FUNAI Classic

Stanley

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Outright plays (1.5pts):

Chris DiMarco to win 25/1 e.w. @ SkyBet, Victor Chandler, Ladbrokes, UKBetting and Totalbet
Hoping that Vijay will show the effects of playing in the damp and cold of the U.K. in the last two weeks, else he is a very strong candidate to earn his fourth consecutive PGA Tour title. If Vijay does stutter, DiMarco should be one of the favourites to capitalise. He has finished in the top-6 in four of his last six starts and led this event for most of the week in 2002, only to be denied by a final round 65 by Bob Burns. In this putting contest at Disney, DiMarco's Claw may give him just enough edge.

Zach Johnson to win 50/1 e.w. @ GolfingGods
Disappointed after a promising opening 68 last week, but still retained at these odds. His failings last week were with his short game, but it is worth noting that his putts per GIR rose in each round and after taking 30 putts in the first round, he then took 31, 31 and 36. It is clear that he coasted after a poor second nine on Friday took him out of contention and that is shown by the drop in concentration in his short game. He still ranked 1st in driving accuracy and 5th in greens in regulation on the week, so his game is still in good condition. It had earned him four consecutive top-15 finishes up to last week, including two top-3 finishes and he has prospered in Florida where he lives - in his last two events in this State this year, he has finished 13th and 6th, so there is every reason to expect a much stronger performance this weekend if he is in contention.

Duffy Waldorf to win 80/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes
Another who had shown good form until last week with three consecutive top-15 finishes. His last Tour victory came in this event in 2000, so he is another who should remain on the leaderboard if in contention at the start of the week. Should be no more than 50/1.
 

stomie

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Charles Howell III to win 54.33/1 @ pinnacle
Chris DiMarco to win 21/1 @ SIA
Fred Funk to win 80/1 @ WSEX (1/2 unit)
Show in top 4 Tom Lehman 7/1 @ Olympic

Charles Howell III over Chad Campbell +110 @ Olympic

Rod Pampling over Fredrik Jacobson -105 @ pinnacle

Fred Funk over Loren Roberts -105 @ pinnacle

Fred Funk over Jesper Parnevik -108 @ WSEX

Tom Lehman over Scott Verplank +100 @ pinnacle
 
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sports student

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Z Johnson -115 over Ames (bowmans or 5dimes)

As much as I was riding Ames early in the year, this line has to be based on his earlier rounds, not now. Wide gap between these two lately
 

veride

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Poland
Win Only :

Scott Verplank --> 33/1 Bet365

1/4 1-5 :

Bob Estes --> 80/1 Victor Chandler
Ben Crane --> 80/1 Victor Chandler
Tim Petrovic --> 100/1 Victor Chandler
Woody Austin --> 125/1 Bet365
 

veride

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Poland
Tie = Void

Scott Verplank to beat Jim Furyk --> -104 Expekt

Tie = Lost

Bob Estes to best J.L.Lewis --> -125 Ladbrokes
 

Stanley

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Matchup plays (1.5pts unless stated):

Zach Johnson to beat Chad Campbell -110 @ BlueSq
This has been a disappointing season for Campbell after the promise that he showed last year. He has been dogged by personal problems and while these have, apparently, now been resolved, he has a lot of confidence to rediscover in his game. He has recorded only one top-15 finish in the last six months and that was back in May. His game is not set up to profit from easy courses, so this is a strong play in favour of Johnson who has already been tipped to win this event.

Tom Lehman to beat Chad Campbell -122 @ WSEX
With top-4 finishes in three of his four starts, few can compete with Lehman in terms of form and Campbell cannot. He hasn't missed a cut here in twenty years and shouldn't do this week. Any repeat of his recent form and this will be any easy win.

Tim Clark to beat Pat Perez +100 @ Olympic
Clark finished over 30 places ahead of Perez when they both played in this event last year and he also finished 6th the year before. So with Clark also holding a 10-5-0 h2h lead over Perez in 2004, these look generous odds.

Robert Gamez to beat David Duval -112 @ WSEX
Will oppose Duval again. Gamez has been playing very consistently and has an excellent record in this event. It should be more than enough to beat Duval at this stage of his comeback.

Rod Pampling to beat Carlos Franco -110 @ Ladbrokes
Pampling hasn't missed a cut since the Western Open in a run that has seen him since the International in August and finish in the top-20 in his last two events. He hasn't finished Franco in any event since the PGA Championship, so the odds really should favour the Australian.

Fred Funk to beat Jerry Kelly +115 @ Five Dimes and Pinnacle
Good odds for a player who has finished ahead of his opponent in four of their last six common events. Add in Kelly's particularly poor record in this event and these odds look rather generous.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Can't make up mind which is fav 1st rd so will put up both.

Franco -127 (-1/2) stroke over Curtis @ WSEX
Lot of chalk here but considering 365 has -150 ties lose not so bad.
Franco has open here with rds of 67-66-65 all three years---Curtis best rd on tour this year-67

Zack Johnson-115 over Ames @ 5dimes
While the #'s would dictate this a solid play in my opinion the fact of T-time mismatch (8am vs 12:40) they let slip by, ups it a notch.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Will also add an outright this week
Franco 17/1 to place top 5 @ 5Dimes

With 3 top 3's in 15 events these odds are well above his break even rate of return and has 2 top 10's in 3 trys here so will give him a look.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Ole Murph been hangin out in 1st rd plays past 2 weeks.
Last week Kelly loses to Sutherland on tie while Sutherland nevers beats Kelly in a rd all week.

Yesterday Curtis shoots his lowest rd of year and Ames his 2nd lowest.

Will have to side with Franco -120 over Curtis again today at Boyles
ties lose.

Note: See the strangest lines I have ever seen at 5Dimes today.
Many way out of kelter considering the players and apparently to my thinking since all of these matches in question were sameodds
-145/+115 I have to assume someone or some enity bet a "load" on these matches. Certainly makes it nice if you like the other side and can bet it at +odds or if like same side can bet it elsewhere.
Hope they stick around :)
 

Stanley

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Further outright play (1.5pts):

Stuart Appleby to win 18/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet, Sporting Odds and Tote
Appleby has shot two rounds under 70 to lie 11th and only four shots behind Baird. From this position he has an excellent record on the PGA Tour. He has been in the top-15 after two rounds on eight occasions since the start of last year, winning twice and finished in the top-3 on four more occasions. So he has delivered at least a place return on an each-way stake from this position in 75% of the time. I?ll take that ratio and these odds every time!
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Not much success this week in rd by rd despite thinking some good #'s involved. However will add one final rd just to see how bad ole Murph is.

Janzen -110 over Beem at Oly cont.
Both tied and Janzen has almost 3 stroke final rd adv.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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will add an outright to win @ oly

1. Golf - Funai Classic October 21 - 24, 2004
Odds to win
Odds to Win Funai Classic (Final Day Market)
Ogilvy or Hensby or Ames (+1800) [pending]
 

Stanley

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Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 0-4; -6.00pts

DiMarco 16th
Johnson 28th
Waldorf mc
Appleby 68th

Very poor! Not much to enthuse about when your post-rd2 selection manages to finish 68th!

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 4-2-0; +2.85pts

Johnson/Campbell WON by 4
Lehman/Campbell WON by 8
Clark/Perez WON by 5
Gamez/Duval WON by 11
Pampling/Franco LOST by 3
Funk/Kelly LOST by 4

Thankful of the profit here to offset some of the outright losses.

PGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 21-103; +41.39pts
Matchups: 134-104; +24.41pts

All Tours ytd
Outrights: 89-358; +271.92pts
Matchups: 384-297; +83.02pts
 
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