- Mar 2, 2006
- 4,794
- 120
- 0
ATS: 141-101-7 (+44.9)
OU: 72-62-2 (+2.5)
ML dogs: 5-9 (+2.6)
To try to get out of this little losing streak, I?m going with three teams that I have capped the best this season. There are some others I like, but...let?s see if this work
Warriors
The Celtics are home off a tough 5 game western road trip. They had a nice overtime win against the Jazz to end their trip.
While I expect that Bradley will have a huge impact on this game tonight for Boston, as one of the best on-ball defenders, Curry seems to have found his groove, and as a smart player, I think he can handle the pressure. The Warriors shut down Pierce and Garnett defensively in the match up earlier this year, and if they can do that again, the should come out with a win.
Taking care of the ball tonight is the key to this game for the both teams. The Celtics have the worst transition defense in the league, and the Warriors are fourth in the league in transition efficiency. The Celtics also struggle with put back baskets - they are 24th in the league in put back defense. After David Lee?s suspension, I expect him to come out with some fire on the offensive boards, and he is one of the best at scrapping up loose boards and putting them back in. He is averaging 27.7 points and 12.0 boards in his last three matchups against Boston.
The Warriors have struggled on the road recently, but I think they have a good chance to come out with a couple important wins in their next two games.
Nets
Come on, the Mavericks have GOT to be deflated now, right?? Two home losses as favorites, followed by a game where they held a twenty point lead and let their opponent go on a 40-9 run, and eventually win it? Is the fight gone? This team perpetually surprises me with their resilience, but I?m just not seeing it tonight against a good Nets team at home on a Friday night. That's it. I know it is not much, but I watch both these teams all the time. The bubble has got to burst.
Nuggets
Big game tonight for the Nuggets to make a statement about who they are in western conference right now. A few days ago I posted all this fun stuff about playing in Denver:
?Denver is a tough place to play. The Nuggets push the pace even better at home than they do on the road. They are 23-3 at home this season [now 24-4], and they outscore their opponents at home by well over 9 points per 100 possessions. Most likely due to their pace and partly due to the altitude, their defense is better at home as well - 5 points per 100 possessions better, they force 2% more turnovers at home (which is a jump from 24th on the road in the league to 3rd at home). Since the start of 2013, they have forced their opponents into 16.9 [now 16.8] turnovers per game, which leads to a lot of fast break points. They lead the league in fast break points since the calendar year 2013.
The Nuggets play a relentless style and are constantly attacking the rim. The Nuggets have a huge edge at home, and they want to secure a first round playoff series at home. I think they are fully capable of catching up to Memphis, but they need to win every game, especially every home game.?
And, that is all still true. The Thunder have had a few ?cake walk? games, but now they face two tough opponents on the road. Brooks will not be out-coaching his mentor Karl tonight.
Warriors +4.5
Warriors ML +155
Nets -3.5
Nuggets PK x2
Good luck...
OU: 72-62-2 (+2.5)
ML dogs: 5-9 (+2.6)
To try to get out of this little losing streak, I?m going with three teams that I have capped the best this season. There are some others I like, but...let?s see if this work
Warriors
The Celtics are home off a tough 5 game western road trip. They had a nice overtime win against the Jazz to end their trip.
While I expect that Bradley will have a huge impact on this game tonight for Boston, as one of the best on-ball defenders, Curry seems to have found his groove, and as a smart player, I think he can handle the pressure. The Warriors shut down Pierce and Garnett defensively in the match up earlier this year, and if they can do that again, the should come out with a win.
Taking care of the ball tonight is the key to this game for the both teams. The Celtics have the worst transition defense in the league, and the Warriors are fourth in the league in transition efficiency. The Celtics also struggle with put back baskets - they are 24th in the league in put back defense. After David Lee?s suspension, I expect him to come out with some fire on the offensive boards, and he is one of the best at scrapping up loose boards and putting them back in. He is averaging 27.7 points and 12.0 boards in his last three matchups against Boston.
The Warriors have struggled on the road recently, but I think they have a good chance to come out with a couple important wins in their next two games.
Nets
Come on, the Mavericks have GOT to be deflated now, right?? Two home losses as favorites, followed by a game where they held a twenty point lead and let their opponent go on a 40-9 run, and eventually win it? Is the fight gone? This team perpetually surprises me with their resilience, but I?m just not seeing it tonight against a good Nets team at home on a Friday night. That's it. I know it is not much, but I watch both these teams all the time. The bubble has got to burst.
Nuggets
Big game tonight for the Nuggets to make a statement about who they are in western conference right now. A few days ago I posted all this fun stuff about playing in Denver:
?Denver is a tough place to play. The Nuggets push the pace even better at home than they do on the road. They are 23-3 at home this season [now 24-4], and they outscore their opponents at home by well over 9 points per 100 possessions. Most likely due to their pace and partly due to the altitude, their defense is better at home as well - 5 points per 100 possessions better, they force 2% more turnovers at home (which is a jump from 24th on the road in the league to 3rd at home). Since the start of 2013, they have forced their opponents into 16.9 [now 16.8] turnovers per game, which leads to a lot of fast break points. They lead the league in fast break points since the calendar year 2013.
The Nuggets play a relentless style and are constantly attacking the rim. The Nuggets have a huge edge at home, and they want to secure a first round playoff series at home. I think they are fully capable of catching up to Memphis, but they need to win every game, especially every home game.?
And, that is all still true. The Thunder have had a few ?cake walk? games, but now they face two tough opponents on the road. Brooks will not be out-coaching his mentor Karl tonight.
Warriors +4.5
Warriors ML +155
Nets -3.5
Nuggets PK x2
Good luck...
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