- Mar 2, 2006
- 4,794
- 120
- 0
ATS: 88-62-4 (+25.6)
OU: 52-45-1 (+2.3)
ML dogs: 2-5 (+1.1)
Spurs vs. Grizzlies
Since the 2010 season, the Grizzlies are 20-2 SU (+8.6 ppg) and 17-5 ATS when seeking same season revenge at home as a favorite when their assist to turnover ratio was less than 2 in the previous matchup.
The Grizzlies as a home favorite seeking same season revenge since the 2010 season are 20-4 SU (+6.9 ppg) and 17-7 ATS. Since the 2011 calendar year, the Grizzlies are 15-2 SU (+8.7 ppg) and 13-4 ATS as a home favorite vs. a divisional foe.
The Spurs playing as a road dog following a game where their turnover to assist ratio was less than 2 are 4-17 SU (-7.3 ppg) and 7-14 ATS. The Spurs as a road dog this year are 0-4 SU (-10.5 ppg) and in their last twelve are 2-10 SU (-9.8 ppg) and 3-9 ATS. The Spurs trying to beat a team on the road after beating them at home, when playing as a dog are 6-14 SU (-7.5 ppg) since the 2010 season. The Spurs are 2-5 SU on the road this year vs. teams with a winning percentage, with their only two wins coming against Boston and Milwaukee.
In their last three games, the transition defense of Memphis has been excellent, only allowing opponents 6.7 fast break points per game. "Playing in the half court doesn't work real well against [the Grizzlies]." --Gregg Popovich. Stopping the Spurs in transition will be key to the game tonight, and I think they are up to the task.
The Grizzlies as a home favorite on Friday nights are 15-3 SU (+6.3 ppg). The Grizzlies are 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS vs. teams with a winning record this season.
The Grizzlies have held their opponents to an average of 82.6 ppg in their last seven. Playing the under for a couple reasons, one being that it is a huge game for both teams, and defenses usually step up in these situation. In their last matchup, Conley had this to say: "It was very much like a playoff atmosphere. It always is in this matchup and we knew it was going to be a tough game." Friday night in Memphis should help contribute to this atmosphere.
Suns vs. Nets
Since Carlesimo took the reigns in Brooklyn, the Nets are an impressive 6-1. However, looking at their opponents during this stretch, they really only have one good win, over the Thunder. The rest of their opponents are bottom feeders in the NBA. The only other quality opponent they played in this stretch was the Spurs, and they lost by 30+.
The Suns have won their last 5 games on the road vs. the Nets and are 9-2 SU in their last 11. In fact, the Nets have not been favored over the Suns since 2003. Obviously there have been a lot of personnel changes in this time, but there is still something to be said for this kind of history. The Nets have the Pacers on deck next, which is an important game for them, so there may be some look-ahead.
I really don?t have many stats to back up this play. The Nets are clearly the better team, but I just have a feeling about the Suns tonight. This is mainly a play on the scheduling and the feeling that the Nets may go into this one with a little too much swagger. The line seems way too small too. Considering the Suns and Nets recent performances, this line should really be double digits. After a road win as a dog, when playing at home as a favorite the Nets are 4-10 SU (-6.2) and 3-10-1 ATS in their last fourteen.
But don?t say I didn?t warn you...the Suns as a road dog this season are 0-16 SU (-12.6)!!
Jazz vs. Hawks
The Hawks playing as a home favorite after a road loss are 12-2 SU (+12.4 ppg) and 10-4 ATS (average line -7). The Hawks as a home favorite after a ten point loss are 15-4 SU (+11.1 ppg) and 13-6 ATS. Since the 2011 season, teams coming off a 10 or more point loss in which they had more field goal attempts than their opponent are 20-4 SU (+9.5) and 15-9 ATS (average line -6.7). The Hawks playing as a home favorite after a road loss, when playing an isolated home game are 12-3 SU (+7 ppg) in their last fifteen.
I still think the Jazz are over-rated. Since the calendar year 2009, the Jazz are 3-16 SU (-9.3) and 7-12 ATS as a road dog following a road win. They are 3-11 SU (-8.6 ppg) and 4-10 ATS on the road as a dog this year. The Jazz are missing their two Williams for the game tonight, and this is a good spot for the Hawks to get out of their losing streak funk.
The Jazz are 1-7 (-11.4 pgg) and 2-6 on the road this season vs. teams with a winning record. Their only win came by two vs. New Jersey when they were in the middle of their losing streak.
Grizzlies -1.5
Spurs-Grizzlies UNDER 189
Suns +7.5
Suns ML +280
Hawks -4.5
Good luck...
