Year to Date 35-36
Season Bank +$644
Yesterday 3-5 +$14
Week #1 + $843 (25-22)
Week #2 - $199 (10-14)
Thursday April 10th
Milwaukee vs. Pittsburgh
All 3 of the starts so far by Appier and Sheets have gone over the total. The first 2 games of this series have gone under though. Suppan did pitch great in his first start this year whereas Ben Sheets has looked below average. Pirates looked great in the first week and now look pretty bad dropping two to the brew crew. It would be easy to say that I don't think the Brewers can win this game, but Pitt hasn't played well against them. I think a better angle is the over in this game. Neither pitcher has pitched great against the other team. The bullpens have been used a lot in this series as well. Not much time to rest them in a morning game.
SHEETS is 2-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.389.
SUPPAN is 2-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 6.41 and a WHIP of 1.576.
Recommended Play OVER 9 +105
St. Louis vs. Colorado
The OVER barely creeped over last night to make both of the games in the series go over. The ball doesn't travel as well during the day as it does at night. It's still a potent ballpark though. Chacon looked absolutely great in his last outing against the diamondbacks beating them 2-1 at Coors Field. Chacon has never faced the Cardinals before and I think that at least early he will give them problems. Stephenson looked good in his last outing against the brewers giving up 1 run in 7 innings. Stephenson did pitch before a few times in Coors and got absolutely rocked. But, he has had an extra day to rest and I don't see Larussa leave him in there to get murdered after losing last night.
This year Chacon
ERA WHIP W-L GS IP IP/S R ER H HR BB SO W-L Units O-U 1.29 0.286 1-0 1 7 7.0 1 1 2 1 0 8 1-0 +1 0-1
This year Stephenson
1.29 0.857 1-0 1 7 7.0 1 1 4 1 2 2 1-0 +1 1-0
Both guys look great so far, I'll bite at the UNDER
Recommended Play UNDER 12.5 +100
Houston vs. Cinncinnatti
Not much of a write up for this game. Both games in the series have gone under, but now we throw these two cy youngs out to the mound today. Both teams have hungry bats and are salivating for the chance to face these two. Neither pitcher has seen much of the other guy, but it shouldn't factor much into this one as neither pitcher has great stuff.
So far this year, Graves has a 10.80 ERA and Robertson checks in with a paltry 14.4 ERA.
Recommended Play OVER 10 -120
Detroit vs. Kansas City
I cannot believe I'm considering wagering on a team that hasn't won a game yet (again), but I really think this is their best shot to get a win. Maroth is their best young pitcher. He didn't pitch great against the White Sox, but he did duel with Radke in the Twins on opening Day. The Detroit bats got of the shelf yesterday, and I really think this is their best shot to win and they know it. Asencio hasn't pitched well this year. He should have lost the game to the Sox and would have had they not given up 8 runs in the 8th inning.
ASENSCIO is 1-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.700
MAROTH is 2-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.86 and a WHIP of 1.440.
Recommended Play TIGERS +107
Cubs vs. Expos
Once again, I find myself betting against the CUBS after they have burned me lately. Armas has never had great success against the Cubs, but part of that has to do with poor fielding and no offensive backup. Estes looked terrible in the opener while Armas looked good in a win against the Braves and a loss to the Mets.
ARMAS is 0-4 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 5.26 and a WHIP of 1.325.
ESTES is 4-5 when starting against MONTREAL with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.473.
Although Armas hasnt fared well against the Cubs, I'll take his recent starts over what Estes has showed this year.
Recommended Play EXPOS +102
Florida vs. NY Mets
Glavine vs. Beckett. Should be a good matchup on paper, but I think both pitchers get hit good tomorrow.
GLAVINE is 10-8 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 4.51 and a WHIP of 1.544
BECKETT is 0-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 5.73 and a WHIP of 1.000.
I think both teams bats will wake up tomorrow. The Marlins games have been going over in the daytime more than their night games if I did my numbers right.
Recommended Play OVER 8 +100
Minnesota vs. Yankees
Pure Feel Play. Stats don't necessarily support this play, but I think value is there with the Twins at this price. Wells has been great against the Twinkies, but I like getting teams at a good price to avoid being swept in a rivalry series.
