Tough board. Gonna ramble some thoughts and see if I can make any sense of this measurement problem, not quite unakin to quantum somethingorother.
1pm est Carp & friends @ Edwin & company
--Carpenter is a tough call, here, with such limited work in his return & no starts vs Nats since 2010, including his only at NatsPark where he was mediocre at best. His experience will help and I can't see him going deeper than 6 innings--maybe 7 if he's dominant which seems unlikely.
--Jackson has always been erratic and that's certainly been the case lately, including vs Stl (very good home vs Aug 30th then shit @ Sept 28th). Never been streaky so you can usually throw out recent starts. As a result, I don't think I've done so hot either backing or fading him.
--sticks another hard call as Nats actually have a higher BA so far in the limited sample post-season while the cards with the higher OPS due to the homerage. Both clubs averaged just over 5 scored per game the final week of the season, stl finishing with 6 at home & Nats played 3@Stl before finishing with philly at home.
--wind supposedly out to right at 9mph, mostly sunny with 0% precip. Ump=Joe West.
I hate the line for this one but was thinking that, for Nats backers, the series price is probably a better play than the -113 ml for #3. I see the series at -128, now, but could've sworn it was -122or3 earlier.
Maybe ov7.5-101. I see both team totals have just opened, at pinnheads, at least, with both at 3.5. -106 stl & -113 Wash. Both could pan.
4pm est sf(Zito-L)@Cin(Latso?Lincoln?Liberace?)
--Despite Zito's ancient success and rather questionable recent success, I cannot and will not back him here. Reds and/or over for me if a line opens before I expire. Strong wind out to center at 17mph in this park doesn't hurt that over prospect. Ump is Dan Iassogna.
Gonna submit these first two in case armageddon happens and kills my power. (that would be a major bummer)
1pm est Carp & friends @ Edwin & company
--Carpenter is a tough call, here, with such limited work in his return & no starts vs Nats since 2010, including his only at NatsPark where he was mediocre at best. His experience will help and I can't see him going deeper than 6 innings--maybe 7 if he's dominant which seems unlikely.
--Jackson has always been erratic and that's certainly been the case lately, including vs Stl (very good home vs Aug 30th then shit @ Sept 28th). Never been streaky so you can usually throw out recent starts. As a result, I don't think I've done so hot either backing or fading him.
--sticks another hard call as Nats actually have a higher BA so far in the limited sample post-season while the cards with the higher OPS due to the homerage. Both clubs averaged just over 5 scored per game the final week of the season, stl finishing with 6 at home & Nats played 3@Stl before finishing with philly at home.
--wind supposedly out to right at 9mph, mostly sunny with 0% precip. Ump=Joe West.
I hate the line for this one but was thinking that, for Nats backers, the series price is probably a better play than the -113 ml for #3. I see the series at -128, now, but could've sworn it was -122or3 earlier.
Maybe ov7.5-101. I see both team totals have just opened, at pinnheads, at least, with both at 3.5. -106 stl & -113 Wash. Both could pan.
4pm est sf(Zito-L)@Cin(Latso?Lincoln?Liberace?)
--Despite Zito's ancient success and rather questionable recent success, I cannot and will not back him here. Reds and/or over for me if a line opens before I expire. Strong wind out to center at 17mph in this park doesn't hurt that over prospect. Ump is Dan Iassogna.
Gonna submit these first two in case armageddon happens and kills my power. (that would be a major bummer)