OU: 52-45-1 (+2.3)
ML dogs: 2-5 (+1.1)
Spurs vs. Grizzlies
Since the 2010 season, the Grizzlies are 20-2 SU (+8.6 ppg) and 17-5 ATS when seeking same season revenge at home as a favorite when their assist to turnover ratio was less than 2 in the previous matchup.
The Grizzlies as a home favorite seeking same season revenge since the 2010 season are 20-4 SU (+6.9 ppg) and 17-7 ATS. Since the 2011 calendar year, the Grizzlies are 15-2 SU (+8.7 ppg) and 13-4 ATS as a home favorite vs. a divisional foe.
The Spurs playing as a road dog following a game where their turnover to assist ratio was less than 2 are 4-17 SU (-7.3 ppg) and 7-14 ATS. The Spurs as a road dog this year are 0-4 SU (-10.5 ppg) and in their last twelve are 2-10 SU (-9.8 ppg) and 3-9 ATS. The Spurs trying to beat a team on the road after beating them at home, when playing as a dog are 6-14 SU (-7.5 ppg) since the 2010 season. The Spurs are 2-5 SU on the road this year vs. teams with a winning percentage, with their only two wins coming against Boston and Milwaukee.
In their last three games, the transition defense of Memphis has been excellent, only allowing opponents 6.7 fast break points per game. "Playing in the half court doesn't work real well against [the Grizzlies]." --Gregg Popovich. Stopping the Spurs in transition will be key to the game tonight, and I think they are up to the task.
The Grizzlies as a home favorite on Friday nights are 15-3 SU (+6.3 ppg). The Grizzlies are 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS vs. teams with a winning record this season.
The Grizzlies have held their opponents to an average of 82.6 ppg in their last seven. Playing the under for a couple reasons, one being that it is a huge game for both teams, and defenses usually step up in these situation. In their last matchup, Conley had this to say: "It was very much like a playoff atmosphere. It always is in this matchup and we knew it was going to be a tough game." Friday night in Memphis should help contribute to this atmosphere.
Suns vs. Nets
Since Carlesimo took the reigns in Brooklyn, the Nets are an impressive 6-1. However, looking at their opponents during this stretch, they really only have one good win, over the Thunder. The rest of their opponents are bottom feeders in the NBA. The only other quality opponent they played in this stretch was the Spurs, and they lost by 30+.
The Suns have won their last 5 games on the road vs. the Nets and are 9-2 SU in their last 11. In fact, the Nets have not been favored over the Suns since 2003. Obviously there have been a lot of personnel changes in this time, but there is still something to be said for this kind of history. The Nets have the Pacers on deck next, which is an important game for them, so there may be some look-ahead.
I really don?t have many stats to back up this play. The Nets are clearly the better team, but I just have a feeling about the Suns tonight. This is mainly a play on the scheduling and the feeling that the Nets may go into this one with a little too much swagger. The line seems way too small too. Considering the Suns and Nets recent performances, this line should really be double digits. After a road win as a dog, when playing at home as a favorite the Nets are 4-10 SU (-6.2) and 3-10-1 ATS in their last fourteen.
But don?t say I didn?t warn you...the Suns as a road dog this season are 0-16 SU (-12.6)!!
Jazz vs. Hawks
The Hawks playing as a home favorite after a road loss are 12-2 SU (+12.4 ppg) and 10-4 ATS (average line -7). The Hawks as a home favorite after a ten point loss are 15-4 SU (+11.1 ppg) and 13-6 ATS. Since the 2011 season, teams coming off a 10 or more point loss in which they had more field goal attempts than their opponent are 20-4 SU (+9.5) and 15-9 ATS (average line -6.7). The Hawks playing as a home favorite after a road loss, when playing an isolated home game are 12-3 SU (+7 ppg) in their last fifteen.
I still think the Jazz are over-rated. Since the calendar year 2009, the Jazz are 3-16 SU (-9.3) and 7-12 ATS as a road dog following a road win. They are 3-11 SU (-8.6 ppg) and 4-10 ATS on the road as a dog this year. The Jazz are missing their two Williams for the game tonight, and this is a good spot for the Hawks to get out of their losing streak funk.
The Jazz are 1-7 (-11.4 pgg) and 2-6 on the road this season vs. teams with a winning record. Their only win came by two vs. New Jersey when they were in the middle of their losing streak.
Grizzlies -1.5
Spurs-Grizzlies UNDER 189
Suns +7.5
Suns ML +280
Hawks -4.5
Good luck...
Last edited:
