Godzilla Picks 1st Inn Score/NoScore July 3rd

Godzilla 1

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#1 Rule: You got nothing Nice to say. Keep Out.

My System:

Let me explain to all of you how my system works. I like to play these (Prop) bets ("Score" or "No - Score" in the 1st Inning)
some sites have these wagers and others do not.

Over the last 2 years I have been tracking all of the MLB Teams on wither the Team or their Opp scores in the 1st Inning.

It's Difficult to show here in a Blog what it looks like in Excel. 1 (Means Run) 0 (Means No Score)

Example:

Team

Minn 1 0 1 1 0 0 0
Opp 0 0 0 0 0 0 1

I then calculate based upon the Teams Games Played against how many times they have scored in the 1st Inning. I will do the same for their Opp and then total

up the two to get
a final Total.

While looking at this Example you will see that the longest the Team or Opp has gone without scoring is (2 Games). Also looking at it this way you will see

trends (When they are
ready to POP)- Score.


I play only the National League. Why? They score in the 1st all the time. AL is to inconsistence, but feel free to play. I play everyday all NL Games to

Score!

You will notice that each NL Team has a (#) next to them. This is the Longest the Team or their Opp has gone without scoring in the 1st Inning


How I calculate Wins & Losses:

1.) Wins & Losses - Who Cares....As long as you are making Money.
2.) If you exceed the (#) next to the Team it Becomes a LOSS. If not it is a win. Plain and Simple.


Money Management & Comments:

1.) I am Not a High Roller! I start off real small and the closer I get to the Teams number the more $$ I will put down.
2.) I have multiple accounts where I can exceed limits on certain sites. I mainly use: www.vip.com
3.) Even tho I will get a loss after exceeding a the teams number. I will continue to chase to gain back my money.
4.) NO Team has gone 10 Games in the LAST 3 Years without the Team or their Opp scoring in the 1st Inning.


2007 NL Monthly

April 55%
May 57%
June 52%
July 58%
Aug 56%

2008 NL Monthly

April 54%
May 55%
June 52%


************************************************************************************
TODAY'S PICKS:

************************************************************************************
DAY 1
************************************************************************************

Hou (3) vs. LAD (5)
NYM (4) vs.St Lou(4)
Wash (5) vs. Cinn (7)
************************************************************************************
DAY 2
************************************************************************************
AZ (5) vs. Mil(6)
Cubs (5) vs. SF (8)


************************************************************************************
DAY 3
************************************************************************************


************************************************************************************
DAY 5
************************************************************************************
Atl (5) vs. Phila (3)

************************************************************************************
DAY 6
************************************************************************************
Fld (4) vs. Col (5) NOTE: I have taken the loss..Still chasing.




Record: 396 - 7 = Cash $24,001.30
 

nervousTic

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So you've taken a loss yet you show a $900 profit from yesterday. I've followed the system to the letter and since 6/26 i'm significantly down. Can you shed some insight on how you're calculating profit - thanks.
 

Godzilla 1

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Even tho I have taken a loss...I always chase to it hits. It aways does within 10 games.

I bet certain ammount on certain teams and certain trends.

Look at Houstons ..number (3) I bet them BIG. Until they show me that their number is going to change... I go BIG on the.

Pitt...their number was (4) they were on there 4 game without NO Score...I went BIG.

You would have to see the spreadsheet to see the trends and how teams stack up.

Let me know if you want it.
 

Godzilla 1

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Also since teams are past the 80 game mark. I am going to track their 2nd have number(#) I will soon post these next to their other number.

I have found it is very tough to judge a team.

EXP

SD and their OPP could of went 7 games right out of the start of season and there (#) would be 7 and then since then there number could be 3..

There % and the OPP % is very Important..

Top teams:

NL:

Houston 81%
Phila 80%
NY M 78%

AL

Texas 76%
 

nervousTic

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Dec 8, 2005
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I think it would help us who don't have the specific insight of these trends / info to either see your plays daily and how they roll up to the cash line in your posts.

That, or strictly track the $ based on the plays that are posted.

Let me be clear - i love this system and appreciate your posts, i just think if we're going to post plays and winnings they should be apples-to-apples.

Thanks.
 

Godzilla 1

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nervousTic

Even tho I have 7 losses.. I chased each one of them to the end. No money loss. The longest went 7 games..

I use 4 sites to make these bets.

The ammount of money is what i have made. Each one of you should only bet enought that will allow you to go 10 games deep.

The number(#) should be the key for you.

Some of my follwers bet big on these top teams and wait on the others until they get to game 2 or 3.

Exp:
Look at Atalanta...they are playing a strong 1st Inn team... If you heald off you would be ready to pound this BIG the next 3 games.
 

gsp

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I've been riding Hou and Tx (the hottest team in either league) since the third series of the year. This series with NY was the first time since the second series of the year that Tx has gone 3 without a win. Everything else I base on Godzilla and the help. Some AL teams to watch are Balt, TB and KC.

By the way, thanks for all the work you do.
 

bogdog

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Mar 31, 2006
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Even tho I have taken a loss...I always chase to it hits. It aways does within 10 games.

I bet certain ammount on certain teams and certain trends.

Look at Houstons ..number (3) I bet them BIG. Until they show me that their number is going to change... I go BIG on the.

Pitt...their number was (4) they were on there 4 game without NO Score...I went BIG.

You would have to see the spreadsheet to see the trends and how teams stack up.

Let me know if you want it.

Zillia

I would love to see the break down.

Thanks!
 

nervousTic

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Dec 8, 2005
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Also since teams are past the 80 game mark. I am going to track their 2nd have number(#) I will soon post these next to their other number.

I have found it is very tough to judge a team.

