(thurs:0-5 -9.44)
37-35-6 +18.44
ML:24-18 +19.94 (faves:12-6 +12.89) (dogs:12-12 +7.05)
RL:5-6 +0.26
1st5:3-1-3 +2.5 (faves:3-0-1 +3.5) (dogs:0-1-2 -1.0)
totals:0-4-1 -7.98 (ov:0-2 -4.5) (un:0-2-1 -3.48)
team totals:2-1-2 +1.02 (ov:2-1-2 +1.02)
parlays:3-5 +2.7
=====
[next RL breakdown doesn't match on the W-L above as if I play both and lose/push then it's 1 loss,]
[...play both and win/win or lose/lose then it's 1 win or 1 loss; +/- matches, as you can see]
(RL(-1):1-1-1 +0.69 (faves:1-1-1 +0.69)*(dogs))
(RL(-1.5):5-5 -0.43 (faves:2-2 -0.28)*(dogs:3-3 -0.15))
[*obviously fave/dog means -line or +line on the RL's]
(NL ML:9-7 +6.18 (faves:6-4 +4.79) (dogs:3-3 +1.39))
(NL RL:5-4 +3.13)
(NL 1st5:1-1 0 (faves:1-0 +1.0) (dogs:0-1 -1.0))
(NL tot:0-2 -4.3 (ov:0-1 -2.44) (un:0-1 -1.86)
(NL t.tot:1-0 +1.34 (ov:1-0 +1.34))
(AL ML:15-11 +13.76 (faves:6-2 +8.1) (dogs:9-9 +5.66))
(AL RL:0-2 -2.87)
(AL 1st5:2-0-3 +2.5 (faves:2-0-1 +2.5) (dogs:0-0-2 0))
(AL tot:0-2-1 -3.68 (ov:0-1 -2.06) (un:0-1-1 -1.62))
(AL t.tot:1-1-2 -0.32 (ov:1-1-2 -0.32))
(Jays sides:4-3 +4.94 (1-0 faves/3-3 dogs))
(bigguns(risk=>3.0):5-2 +11.05 (sides:5-2 +11.05))
(windays-losedays: 6-6)(best:+15.57(11-4-1))(worst:-9.44(0-5))
(streak:1 L days)(str.best//worst:4W+26.83(25-14-3)apr9-12//3L-4.92(3-6-1)apr6-8)
Shit happens.
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Only partially dedicated to Baez and Qualls.
Sorry, Paul Simon.
some OPS numbers (corrected) due to earlier unrealized espn incompetence; left original to show a 2 or 3 day change...whatevas
reds +100 1/1
---key prospect Leake had a good spring while Duke has been poor vs reds in 10; Leake was very good in his first, vs cubs, save for 7 BB but nerves were in his MLdebut, no doubt; if the Pirates and Orioles play this year be sure to watch
; caveat: reds OPS an early .709(make that .699) vs L and don't play well on the road while Pitt is early .759(.752) vs R and play pretty well at homebrewers -1.5 +109 1.83/2
---Y.G.'s been great vs in 2+1 including 1 start @ and could wake up here as he had a good spring while his early trouble has been limited to a few shaky innings; Lannan has overachieved the past 2 seasons and the brew-crew love facing him (7.11 era in his 3 starts with the worst 2 being at home) as they do most lefties; Nats OPS .656(.742) vs R while mil is .754(.772) vs L...is early but brew# likely goes up more than Nats; mil 12-9 on the road to L '09 which was their only over .500 on that 4-way split; brewers pen also better; c'mon, already!...69 miles to the gallon!
Phillies -1.5 -105 4.2/4
---yeah...I know...well, got this one before yesterday's fiasco concluded; Doc has been great and he is majorly consistent...I've been catching him for years as these tool stations is T.O. refuse to broadcast other teams...he's had 1 so-so start vs and 1 bad start vs (@) ...the Land Shark was '06 while the short mediocre was last year; I know Flor seems to be coming on a bit but remember that was reds...on the road; Philly .909(.955) vs R while Flor is .717(.790) (.779 to .764 '09) while Philly loves home and fish dunlike road; Philly should smoked yesterday but slept walked--should be a slapper-wake-up; as for Sanchez, he's been mediocre vs including crappy in 5@Citizens Bank, as well as nothing special in his 1st vs dodgers; freakin' Ibanez used to have game...tool
Dodgers -1.5 +151 1/1.51
---Padilla can't be trusted but I'll take him over sWellemeyer; LAD knows this is a key early series and with Lincecum facing their knuckleballer tomorrow they'd be smart to take what they can; LAD not hitting pre-season but now up to .866(.872) vs R while giants are .749(.779); LAD 37-22 at home to R '09 while G-men were 26-31 on the road to R; caveat: Dodgers pen underachieving this year while giants' looks good
tex@NYY un9 -125 1.25/1
---lefty Wilson has good number vs (17 relief app) and was great in his opener, as well as having a good spring; C.C. pretty good vs in 13 and pitches well at the new stadium; rangers OPS a lowly .654(.623) vs L so far (.758 '09); caveats: NYY, as usual, a whopping .895(1.045!) vs L while both teams have middle relief middle-of-the-road at best; I'd fade me, here:box2:
white sox -131 3.93/3
---Buehrle has already tossed a beauty at Prog.Field this year while Clev is a basement dwelling .458(.489) vs L so far (.765 '09); I think Talbot is good fade material but friggin' Scott Olsen should-woulda-coulda been, too
; Indians couldn't hit for shit at home last year (.717), for some reason, and so far are at .616(.591) with 2 scored in the whopping sample of 1 at Regressive Field...that didn't sound right...actually it's 7 scored through 3 (vs killer staff of Tex)...fuck espn.cum...you'd think they'd update their shit once every few days...switching to mlb.pms for the rest...if above '010 OPS are wrong my lawyers number is 269-666-1313<--numbers corrected, at this point, as mentioned-->
angels@Blue Jays un9 -128 1.28/1
---jack tanned the half-a-run; well love is love and not fade away
Might put Beckett on a parlay. I'll have to consult my astrologist and get back to you on that.
royals +120 1.5/1.8
---Twins hitting well at home but actually doing better vs L so far, same as in '09...Twins .754 vs R while kc is .783 after hitting quite well during the spring; both SP's good vs including in the Metrodome; both have 1 good and 1 poor in their first 2 though Baker's good was @ a chisox team that was refusing to hit early while Cy's was vs the tigers...Greinke's poor was @Fenway while Baker was crap @the Angels; I like this under but a 7.5 -115 will have to wait until I'm convinced that we have a Hirschbeck, Eddings, Cuzzi etc ump'ing...maybe even a Wally Bell...pushing the luck there, maybe, as kc's middle relief is pretty funny (Twins pen looks great, despite no Joe)
A's -1 +100 1.5/1.5
---A's only .688 vs R so far (.738 '09) but o's a paltry .626 vs L (.691 '09, not to mention .690 on the road (overall) for o's in '09); A's .777 at home through 5 while o's .733 through 4 on road incl. their 3 @hitter-friendly Tropicana; Braden has been great in 4+1 vs and Millwood so-so in 5@Oakl.Coll.; both SP's decent early but the unruly lefty more so and he's seems more reliable; A's 29-25 at home to R '09 while o's were 12-21 on the road to L (0-2 at home vs L this year with none on the road, assuming that another site isn't cheesing me likewise)
I like Felix but the M's O is a no-go at this gold-encrusted price.
That's plenty unless I decide that I want to give it all back. WTF...still early.
I get my ass kicked and I may hide for a few days.
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