notes both on the field and in the market. The team from the North of California has been a technological malfunction for the most part by posting a record of 2-5 on the season. Contrarily, the defending Mountain West champions from the South have been virtually flawless so far, as they have gone 5-1. Combining that with the fact that the Aztrcs are at home and one can understand the price here.

SDSU has been riding a hot hand for some time now, as they have won nine of their last 10 contests and they are also on a three-game winning streak in this rivalry series. The only loss for San Diego State came at the hands of the most unsuspecting of individuals, South Alabama. Thing is, the Aztecs have played virtually nobody. When you play nobody, skewed statistics follow. SDSU has play New Hampshire, California, Northern Illinois, UNLV and Fresno State. They scored a mere 17 points against Fresno and just 26 against UNLV. NIU and Fresno are both 1-6 teams and the Aztecs defeated them both by 14. The Aztecs were spotting nearly 20 points to South Alabama and lost outright.

The Spartans have played tougher competition than the Aztecs. They opened the year against a very good Tulsa team. They also played Utah, Iowa State and a tough New Mexico team. SJSU hung with the Utes and eventually lost by just 17. They also played toe-to-toe with New Mexico and ended up losing by just seven. The Spartans defeated Nevada last week so they come in feeling pretty good off of that game. SJSU can also run the ball and attempt to limit the Aztexcs possessions. They have three RB?s that have combined to rush for nearly 1000 yards. The Aztecs have simply not done enough to warrant spotting a number like this against a fierce rival like the one they?ll see here. The Spartans could play keep-away here and easily bring this one in under the number, even with a big yardage deficit.

Oregon @ California
Pick: Over 89

There are two remaining unbeaten teams in Pac-12 Conference play. Oregon is not one of them. In fact, the Ducks have yet to win a conference game in three tries and face another difficult task on Friday night when they face Cal on the road. The up-tempo Air Raid offense of the Bears is bound to give Oregon and its defense fits.

The Ducks, which started the season 2-0, have lost four straight thanks mostly to a defense that has plenty of holes. Oregon is 125th out of 128 FBS teams in scoring defense giving up 41.8 points per game. Cal puts up 530 yards and over 42 points a game and has one of the nation?s most efficient quarterbacks in Davis Webb. The 6-5 senior completes nearly 65 percent of his passes and has thrown for 2,256 yards and 22 touchdowns so far for Cal.

Oregon head coach Mark Helfrich can take solace in the fact that Cal isn?t very good on defense either. The Bears are 3-3 because they give up 40 points a game (123rd nationally). The Ducks still run their up-tempo spread-to-run offense, but they have had some difficulty at the quarterback position. Graduate transfer Dakota Prukop has given way to Justin Herbert, a 6-6 freshman who has had his share of problems at the position. His biggest problem in the Ducks last game was facing one of the nation?s best defenses ? Washington.

Webb, who injured a hand in Cal?s 47-44 overtime loss to Oregon State, is expected to start. A win puts Cal another step closer to bowl eligibility. Oregon needs a win to salvage its season and help save Helfrich?s job.

CALIFORNIA -3 over Oregon

We could write five pages explaining Oregon?s dominance over the years in the Pac-12 and how they beat up on teams like Cal for a long time. In those five pages, we could also give you plenty of examples of Oregon running up the score on opponents, as if a 63-14 victory was more beneficial to them than a 42-14 victory. Well, there is almost always a price to pay for rubbing your opponents face in it for years and the Ducks are going to continue to pay that price for the next while.

Oregon hasn't covered a game all year and one reason we're still selling is the above effect. The market still sees the Ducks as an explosive team that can compete but we don?t see it that way at all. We see the Ducks being the whipping boy of this conference for at least the rest of this season and probably longer. They deserve it too. Cal has had this one circled on its calendar for a long time. The Ducks have won the last seven meetings in this series. Some of those scores were 43-15, 42-3, 55-16, 59-17 and 59-41. This now becomes a rare opportunity for the underdog-turned-favorite to kick the oppressors while they're down. The Golden Bears will show no mercy here whatsoever and the Ducks will continue to be a great fade at short prices like this on the road until they do a complete overhaul to their entire coaching staff. A monkey in silk is still a monkey so do not let the Ducks pedigree and previous domination influence you in this one. Cal will be ready.

California -3

I simply trust the Cal Golden Bears more here. They have shown me enough to know that they are the better team in this matchup. With wins over the likes of Utah and Texas at home, they certainly have proven they are capable of beating quality teams on their home turf.

