Adding Two Late Afternoon Games
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4)Towson State(+4) at 4:00 PM Est
5)Austin Peay(+7.5) at 6:00 PM Est
In the Towson State/Hofstra match-up, I see basically a saw off in the key stats when looking YTD AND at the last 5 games, BUT, Hofstra comes in losers S/U of their last 8 straight, including 3 as a favourite.
Towson has won their last 2 games, both of them on the road, and 5 of their last 7, and are a crisp 7-3 ATS in their last 10.
I'll take the hotter team getting points here.
In the Austin Peay/Tennessee Tech match-up, yes, Tech has better key numbers in 3 of the 4 categories I look at, but the single most important one for me is defensvie FG%, and these two teams are tied at 43.2% YTD.
If we just look at the last 5 games for both teams, Austin Peay is actually doing better in both offensive FG%.....47.3% to 46.6%....and in defensive FG%.....39.2% to 41.2%.
And very simply, they are not intimidated by this team...........they know they can play with them after taking them to double OT two weeks ago right on Tennssee Tech's home court.
One last factor I picked out.......This is Austin Peay's 5th game this year on a neutral court while it will be the first for Tech. Don't overlook the difference that will make.
Good luck.
Back later with night games........
