Gho

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Gonna take an early 1/2 unit total E/W
Huston 50/1 @ Sportingbet

I think there is some value here and 365 I think agrees as they have him 28/1
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
thats 1 unit total ---1/2 E/W

----and thanks once again for having stats out so early Stan.:thumb:

 

[Clive]

Suzy W for me..looking for 1,000,000/1 for a place...

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Good one!

 

[Stanley]

SIA have her 1/25 to miss the cut :lol:

Outright plays (1 unit):

Stewart Cink to win 22/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and Victor Chandler
A former winner of this title in 1997, he subsequently finished 2nd, 8th and 14th from 1998 to 2000. Not quite so impressive in the past two years, but this course form is notable. He did play in the British Open last week, but was never under the pressure of contention and closed with a fine 68 on Sunday so should be reasonably fresh and his form this year has been very consistent. He has four top-10 finishes in his last ten PGA Tour starts and has proved he is capable of adding to that total this week.

Fred Funk to win 33/1 e.w. @ Bet365, Sportingbet, Sporting Odds and BetInternet
Funk has also been extremely consistent on the PGA Tour this year. He had four top-10 finishes in six starts before heading for Royal St. George's and his missed cut last week will be of benefit for this week's event. This is a short, sub-7000 yard course on which he finished 4th in 1998. He hasn't been back since 2000, but is certainly playing well enough to secure another high finish.

Jonathan Kaye to win 40/1 e.w. @ Bet365
This was very nearly Kaye's breakthrough win last year. For 61 holes, he was in control of this event and only a suddenly-cold putter denied him victory. The fact that Mickelson holed out from the fairway on the 7th hole on Sunday to catch him certainly added a lot of pressure as the estimated 80,000 crowd were very vocal in their support for Mickelson. It was the fourth time that Kaye had finished 2nd (he would later finish 2nd in the Reno-Tahoe Open), but he did finally break his duck in the Buick Classic last month when he defeated John Rollins in a playoff. He did miss the cut last week in the British Open, but as with Funk, that is of benefit for this week and this looks a very big price for a player who had also finished in the top-30 in this event each year from 1999 to 2001 before going so close last year.

 

[milpalm]

Funk at 33/1 with Sportingbet and Herron at 99/1 with Nordicbet are my picks. Funk has a string of good finishes lately. 99/1 is IMO a great price for a player with Herron's credentials.

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays (1 unit):

Jay Haas to beat Billy Andrade -111 @ BetandWin
Adding two matchup plays on Haas whose course form may only be average, but whose play has been rejuvenated in the last year or so. He missed the cut last week, so should not suffer too much fatigue and should return to the form that netted him top-10 finishes in his previous two events. He has finished ahead of Andrade in their last five common events and while Andrade has had some good finishes on this course, he is certainly much worse at the moment.

Jay Haas to beat Notah Begay -111 @ Paddy Power
The same can be said for Begay. He won this event in 2000 when in his prime and has fared reasonably well on his other two visits, but his current form also does not compare to Haas. He has missed six of his last ten cuts and in their eight common events this year, Begay has yet to finish ahead of Haas.

Billy Mayfair to beat Jay Don Blake -111 @ BetandWin
Similar story in this matchup. They have comparable course form, but incomparable current form. In their 12 common events this year, Mayfair leads 11-1-0 h2h. I'll take these odds for such an imbalanced matchup.

 

[crookycymru]

Jonathan Kaye to beat Skip Kendall at 9/10 with Stan James

Jonathan Kaye enters one of his favourite tournaments in great form, culminating in a victory in the Buick Classic. Excused his missed cut at The Open last week, Stanley has already highlighted the importance of having the extra few days off.
Although Skip Kendall has had a good season by his standards, he will find it hard to compete with Kaye. Although Kendall has been a top ten finisher on two occasions in this event, he is hard pressed to match Kaye's consistent form at this course, and has finished behind him on the last three Greater Hartford Opens.

