I don't post a whole lot of plays but I've been betting throughout the playoffs and have been doing pretty damn well (albeit undocumented). Tonight I think there is quite a bit of value on the Spurs +4.5 (which I'd consider buying to 5). The Spurs really are the better overall team and I don't think they will be heavily phased by playing on the road. Lebron will no doubt get his but he can't play a hell of a lot better than he did last game and the Heat only won by two. I also expect some of the Spurs role players to step up tonight, which hasn't totally been the case in games one and two. All in all, a value play: Spurs +5 (-120).
Game 3
- Thread starter thadchr
- Start date
I also really like the Spurs first quarter and, if you're a risky better, for the first 3 and first 6 minutes-- all at positive odds. The Heat have a history of coming out of the gates slowly, and I don't expect anything different tonight.
You may be right, but not sure how you came to this conclusion based on the first 2 games. Heat most likely take BOTH on the Spurs courts save some fluke cramping.
