Ginn Clubs & Resorts Open

Stanley

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Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)

Cristie Kerr to win 20/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler
Florida residents tend to have a sizeable home advantage in the early Florida events on the PGA Tour, so siding with three players with the same advantage on this Tour. No-one is more closely linked with this event than Kerr: she is a Miami native, a multiple winner of amateur events in this State, has championed the return of a full-field Tour event to Florida and is personally sponsored by Ginn Clubs and Resorts, the sponsor of this event. If a close association with this event were not enough, she has won five titles in the last two seasons, has five top-10s this season already and leads the Tour in rounds under par (19 of 24), including six of her last seven. With Annika winless in her last three events, there is certainly value in these odds.

Karrie Webb to win 22/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Webb lives 50 miles north of Kerr in Boynton Beach and is ranked 2nd behind Kerr in the 'round under par' category on Tour (14 of 18), including her last five rounds. She comes into this event in great form having won the Nabisco Championship in dramatic fashion and finishing 2nd last week in Georgia. But it is particularly her form in Florida that warrants the value at this price. She has played in this State 22 times since becoming a member of this Tour, winning six times and finishing in the top-3 on 15 occasions, which is over two-thirds of her starts in Florida. That is a remarkable record in one location and she looks set to continue it.

Jeong Jang to win 33/1 e.w. @ BetInternet, Victor Chandler, William Hill and Ladbrokes
Morgan Pressel is also a local player, but currently appears to be a player who would rather buckle than respond to such local anticipation. Instead, Jang is a Orlando resident, which is no more than 20 minutes drive away and so she will definitely be enjoying the benefits of a local event. She showed impressive consistency to finish in the top-10 in more than half of her Tour starts last year (15 in 27 events) and she already has three this season, including her last two starts. She is moving nicely into form and with top-10 finishes in her last two starts in Florida as well, she really should record another one this week.
 

ridle

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Jun 28, 2005
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Also like the Orland residences, but siding with:

Stupples 125/1 1/4 1-5 Skybet
Song 150/1 1/4 1-5 Sportingbet
Alfredsson 150/1 1/4 1-5 Sportingbet
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Jul 13, 1999
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Yep Gals might get a little wind 1st couple of days anyway.

a couple to place (top 5)--not great odds but won't wait for in running as wind should seperate contenders from pretenders early.

Jang 6.5 @ 5dimes
SW Lee 7/1 @ cbet.

Had Jang in running with Weir and Lewis last week at some healthy place doubles and all 3 missed place by one shot.:rolleyes:

a few matches
Pressel -155 over Grace Park @ oly
Pettersen +105 over Mathews @ 5dimes
Barrett -125 over R Jones @ 5dimes
 

Stanley

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Matchup plays (2pts each unless stated)

Morgan Pressel to beat Mi Hyun Kim -105 @ Pinnacle
Didn't fancy Pressel to win in this company against such a strong field, but will side with her in the matchups. Pressel has finished ahead of Kim in four of five common events this year and with the home advantage of being a Florida native, she really should be a strong favourite in this match.
(also available at Five Dimes)

Morgan Pressel to beat Grace Park -155 @ The Greek [4pts]
Pressel should be a much stronger favourite in this match. The last time that Park finished ahead of Pressel was in May last year, which means that Pressel has beaten Park in each of their last nine common events. Again, with home State advantage, this should be ten in a row.

Jeong Jang to beat Natalie Gulbis -110 @ The Greek
After opening the season with three successive top-5 finishes, Gulbis' form has dipped slightly whereas that of Jang has improved. Now it is Jang who is finishing in the top-10 each week, whereas Gulbis hasn't done so in her last two starts. I'll side with the Orlando resident to make it three in a row.

Seon Hwa Lee to beat Natalie Gulbis +105 @ Five Dimes [4pts]
Had considered Lee for the outrights, or at least place-only odds, but this was such a high quality field that she was overlooked. But she really shouldn't be the underdog against Gulbis. Despite being a rookie on Tour and having no course experience each week, she has finished ahead of Gulbis, despite her form, in four out of their last six common events this year. So now that she reach an event in which Gulbis does not have the advantage of previous course form, Lee's superior form really should provide her with a bigger edge over her opponent this week.
 

Stanley

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Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 1-2; +0.25pts

Kerr 19th
Webb 2nd
Jang 36th

Small profit to offset against the losses on the matchups, but had hoped for much more. Webb did get within a shot of the impressive Kim during the last few holes, but never actually caught her, while Kerr had looked much more promising at an early stage. She led by two shots after the 1st round but shot three rounds of 74 thereafter.

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 1-3; -6.30pts

Pressel/Kim LOST by 15
Pressel/Park LOST by 6
Jang/Gulbis LOST by 2
Lee/Gulbis WON by 3

"Morgan Pressel is also a local player, but currently appears to be a player who would rather buckle than respond to such local anticipation." I wrote that ... a pity I didn't listen to myself and save over 8pts!

LPGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 7-18; -7.77pts
Matchups: 17-12; +5.58pts
 
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