GB -5.5

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bigfootballfan

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Oct 5, 2006
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Minny only depends on Peterson to run and GB is ranked 8th in rushing defense.

Here are his attempts and YPG, with the DEF ranking, their average YPG, differences, and TDs.

ATL: 19 103 (23rd....123)....-20....0
DET: 20 66 (12th.....101)....-35....0
KC: 25 102 (14th.....105)....- 3....1
GB: 12 112 (8th........94)....+18....0
CHI: 20 224 (26th....131)....+93....3
DAL: 12 63 (5th.......85)....-22.....1
PHI: 20 70 (7th......93).....-23.....0
SD: 30 296 (22nd....125)..+171....3

Against the DEF Average
3 of his 8 games he rushed for more than the DEF avg.
5 of his 8 games he did NOT rush for more than the DEF avg.

Against the Top 4 (5th, 7th, 8th, 12th) / Bottom 4 (14th, 22nd, 23rd, 26th) Rush Defenses Played
Against the top 4 Rush DEF he's gone: 66, 112, 63, 70......77.75/YPG (1 TD)
Against the lower 4 Rush DEF he's gone: 103, 102, 224, 296....181.25/PYG (7 TDs)

He has 2 outliers, but for the most part he plays up to the defense, and takes advantage of weak defenses. People are ignoring the sub-par Rush DEF of the teams Minny has played. He went for 112 and 0 TDs against GB.

Furthermore, Minny ranked dead 2nd last in passing defense whereas GB ranked 2nd in passing offense. They allowed BF to pass 322 yd with 2 TDs back in Sept. If BF can play up to par or even better at home on Sun, Minny won't stand a chance.

GB -5.5
 
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treynolds

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Oct 26, 2002
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Packers are continueing to get better, i think they should be able to get it done on sunday. I think the packs d forces a couple of big tournovers in this game.
 
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sethseth

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Thank you for the excellent analysis. You start to believe that Minnesota is really good at running the ball after seeing espn repeat the name Petersen and the number 296 over and over. I'm getting on the packers wagon.
 
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