record 23-22
Florida St. +9
Think Florida is getting a little too much respect here. FSU has a lot of quickness and athleticism this year. They have been getting a lot of steals and causing turnovers and had 15 steals and forced 24 turnovers against Iowa in their last game. Florida has been getting outrebounded consistently and settles for too many jump shots as they have just 46 FT attempts the last 3 games. Gators aren't forcing nearly as many turnovers as in the past few seasons either. Florida has struggled at the FT line and Nelson is not shooting well from the perimeter. Think this will be a close game so will take the points.
FIU +6.5
Not sure why Wisconsin Milwaukee is laying this many on a neutral floor. They beat Mississippi Valley St. by 2, lose to a poor SE Missouri St. team by 14, and beat Maine and Indiana St. They don't appear to be a good rebounding team as they have a -3 rebound margin per game against pretty weak competition. FIU was pretty good defensively last season and is allowing just 41% FGs this season compared to UWM's 46%. FIU also does a much better job getting to the FT line avg. 31 attempts per game as opposed to UWM's 15 attempts. Game looks pretty evenly matched so will take the dog.
Florida St. +9
Think Florida is getting a little too much respect here. FSU has a lot of quickness and athleticism this year. They have been getting a lot of steals and causing turnovers and had 15 steals and forced 24 turnovers against Iowa in their last game. Florida has been getting outrebounded consistently and settles for too many jump shots as they have just 46 FT attempts the last 3 games. Gators aren't forcing nearly as many turnovers as in the past few seasons either. Florida has struggled at the FT line and Nelson is not shooting well from the perimeter. Think this will be a close game so will take the points.
FIU +6.5
Not sure why Wisconsin Milwaukee is laying this many on a neutral floor. They beat Mississippi Valley St. by 2, lose to a poor SE Missouri St. team by 14, and beat Maine and Indiana St. They don't appear to be a good rebounding team as they have a -3 rebound margin per game against pretty weak competition. FIU was pretty good defensively last season and is allowing just 41% FGs this season compared to UWM's 46%. FIU also does a much better job getting to the FT line avg. 31 attempts per game as opposed to UWM's 15 attempts. Game looks pretty evenly matched so will take the dog.