Gm 4 @ Miyammi....

LordofBalls

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let me start by saying I believe Spoelstra is a VERY good coach.. he makes quality adjustments and I believe he's a good motivator getting his team emotionally ready to play..
whereas Miami is willing to get the ball in to Adabayo, he (and Butler to a lesser extent) are their only post-up type players, so they rely on 3s against a bigger, more physical team..
In gm 2, they shot lights out in 4th quarter against a sluggish Nugget team and got the Win... barely.

In gm 3, in front of a great home crowd, Miami was unable to sustain offensive momentum against an emotionally motivated Nugget Defense...
Denver got Gordon involved inside, and Braun was cutting for dunks as Miami was trying to prevent penetration by Murray...
I don't think Miami has an answer for that... their personnel just haven't been able to stop it.. they're outsized

I think Jokic and Murray are gonna get theirs... basically unstoppable... and Nuggz will win the boards.. and the game.

I think this is just a scenario, where the personnel don't match up well for Miami

I think Heat shoot better than the other night and score a few more too.. so tonight I'm gonna try a parlay...

Nuggz ML/ OV 210.5 <<< 337/639

Nuggz tm OV 107.5.. 110/100

If Nuggz get it done tonight, it should end the next gm in Denver... nothing against the Heat..
Coach Malone has been focused on this goal and mentioned it many times throughout the playoffs... they WANT the TITLE!


I'm still sitting on Nuggz for the series 600/400... I like my chances..

GL to US!!!

LoB
:popcorn2
 
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LordofBalls

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off to a slow start....

added: "LIVE" Bet... Nuggz ML... 233/186

hopefully they'll go on a hot streak shooting, and get the total bk up near my 210.5.. and I'll get off some of it
 

LordofBalls

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well... I DID manage to play a "Live Bet" par w/Nuggz ML/OV 198.5.... like 65/132...bk early in 2Q

howevah... I've got the parlay OV 210.5... and I missed the brief moment early 3rd Q when total went to 212...

now ML on Nuggz is like -400 so I'm not gonna touch that..

IF Heat can close the gap... go on a burst... I'll have a chance to hedge some against that total

I STILL think NUGGZ will WIN today.. they're frggn tough... and Gordon's athleticism is giving them an edge
 

LordofBalls

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WOW... last 2 mins of 3Q after the long timeout... teams shot lights out.. total up to 211.5

I just played another par Nugz ML/UN 211.5... 165/150

if gm lands on 211... I'll get the middle... and ya just know... it's gonna be reeealllyyy close!!!

:0corn
 

LordofBalls

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had the side... had the team total.. missed the big total due to a shaky 4th...

Needed 8 more points for a $1200 day.. teams only scored 22 pts ea (44) in 4th qtr... :shrug:
seems like all the offense is about setting up the 3pt shot, but Denver held em w/o Jokic for most of the qtr..

anyhow.. bk to Denver for last(?) gm on Monday..
 
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