Friday Hoops

xerri

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Sep 10, 1999
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record 35-40

Old Dominion +5, 3 units
Don't see why Dayton is favored by this much here. They are 0-2 on the road losing to some mediocre teams in St. Louis and Miami OH by 8 and 15. ODU has played good defense this season allowing just 65 ppg and 43% FGs. Monarchs also doing a good job on the glass with a +12 margin per game and they outrebounded E. Carolina 44-29 and N. Carolina 40-31. If ODU can shoot the ball a little better from the perimeter they should get the win at home so will take the points.

Cal Poly +5, 2 units
New Orleans has played a very weak schedule and is struggling losing their last 2 games to SW Texas St. and Lipscomb, 2 very bad losses. Cal Poly played much better last game adding 2 key players. 6-7 senior Kamara should add some depth in the frontcourt and had 14 points,14 boards, and 3 blocks in his 1st game back against Loyola Marymount. The Minnesota transfer Shane Schilling also made his 1st appearance scoring 16 points and should add some perimeter shooting and another scorer. Game is being played on a neutral court and I could see CP getting the win with the added depth as they should be greatly improved.

James Madison -5, 2 units
Denver has always been much better at home. They have struggled against the better teams they have faced losing by 20 to Wyoming, 28 to Montana, and 16 to Colorado St while all of their wins have been against very weak teams at home. James Madison has 10 players back including all 5 starters from last year's team. The rule with the 3 point line 9 inches farther back may hurt Denver as they attempt 25 per game which is about 40% of their shots and they don't have much on the interior while the Dukes have Caskill who is avg. 15.6 ppg and shooting 61% from the field. Like the Dukes to cover the low number against a poor Denver team.
 

xerri

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UL Lafayette -4, 2 units
Think Lafayette has too much size for Detroit in this game. Lafayette beat Mississippi St. in their 1st game then struggled without their 6-10 C Southall who came back 3 games ago and is avg. 18.7 ppg, shooting 74% from the field, and has 8 blocked shots. He should help their rebounding and improve their defense as he is a major presence on the interior. Lafayette also has the 6-11 Cameron and 6-9 Williams up front while Detroit's leading rebounders are 6-7 and 6-5. Cajuns also have a couple of good wing players in Boyd and Johnson. Boyd has made 34 3's in 6 games and avg. 21.5 ppg while Johnson is shooting 52% from the field with 18.5 ppg. Think Lafayette will dominate the paint in this game and get the cover.
 

xerri

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Utah +3.5, 3 units
Although Pepperdine has played better of late I am not sold on them. They still haven't beaten what I would consider a quality opponent beating Montana, Richmond, Fullerton, Long Beach, and UCSB. Utah is much better on defense giving up just 58 ppg on 39.5% shooting compared to Pepperdine's 80 ppg on 48% shooting. Utah will slow the pace of the game and should get some good looks against the Waves' defense. I don't think Johnsen's absence will hurt as badly as people think. Majerus always recruits good shooters and other guys will probably step up.
 
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