Friday service plays 10/24/2008
- Thread starter quanjin
- Start date
- Apr 7, 2008
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Larry Ness' 9* WAC Showdown (6-1 CFB run)
Larry easily won his Big Ten 9* on 10/18, as Oh St (-3.5) crushed Mich St, 45-7. That win was part of his current 6-1 (85.7%) run in CFB since last Thursday (10/16). Larry's biggest play in the WAC this season goes Friday, as Boise St visits San Jose St. "Don't get caught on the sidelines" for Larry's 9* WAC Showdown on Friday!
San Jose State
Larry easily won his Big Ten 9* on 10/18, as Oh St (-3.5) crushed Mich St, 45-7. That win was part of his current 6-1 (85.7%) run in CFB since last Thursday (10/16). Larry's biggest play in the WAC this season goes Friday, as Boise St visits San Jose St. "Don't get caught on the sidelines" for Larry's 9* WAC Showdown on Friday!
San Jose State
BEN BURNS
BEST BET "TOTAL" BLOWOUT
I'm playing on Boise State and San Jose State to finish UNDER the total. This total has dropped a couple of points. More often than not, I'd be playing against the line move. However, in this case, I feel that the move is warranted and that we're still getting solid value with the UNDER. I played on Boise State 'under' last week and noted that the Broncos were known for their high-powered offense but that their defense was also superb this year. The Broncos responded by allowing just seven points. Remarkably, they have now held five of six opponents to seven points or less. The Broncos will be matched up against another extremely tough defense. The Spartans limited New Mexico State to just 284 total yards and 14 points last week. Coach Tomey noted: "We had a lot of sacks, a lot of pressure, a lot of tackles for loss and the pressure was intense. Our defensive front is a good outfit." While the boxscore will show that the Spartans scored 31 points in that game, a closer look reveals that the final score was actually quite deceiving. That's because San Jose State managed only 201 total yards and 14 of the Spartans points came on interception returns for touchdowns. Additionally, the Spartans' only two offensive scoring drives (38 yards and 12 yards) both came when they had the advantage of playing on a short field. The previous week, San Jose State held Utah State to just seven points and a mere 190 yards. In three home games overall, the Spartans are allowing an average of only nine points and 196.7 yards. Not surprisingly, the UNDER has been profitable for both teams. The Broncos have seen four of their five games which had a total stay beneath the total. Meanwhile, the Spartans have seen the UNDER go 5-1 in their six games which had an over/under line. Including last year's meeting at Boise, the UNDER is now a remarkable 17-2 in the Spartans' last 19 conference games. The Spartans have also seen the UNDER go a highly profitable 38-13 their last 51 games with a total when they were listed as underdogs. The UNDER is 11-5 the last 16 times that Boise played on the road and I look for another well-played defensive battle this evening. *Best Bet
BEST BET "TOTAL" BLOWOUT
I'm playing on Boise State and San Jose State to finish UNDER the total. This total has dropped a couple of points. More often than not, I'd be playing against the line move. However, in this case, I feel that the move is warranted and that we're still getting solid value with the UNDER. I played on Boise State 'under' last week and noted that the Broncos were known for their high-powered offense but that their defense was also superb this year. The Broncos responded by allowing just seven points. Remarkably, they have now held five of six opponents to seven points or less. The Broncos will be matched up against another extremely tough defense. The Spartans limited New Mexico State to just 284 total yards and 14 points last week. Coach Tomey noted: "We had a lot of sacks, a lot of pressure, a lot of tackles for loss and the pressure was intense. Our defensive front is a good outfit." While the boxscore will show that the Spartans scored 31 points in that game, a closer look reveals that the final score was actually quite deceiving. That's because San Jose State managed only 201 total yards and 14 of the Spartans points came on interception returns for touchdowns. Additionally, the Spartans' only two offensive scoring drives (38 yards and 12 yards) both came when they had the advantage of playing on a short field. The previous week, San Jose State held