Full Disclosure - October 9th

[BigSlick]

I haven't posted my full card yet this year. By posting it now and vowing not to add anymore, I hope to honor the discipline I've had a hard time sticking to - not betting the whole f-ing board. That being said, if I add any other game or post to any threads and comment on games that aren't already in my card, please feel free to post dirty things about my mother, wife or anything else that you think is hurtful; I will have deserved it.

Anyway, here are my plays - I'll add commentary tomorrow (when I should be working):

Akron -9.5 4 units
Toledo -10 4 units
Texas Tech -6.5 6 units
UF -3 8 units maybe 10

Teaser: 2 units
Marshal even
No. Ill -7
UGA -1.5

Teaser: 2 units
Akron +1/5
Maryland -1
USC -1

1 Unit = $40 (dont ask why 40, I have superstititions w/the #4).

 

[BigSlick]

UF -3 over LSU Starting with my GOW - Of all the personnel losses, I think LSU fans must really miss Matt Mauck the most - the guy's importance to that team was really underscored by all the hype around their D and RBs last year. Plain and simple: without a field general to distribute the ball to the young receivers, this team will be 3 & out. UF will concentrate on stopping the LSU running game, making the hapless QBs to play catch-up and throw the ball. The poor QB play will counteract UF's putrid secondary play.

On the other side of the ball, looks like Leak and the young receivers are finally begining to click. When Arkansas commited to stopping Fason, Leak made them pay with a career high in passing yards. This is the best receiving core no one knows anything about. Like last year, LSU will blitz Leak and try to stop Fason. That means Leak will have quick dump-offs in the flats or under the vacated 2nd tier of the defense as well the deep fade.

Although I imagine a closer score than LSU/Georgia, I think the outcome will still be pretty similar - UF by 17 convincingly.

 

[BigSlick]

Texas Tech -7
Oddsmakers must be thinking that the public will refuse to spot Nebraska points unless its against Oklahoma. The game doesn't really need a ton of analysis, just math:

In their last 3 games, Nebraska put up 17, 24 and 14 points, all against marginal defenses with So. Miss being the best. Take their highest point total, the 24 they put on Pitt (the conquerors of Furman), and GIVE them 2 more touchdowns against Tech ... 38 points.

In their last 4 games, Tech has put up 13, 31, 70 and 24. The 13 against OU is a little misleading in that Cumbie (sp?) threw for over 350 yards (against the best D in the country) with the Offense putting up a total of over 400.

Tech will be at home. Tech has played more quality opponents, thus providing more than comparable speed, talent for their offense to prepare for.

So.Miss's primitive passing attack cut through the black-shirts shirts secondary at will. NU's offense is offensive.

Tech wins 48-35

 

[hawkeye]

Tex Tech is going to be one of my bigger plays-gl