Recommended Play TWINKIES +175
PENDING
1)Milw./Pitt OVER 9 +105 100/105 (L) -100
2)St. Louis/Colorado UNDER 12.5 +100 100/100 (L) -100
3)Houston/Cincy OVER 10 -120 120/100 (L)
4)Tigers +107 100/107 (L) -100
5)Expos +102 100/102 (W) +102
6)Florida/Mets OVER 8 100/100 (L) -100
7)Minessota +175 100/175 (L) -100
8)Cubs OVER 7.5 +105 100/105 (W) +105
9)Atlanta +109 200/218 (W) +218
10)Stros, White Sox, Blue Jays 100/355.37 (L) -100
Good Luck to All
Season Bank +$644
Yesterday 3-5 +$14
Week #1 + $843 (25-22)
Week #2 - $199 (10-14)
Thursday April 10th
Milwaukee vs. Pittsburgh
All 3 of the starts so far by Appier and Sheets have gone over the total. The first 2 games of this series have gone under though. Suppan did pitch great in his first start this year whereas Ben Sheets has looked below average. Pirates looked great in the first week and now look pretty bad dropping two to the brew crew. It would be easy to say that I don't think the Brewers can win this game, but Pitt hasn't played well against them. I think a better angle is the over in this game. Neither pitcher has pitched great against the other team. The bullpens have been used a lot in this series as well. Not much time to rest them in a morning game.
SHEETS is 2-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.389.
SUPPAN is 2-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 6.41 and a WHIP of 1.576.
Recommended Play OVER 9 +105
St. Louis vs. Colorado
The OVER barely creeped over last night to make both of the games in the series go over. The ball doesn't travel as well during the day as it does at night. It's still a potent ballpark though. Chacon looked absolutely great in his last outing against the diamondbacks beating them 2-1 at Coors Field. Chacon has never faced the Cardinals before and I think that at least early he will give them problems. Stephenson looked good in his last outing against the brewers giving up 1 run in 7 innings. Stephenson did pitch before a few times in Coors and got absolutely rocked. But, he has had an extra day to rest and I don't see Larussa leave him in there to get murdered after losing last night.
This year Chacon
ERA WHIP W-L GS IP IP/S R ER H HR BB SO W-L Units O-U 1.29 0.286 1-0 1 7 7.0 1 1 2 1 0 8 1-0 +1 0-1
This year Stephenson
1.29 0.857 1-0 1 7 7.0 1 1 4 1 2 2 1-0 +1 1-0
Both guys look great so far, I'll bite at the UNDER
Recommended Play UNDER 12.5 +100
Houston vs. Cinncinnatti
Not much of a write up for this game. Both games in the series have gone under, but now we throw these two cy youngs out to the mound today. Both teams have hungry bats and are salivating for the chance to face these two. Neither pitcher has seen much of the other guy, but it shouldn't factor much into this one as neither pitcher has great stuff.
So far this year, Graves has a 10.80 ERA and Robertson checks in with a paltry 14.4 ERA.
Recommended Play OVER 10 -120
Detroit vs. Kansas City
I cannot believe I'm considering wagering on a team that hasn't won a game yet (again), but I really think this is their best shot to get a win. Maroth is their best young pitcher. He didn't pitch great against the White Sox, but he did duel with Radke in the Twins on opening Day. The Detroit bats got of the shelf yesterday, and I really think this is their best shot to win and they know it. Asencio hasn't pitched well this year. He should have lost the game to the Sox and would have had they not given up 8 runs in the 8th inning.
ASENSCIO is 1-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.700
MAROTH is 2-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.86 and a WHIP of 1.440.
Recommended Play TIGERS +107
Cubs vs. Expos
Once again, I find myself betting against the CUBS after they have burned me lately. Armas has never had great success against the Cubs, but part of that has to do with poor fielding and no offensive backup. Estes looked terrible in the opener while Armas looked good in a win against the Braves and a loss to the Mets.
ARMAS is 0-4 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 5.26 and a WHIP of 1.325.
ESTES is 4-5 when starting against MONTREAL with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.473.
Although Armas hasnt fared well against the Cubs, I'll take his recent starts over what Estes has showed this year.
Recommended Play EXPOS +102
Florida vs. NY Mets
Glavine vs. Beckett. Should be a good matchup on paper, but I think both pitchers get hit good tomorrow.
GLAVINE is 10-8 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 4.51 and a WHIP of 1.544
BECKETT is 0-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 5.73 and a WHIP of 1.000.
I think both teams bats will wake up tomorrow. The Marlins games have been going over in the daytime more than their night games if I did my numbers right.
Recommended Play OVER 8 +100
Minnesota vs. Yankees
Pure Feel Play. Stats don't necessarily support this play, but I think value is there with the Twins at this price. Wells has been great against the Twinkies, but I like getting teams at a good price to avoid being swept in a rivalry series.
Recommended Play TWINKIES +175
PENDING
1)Milw./Pitt OVER 9 +105 100/105 (L) -100
2)St. Louis/Colorado UNDER 12.5 +100 100/100 (L) -100
3)Houston/Cincy OVER 10 -120 120/100 (L)
4)Tigers +107 100/107 (L) -100
5)Expos +102 100/102 (W) +102
6)Florida/Mets OVER 8 100/100 (L) -100
7)Minessota +175 100/175 (L) -100
8)Cubs OVER 7.5 +105 100/105 (W) +105
9)Atlanta +109 200/218 (W) +218
10)Stros, White Sox, Blue Jays 100/355.37 (L) -100
Good Luck to All
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