EXP

SD and their OPP could of went 7 games right out of the start of season and there (#) would be 7 and then since then there number could be 3..

There % and the OPP % is very Important..

Top teams:

NL:

Houston 81%
Phila 80%
NY M 78%

AL

Texas 76%

Good info. Since anomolies happen, it almost seems team %, opp %, and average games until a hit would be as valuable if not more valuable than the single longest streak.

This is indeed a money-maker - the more data we all have and share - the better.
 

Theboundbook

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There % and the OPP % is very Important..

Top teams:

NL:

Houston 81%
Phila 80%
NY M 78%

AL

Texas 76%

Thank you for these %s Used it this morning on HOU/LAD and easy winner! I think Im gonna use these four teams for a while and hopefully I never have to chase more than 3. Tell ya how it goes in the next 7 days or so. And thank you for the 100.70 I have profited so far.
 

Godzilla 1

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Theboundbook.


Glad to hear you made some $$$$

Becareful on Texas...Their % is high...but their number is (6).

This is why I only bet on the NL..
 

Godzilla 1

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NL

TEAM--------2007%--------2008%--------P/M--------Team%--------OPP %

Phila--------75%--------80%--------(5%)--------36%--------44%
Houston--------64%--------81%--------(17%)--------38%--------43%
NY Mets--------65%--------78%--------(12%)--------38%--------40%
Florida--------81%--------73%---------(-8%)--------35%--------38%
Colordo--------64%--------70%--------(6%)--------26%--------44%
Washington--------53%--------63%--------(10%)--------31%--------31%
Milwaki--------63%--------64%--------(1%)--------32%--------32%
Atlanta--------67%--------61%---------(-6%)--------33%--------27%
San Diego--------57%--------61%--------(4%)--------25%--------36%
LA Dodgers--------59%--------63%--------(4%)--------34%--------29%
Pitt--------81%--------61%---------(-20%)--------24%--------37%
Arizona--------64%--------59%---------(-5%)--------35%--------24%
St. Louis--------63%--------59%---------(-4%)--------39%--------20%
Chicago--------64%--------56%---------(-7%)--------27%--------29%
Cinn--------68%--------53%---------(-15%)--------27%--------27%
San Fransico--------70%--------51%---------(-19%)--------24%--------27%
 

Godzilla 1

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AL

Team--------2007%--------2008%--------P/M--------Team%--------OPP %

Texas--------64%--------76%--------(12%)--------49%--------27%
Seattle--------66%--------64%--------(-2%)--------33%--------31%
Baltimore--------61%--------64%--------(3%)--------23%--------42%
Minnesota--------57%--------59%--------(2%)--------29%--------29%
Oakland--------53%--------60%--------(7%--------28%--------32%
New York Yankees--------55%--------56%--------(0%--------30%--------26%
Kansas City--------61%--------59%--------(-2%)--------33%--------26%
Cleveland--------57%--------56%--------(-1%)--------27%--------29%
LA Angles--------66%--------55%--------(-11%)--------24%--------32%
Red Sox--------64%--------56%--------(-8%)--------31%--------24%
Detroit--------76%--------51%--------(-25%)--------26%--------26%
White Sox--------60%--------54%--------(-6%)--------28%--------26%
Tampa Bay--------59%--------52%--------(-7%)--------27%--------26%
Toronto--------62%--------48%--------(-14%)--------24%--------24%
 

Godzilla 1

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American---------April---------May---------June

Mon---------50%---------35%---------37%
Tue---------50%---------54%---------61%
Wed---------50%---------54%---------61%
Thu---------32%---------46%---------35%
Fri---------52%---------55%---------52%
Sat---------38%---------54%---------53%
Sun---------43%---------50%---------45%


National---------April---------May---------June

Mon---------50%---------85%---------52%
Tue---------53%---------55%---------59%
Wed---------49%---------44%---------71%
Thu---------56%---------52%---------33%
Fri---------58%---------57%---------51%
Sat---------71%---------53%---------46%
Sun---------44%---------54%---------45%
 

Godzilla 1

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2007 DATA


---------American---------National
April---------51.46%---------55.72%
May---------57.41%---------57.92%
June---------49.83%---------52.55%
July---------51.41%---------58.33%
August---------49.61%---------57.05%
Total---------51.94%---------56.31%

American---------April---------May---------June---------July---------August---------Ave
Mon---------48%---------47%---------58%---------67%---------69%---------58%
Tue---------61%---------71%---------51%---------50%---------57%---------58%
Wed---------44%---------59%---------49%---------52%---------43%---------49%
Thu---------44%---------67%---------46%---------62%---------42%---------52%
Fri---------38%---------54%---------53%---------40%---------36%---------44%
Sat---------70%---------67%---------42%---------54%---------52%---------57%
Sun---------52%---------36%---------52%---------43%---------52%---------47%


National---------April---------May---------June---------July---------August---------Ave
Mon---------60%---------45%---------60%---------52%---------60%---------56%
Tue---------52%---------55%---------55%---------63%---------56%---------56%
Wed---------50%---------65%---------52%---------50%---------63%---------56%
Thu---------68%---------57%---------54%---------68%---------65%---------63%
Fri---------61%---------61%---------50%---------61%---------46%---------56%
Sat---------50%---------65%---------47%---------53%---------58%---------55%
Sun---------52%---------51%---------55%---------58%---------52%---------54%
 

ces

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Mar 24, 2005
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Great info. I mentioned at the first of the season that a fellow from another site established each team's trend. Once he did that, he bet the top 3 or 4 teams each way, the teams that scored a lot
as well as the bottom teams that did not score often in the first inning. Thanks for your work.
 

eichstadt28

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didn't the rockies score in the first yesterday? if so, why would you still chase today. thanks for the help.
 
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