I was looking at this one. UIC has played w/a lot of adrenaline in their last 2 games at home. The built up a 10 pt lead vs Butler only to lose the game (and cover) on Saturday, then almost blew a 21 pt second half lead against Wright State the other night.
One other point: most of these mid-major conference teams travel by bus. I know UIC does. The Midwest has been hit by a major snowstorm so the travel times for some of the Horizon and MAC teams probably doubled.