Billy Mayfair to beat Steve Lowery at 9/10 with Stan James [2 Units]

Siding with a very much in form Billy Mayfair in this matchup. Ultra consistent in his last eleven events, reaching the third day on all but one occasion has to stand him in good stead to defeat Steve Lowery who may well be feeling down after blowing a winning chance in last weeks weak BC Open. Granted he turned in a vastly improved performance, but looking back before last week he has produced next to nothing, and it may be that Mayfair will only have to make the cut to triumph here.
Take this along with the fact that Lowery has missed the cut in four of his six attempts on the course, while Mayfair has been on the brink of the top twenty twice, and it seems we are looking at a nice little earner.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

72 holes
K Sutherland +110 over Gamez @ Oly
Tanaka + 100 over Senden @ $plays
Huston -111 over Faxon @ Skybet
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
adding 72 holes at Bet&Win both -111
Hass over Andrade
Gamez over Kuehne

 

[LARGE222]

played two plays yesterday at pinnacle

took
lewis over beckman -129 for 1 unit
beckman???


and calc laying 112 over funk at pinnacle also



good luck

 

[Stanley]

Adding (1 unit):

Fred Funk to beat Notah Begay -190 @ WSEX
Begay did win this event in 2000 before his career started to fall apart and although there have been signs of improvement recently, he is not the player he was three years ago. Funk has a 15-2-0 h2h record against Begay over the past year (4-0-0 in the past three months) and on this basis, these odds appeal, though only just!

Jay Haas to beat Dudley Hart -118 @ Easybets
Adding another play on Haas. Hart has made the cut on all his nine previous visits, but has only once been in contention (2001, finishing 3rd). Will side the player in better form: Haas has finished ahead of Hart in six of their last seven common events.

1st round plays (1 unit):

Tom Pernice to beat Shaun Micheel -115 @ Five Dimes
Hidemichi Tanaka to beat John Senden -107 @ Five Dimes

 

[sports student]

72 hole matches

Lewis -140 over Beckman (bowmans)
Kaye -1/2 -110 over Quigley (365)
Herron -1/2 -110 over Begay (365)
Kaye -103 over kendall (pinnacle)


Good Luck

 

[sports student]

1st round at 365

K Sutherland +175 over Begay/Duvall
Funk +200 over Mickelson/Beckman

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

1st rd
Foresman +100 over Lowery (-1/2 stroke) @ WSEX

This is kind of a course for horses and Foresman has faired much better here. In addition he holds significant before the cut scoring ave 69.83 (11th) vs 71.22 (102nd) for lowery. Lowry's 2nd place finish last week no great concern as he has followed his previous best 3 finishes this year 16th-17th-16th with cut-cut-40th.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

adding scoring prop @ $plays
Lowest rd over 62 -130

Can't understand this line. While I think chances of getting push or about 35% the chances of loss look remote to me. I can find only one time in last 5 years this score was bettered and that was Verplanks 61 in in 2001. In addition most of the guns are coming back from Europe and should not be THAT sharp.

 

[kjls04202]

Gonna give David Peoples a go this week at a best priced 100/1 @ Ladbrokes. Has been quite consistent of late without ever threatening. He keeps threatening to take part but seems to lose his way when in the mix. One day he will put it all together and he has been shorter prices for better contested events than this.
My other choice is Tim Herron who is another that has been so dissapointing of late. But that is Herron all over. He could bounce back at any time and 40/1 seems fair to take that chance.

 

[lostinamerica]

Billy Andrade(100/1) for 0.50* e.w. @ Bet365
Briny Baird(100/1) for 0.50* e.w. @ Bet365

Perry(-135) over Mickelson (Tournament) for 1* @ Bet365
Kaye(+100) over Kendall (Tournament) for 1* @ 5 dimes

GL

 

[Stanley]

1st round update: 1-1-0; -0.07 units

Pernice/Micheel WON by 1
Tanaka/Senden LOST by 3

2nd round plays (2 units unless stated):

Steve Allan to beat Rod Pampling -110 @ Sirbet and Carib [3 units]
Grant Waite to beat Mike Heinen -130 @ Five Dimes
Skip Kendall to beat Billy Mayfair -110 @ Sirbet and Carib

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

1st rd results 0-1
Forsman/Lowery loss

Wonder what odds would have been for Whaley to beat Duval by 8 strokes
The gal got around pretty good and will prob end up beating more players than Sorenstam at the cut.
If I was her dentist I would pay her for endorsement. What a great smile! I like her attitude.

 

[lostinamerica]

Friday for 1* each:

Petrovic(+138) over Herron/Wilson @ Bet365
Henry(-110) over Baddeley @ 5 dimes
Andrade(+175) over Oberholser/Lancaster @ Bet365

GL

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

at the cut 72 holes 1-1
Tanaka/Senden win
Huston/Faxon loss
pending
Hass/Andrde 6 up
Sutherland/Gamez 3up
Gamez/Keuhne all square
Prop low rd over 62

outrights Huston gone
might add 1 in running in am.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
corrected :missed two selections on initial post