I had my best day of the college hoops season yesterday going 3-0 on my big plays and significantly increasing my BR.
Historically, I usually follow a big winning day with a loser so I'm playing two SMALL plays today:
Brown +5 (First Half)
Yale is the better team here and the Ivys usually are able to defend their home court.
That said, Yale hasn't played well of late, losing their L4 (not counting the tune-up win over RPI last week). They played a very tough early season schedule with their first 10 on the road. By the time they got back to New Haven to face Rhode Island on 1/8 they were clearly spent. Their fatigue also showed in their prior game vs Fairfield.
Brown is a streaky team and comes into this game having won 4 of their L6. But perhaps more importantly, their star Earl Hunt has been shooting lights out and their big guy Alai Nuualilita has been playing well too.
Both teams shoot well at 45% from the field, both like to run and this should be a high scoring game as Ivy games go.
For Yale, pg Alex Gamboa is doubtful. He had his appendix removed last Saturday and I don't see how he'll play tonite. Fellow pg Leanza has been playing well but Yale will miss Gamboa, who was the Ivy League rookie of the year last year. Yale will cover his absence by shifting the teams leading scorer Draughan to point.
Yale has been giving up a lot of second shots this season so I look for Nuualilita to have a big game on the boards.
Brown's Hunt has played well vs Yale in the past, averaging 25.5 ppg in their two meetings last year. The key to the game is Jason Forte. Forte leads the break, and in the game he scored 21 last year, Brown won 87-82. In the game where he went 1-8, Brown lost 80-77.
It's been nine days since Yale played a "real" game and I think they might come out a little flat, especially having to adjust to Gamboa not being in the line-up.
Yale is a 2H team anyway, having been outscored by its opponents this season 392-366 in the opening half while outscoring them 466-406 in the second half. Those numbers include the bs RPI game where Yale was up 45-22 at the half.
That means that Yale scores almost ten points more per game in 2H than the 1H.
I look for Brown to keep it close at least until the half.
Loyola-Maryland +6
I'll let Box cover this one, but this years Marist team isn't as good as last years.
Historically, I usually follow a big winning day with a loser so I'm playing two SMALL plays today:
Brown +5 (First Half)
Yale is the better team here and the Ivys usually are able to defend their home court.
That said, Yale hasn't played well of late, losing their L4 (not counting the tune-up win over RPI last week). They played a very tough early season schedule with their first 10 on the road. By the time they got back to New Haven to face Rhode Island on 1/8 they were clearly spent. Their fatigue also showed in their prior game vs Fairfield.
Brown is a streaky team and comes into this game having won 4 of their L6. But perhaps more importantly, their star Earl Hunt has been shooting lights out and their big guy Alai Nuualilita has been playing well too.
Both teams shoot well at 45% from the field, both like to run and this should be a high scoring game as Ivy games go.
For Yale, pg Alex Gamboa is doubtful. He had his appendix removed last Saturday and I don't see how he'll play tonite. Fellow pg Leanza has been playing well but Yale will miss Gamboa, who was the Ivy League rookie of the year last year. Yale will cover his absence by shifting the teams leading scorer Draughan to point.
Yale has been giving up a lot of second shots this season so I look for Nuualilita to have a big game on the boards.
Brown's Hunt has played well vs Yale in the past, averaging 25.5 ppg in their two meetings last year. The key to the game is Jason Forte. Forte leads the break, and in the game he scored 21 last year, Brown won 87-82. In the game where he went 1-8, Brown lost 80-77.
It's been nine days since Yale played a "real" game and I think they might come out a little flat, especially having to adjust to Gamboa not being in the line-up.
Yale is a 2H team anyway, having been outscored by its opponents this season 392-366 in the opening half while outscoring them 466-406 in the second half. Those numbers include the bs RPI game where Yale was up 45-22 at the half.
That means that Yale scores almost ten points more per game in 2H than the 1H.
I look for Brown to keep it close at least until the half.
Loyola-Maryland +6
I'll let Box cover this one, but this years Marist team isn't as good as last years.