Utah State to just seven points and a mere 190 yards. In three home games overall, the Spartans are allowing an average of only nine points and 196.7 yards. Not surprisingly, the UNDER has been profitable for both teams. The Broncos have seen four of their five games which had a total stay beneath the total. Meanwhile, the Spartans have seen the UNDER go 5-1 in their six games which had an over/under line. Including last year's meeting at Boise, the UNDER is now a remarkable 17-2 in the Spartans' last 19 conference games. The Spartans have also seen the UNDER go a highly profitable 38-13 their last 51 games with a total when they were listed as underdogs. The UNDER is 11-5 the last 16 times that Boise played on the road and I look for another well-played defensive battle this evening. *Best Bet
- Apr 7, 2008
- 4,291
- 0
- 36
3Daily Winners
(12-1 run)
Boise State vs. San Jose State
Play: San Jose State
An undercurrent of talk is developing about Boise State making a return to the BCS rotation if they stay unbeaten and the other non-BCS teams continue to falter. This is a different Broncos team, not fully immersed in just scoring points. Boise State is still scoring enough to average 32.5 points a game, just not the more than 40 points an outing we are accustomed to seeing. The real strength of the 2008 version of the Broncos is a defense that keeps the opposition from scoring points. They are second in the country only to USC in points allowed at 10.5 per game. This is third straight season Boise State is in the Top 25 and unbeaten headed to San Jose. In 2004, the Broncos blocked a field goal at the end of regulation and went on to defeat the Spartans 56-49 in overtime as 32.5-point favorites. Two seasons ago they erased an eight-point deficit in the fourth quarter with a touchdown and two-point conversion and kicked a game-winning field goal in the closing seconds to escape 23-20. Both years the Broncos finished undefeated. San Jose State is 5-2 and 5-1 against the spread this season, again playing with the toughness veteran coach Dick Tomey demands. The Spartans have been in every game except Nebraska and even then they out-gained the Huskers by 38 yards. Boise State allows fewer points than San Jose State, but the Spartans are number one in total defense in the WAC and are ranked 13th nationally at 272.6 yards per game allowed. San Jose State can match many of the things Boise State does well, like forcing 20 turnovers and sacking the quarterback 25 times. They are 5-0 ATS as home underdogs the last two years. The Spartans are 13-2 ATS after playing their last game on the road. Boise State wins, by only 3 or 4 points.
(12-1 run)
Boise State vs. San Jose State
Play: San Jose State
An undercurrent of talk is developing about Boise State making a return to the BCS rotation if they stay unbeaten and the other non-BCS teams continue to falter. This is a different Broncos team, not fully immersed in just scoring points. Boise State is still scoring enough to average 32.5 points a game, just not the more than 40 points an outing we are accustomed to seeing. The real strength of the 2008 version of the Broncos is a defense that keeps the opposition from scoring points. They are second in the country only to USC in points allowed at 10.5 per game. This is third straight season Boise State is in the Top 25 and unbeaten headed to San Jose. In 2004, the Broncos blocked a field goal at the end of regulation and went on to defeat the Spartans 56-49 in overtime as 32.5-point favorites. Two seasons ago they erased an eight-point deficit in the fourth quarter with a touchdown and two-point conversion and kicked a game-winning field goal in the closing seconds to escape 23-20. Both years the Broncos finished undefeated. San Jose State is 5-2 and 5-1 against the spread this season, again playing with the toughness veteran coach Dick Tomey demands. The Spartans have been in every game except Nebraska and even then they out-gained the Huskers by 38 yards. Boise State allows fewer points than San Jose State, but the Spartans are number one in total defense in the WAC and are ranked 13th nationally at 272.6 yards per game allowed. San Jose State can match many of the things Boise State does well, like forcing 20 turnovers and sacking the quarterback 25 times. They are 5-0 ATS as home underdogs the last two years. The Spartans are 13-2 ATS after playing their last game on the road. Boise State wins, by only 3 or 4 points.
