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dnuggets

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Dec 6, 2001
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Memphis - 1 1/2 stardust

Seattle - 2 1/2 betrio


Seattle has won 6 in a row, 5 in a row at home, and 7 of there last 8. Its not an accident that this team is winning now, they had some key injuries early on in the year and played a brutal schedule playing a lot more games than anyone else ealier this year. There 13-2 since Nov.10th when they have rest and mason is in the lineup. There is a 80% chance booth comes back tomm, and that only improves them in every way. Sonics have won there last 3 home games by 11 or more.


But all thats numbers, the facts are simple, when you are a jump shooting team, and even more so when your pf likes to play outside like vin does the sixers struggle. Yes they thumped phx, but phx has been a bad team for 3 weeks now in case no one has noticed, and dc didnt play in that game and i made the comment prior to the game that might help there ball movement and it did as they topped 100. With him in there, there slow, they dont get back, and he wants the ball to much to play with iverson. When you dont have to rely on going inside vs philly deke is not a factor like normal and the sonics are a great jump shooting team.


Memphis was due for a dud, i picked the right game to stay off them thankfully, but theyll rebound in this one. They have some good matchups in this game and have played really well overall of late. Theyve had two terrible offensive games, but against the hawks d (or lack there of) look for memphis to top 90 even 100 pretty easy. Knight is now a 100% and will be in this game. Memphis is 6-1 ats there last 7, atlanta is 3-14 on the road this year and has no wins on the road vs west teams. The griz will give them a lot of matchup problems, they dont have a pg that can stay with jw or knight, and battier will post terry all night.

If Toni K doesnt play this wont even be that close, hes the key, memphis should still win but hes the key guy to there road success or failure hes day to day always with a back problem. If he does play, grant long is a solid defender and should be ok but atl has no chance without him.

51-24 ytd
1-1 money lines +120

back with more probably soon....

[This message has been edited by dnuggets (edited 01-04-2002).]
 

MrChristo

The Zapper
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Nov 11, 2001
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Sexlexia...
Like 'em both early dnuggets.

Speaking of which...How are the Clips favoured in Denver?

That's 3 I like
wink.gif
 
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dnuggets

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Dec 6, 2001
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adding

Wolves -3 Betrio

Spurs -7 1/2 Betrio

Miami +8 Betrio


Wolves are 12-2 at home, one of those losses was a collapse vs dallas. Utah is playing much better overall right now, but they are still very thin after there starting 5, and dont really have the shooters to combat the zone the wolves love to play. Joe smith is questionable, im hoping he goes he makes a lot of little plays, takes charges, loose balls and stuff, id be shocked if he doesnt play from what ive heard.

Sa has won 3 in a row over indy, all by 12 or more. They won the game earlier this year by 18 at indy, and charles smith who has become a key guy for sa only played 2 minutes in that game. With him defending rose or miller late and bowen on the other that pretty much shuts those two down. Then you have duncan/drob/rose vs oneal who really has struggled vs sa. Its pretty simple here, indy doesnt stop anyone, there 5-11 vs teams over .500, and sa is a very very good home team and defensive team.


Miami has only one road loss all year by more than 7, that one loss was at ny when both grant and zo did not play. Even in that game they hung right in and a late 8-0 run made it a 9 pt loss when miami had a lead midway through the 4th. Miami while not being a good team, is starting to play together again and more importantly they played harder in the 4th game in 5 nights in indy than ive seen out of them all year. There nowhere near as bad as this record, and boston only has 3 home wins by double digits all year, vs chi, vs denver when everyone was banged up on a back to back ,and last game over orlando. Also, pp and walker are not 100%...

still probably gonna bet 3 more large card tomm....

[This message has been edited by dnuggets (edited 01-04-2002).]
 

dnuggets

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adding another one....

Wiz -10 sportsbook.com


Wiz have won there last 4 home games by 16 or more over atl, cha, nj and ny, all much better teams than chicago even more so on the road. Artest is the guy that broke jordans ribs, so set aside the fact that he wants to beat the bulls, or the fact that mj and cartwright dont get along, he wants to show up artest and mj on rest has been great all year. All four of those home wins were without rip also. Fizer is a question mark, as little as i think of him if he doesnt play that means more minutes for the kids who popeye will abuse by beating them to spots all night. Bulls do not have a road win all year, and have quit in many 2nd halves on the road all you need is to give them a reason and the wiz have been giving teams reasons to quit at home.
 

gsp

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May 26, 2000
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d, good call on Hou. Watch yourself on anything that NY or LAL are envolved in. Odd things happen as you found out last night. Dal could have won that game and should have. Have a little write-up on Mia that I started to post a couple of days ago. See if you agree with any of it. Good luck today.
 
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ClubFoot

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Dec 2, 2001
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Hey Dnuggs...You've been kicking some serious ass lately my man. Was also with you last night but had the rockets @ -2.5 (hate losing by .5). Anyway keep up the good work and hope to see you at halftime.

Forgot to ask you something...Do you still like the Spurs @ -8.5? Thanks.

[This message has been edited by ClubFoot (edited 01-04-2002).]
 

ClubFoot

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Dec 2, 2001
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Thanks dnuggs. I am playing the over on the Wiz/Bulls (brief write up on kcwolf's thread), do you have any opinion on this play? Thanks again buddy.
smile.gif
 
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hoppa

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Aug 29, 2001
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dnug-if you get a chance please let me know which on-line books you like. i love wagerstreet but they don't offer halftimes in hoops. i don't post much due time constraints but i do follow your analysis as well as others.
 
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dnuggets

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Dec 6, 2001
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Well tough day to say the least...I had la 2nd half but didnt have time to post it...at least that helped a little. Watching the wiz stop playing with a 24 pt lead at the end of the 3rd made me ill, and then the call vs brevin knight at the end of the hawks game costs us that game without question...nba is tough becasue on a night you should go 4-2 you go 2-4 on your straight games....


books i use and trust

betrio.com
thegreek.com(olympic)
pinnacle.com
betcris.com
i use others but those are the main 4

hopefully we get them tomm fellas
 
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