I think California comes in undervalued due to its 44-47 loss at Oregon State as 13.5-point favorites. But the Golden Bears caught a bad break when Davis Webb hurt his hand early in that contest, and finished just 23 of 44 passing for 113 yards with an interception. The injury clearly had an effect on him, but he?s fully healthy now that he?s had nearly two weeks off in between games.

I?m also certain that Oregon has its worst team in a long time in 2016. The Ducks are just 2-4 with their only wins coming at home against UC Davis and Virginia. But when they have taken a step up in competition in their last four games, they have been overmatched.

They did suffer a narrow road loss 32-35 at Nebraska and a slim 38-41 home loss to Colorado, but their last two games have really shown their true colors. The Ducks were outgained by 235 yards in a 33-51 loss at Washington State and by 273 yards in an ugly 21-70 home loss to Washington.

This four-game losing streak has forced head coach Mark Helfrich, who is clearly on his hot seat, to question his quarterback play. He switched from Dakota Prukop to Justin Herbert for the Washington game. It was an interesting move considering Prukop was completing 66.2 percent of his passes with eight touchdowns and two interceptions before getting demoted. Either way, having a QB controversy is not good for the program.

The real problem for the Ducks is on defense, where they just can?t stop anyone. They are giving up 41.8 points, 522.7 yards per game and 6.5 yards per play this season. The Golden Bears have only been slightly better on that side of the ball, but I trust them to get more stops than Oregon in this game.

Back to Davis Webb, who is having an excellent season and is clearly an NFL-caliber starter. He is completing 60.8 percent of his passes for 2,256 yards with 22 touchdowns and seven interceptions. But the Golden Bears are far from one-dimensional as they?re averaging 152 rushing yards and 4.8 per carry. This balance has led to the offense putting up 42.3 points and 530.2 yards per game against opponents that only allow 29.3 points and 415 yards per game.

Cal is going to be highly motivated to end a seven-game losing streak to Oregon in this series. This is its best chance to beat the Ducks in quite some time, and just like Washington ended its 12-game skid to Oregon, I expect the Golden Bears to do the same at home Friday night. Cal has won both of its home games this season while Oregon has lost both of its road contests.

Plays against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OREGON) ? off a home loss by 14 or more points are 33-11 (75%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Ducks are the only winless team ATS this season and are 0-7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall. The Golden Bears are 7-1 ATS after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.


San Jose State (+23.5) over San Diego State

This game puzzled me when the numbers were posted late Sunday night and I completely shocked that this number hasn't moved. San Diego St is the better team but the Aztecs have had trouble covering big numbers and in their last three games the Aztecs have covered only one of those games. San Jose St is coming off a big win at home against Nevada 14-10 and the Spartans have covered two out of their last three games. Expect San Diego St to run the ball all night and if the Spartans can get double-digit points on the road they should be able to cover this game. Still not sold on San Diego St as they have played a weak schedule and I still can't get over the loss to South Alabama earlier in the month. San Jose St is 5-2 ATS in the month of October and the Aztecs are 1-4 ATS after scoring less than 20 points in their last game.

SOUTH FLORIDA AT TEMPLE
PLAY: TEMPLE +7

South Florida has been good to me this season. I was very high on this team at end of the 2015 campaign and expected big things for the Bulls this year. They certainly haven?t disappointed with a 6-1 slate, and there was no disgrace in the one loss to Florida State.

Temple projected to decline a bit off their sensational 2015 season, and at 4-3 the Owls are indeed down a bit from last year. But Matt Rhule?s team is hanging in there and I think it?s fair to offer they?re turning out to be a decent team. Throw out that opening week disaster against Army, and they?ve really only been outplayed just one other time.

The stats on this game are interesting. There is no question USF has a big edge on offense. The Bulls are very explosive and they?re really close to being a Top 25 squad when they?ve got the football. The defense is another story, though. It?s not an awful stop unit, and teams that run the fast offense will sometimes end up with somewhat skewed defensive stats. But it?s not a great defense and I think Temple has a decent chance to do some damage tonight.

The edge I like is the Temple defense. The Owls are not a cinch to throw on, and the play in the trenches is definitely getting better. I don?t see them shutting down the prolific Bulls, but I believe they can at least contain Quinton Flowers and company to some extent.

It?s no secret that I like underdogs that have a defensive advantage. I also like what I?m seeing when breaking down the models on this game, which have South Florida winning but not by very much. I do have some concerns about the injury situation in the Owls secondary as Sean Chandler remains out and it looks like Nate Jones will also miss this game.

Ideally, I wanted a bit more than I?m getting at the current tag to make the play on Temple. But I definitely lean to the Owls this evening at the current +7, and I?ll make them today?s free play.
 
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