Golf - Canadian Open

Stanley

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Canadian Open

The late entry of Tiger Woods will attract the headlines rather the event itself which is the 4th oldest on the Tour or the course which is one of Jack Nicklaus' finest. Tiger may have been exhausted by flu last week and had intended to have a long layoff, but nothing drives him more than surpassing Nicklaus' records. Jack never won more than two national championships in a year and this year Tiger already holds the US and British versions, so where better than on a Nicklaus track.

Glen Abbey is a tough course with a four-year average of 72.52, though with three par-fives in the last six holes it should produce some dramatic finishes if anyone is in sight of a fit Tiger. The Bentgrass greens are small, so the emphasis is on accurate iron play of which Tiger tops the Tour stats, but maybe somewhat more surprising is that Tiger also tops the putting stats. It was only two years ago that he was ranked 147th on the Tour in that department - if fit this is no contest in a unspectacular field. But even at odds of +100 it is quite a risk to take on someone last seen in poor health.

Instead the value should lie more with the likes of Hal Sutton, Jesper Parnevik and Franklin Langham. All three are at their best with their short game and relish tough courses. Sutton can boast finishes of 4th and 1st in the last two years on this course, while Parnevik was 9th last year and looked good for two days last week. Langham for his part has been 7th on his last two outings including the PGA and has been 2nd three times this year already. He is a much-improved player this year. Early indications are that we should be able to get 16/1, 28/1 and 50/1 respectively for these three, though final outright selections will be made once the tee-times are known - this is an event often affected by wind.

Early 72-hole plays:

Scott Verplank to beat Rory Sabbatini -118 @ Sportingbet
The winner of the Reno-Tahoe has had time to come to terms with such a long-overdue win; Sabbatini should suffer a reaction from his first Tour win last week

Hal Sutton to beat Mike Weir -138 @ Sportingbet
Top-tip for this event and defending champion should be a strong contender this week; Weir has a very poor record in his home championship, missing the last four cuts and did little last week to suggest that this trend would be overturned
 

Stanley

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Outright plays:

The three outright plays are confirmed as Hal Sutton, Jesper Parnevik and Franklin Langham. While Tiger can be found at 6/5 at Victor Chandler, the best value lies with these three players in e/w bets. Sutton can be found at 20/1 with Sportingbet, Parnevik at 25/1 with Ladbrokes [same odds @ DAS] and Langham at 50/1 generally, though Victor Chandler is the best place with their e/w bets paid on five places.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Early 72 hole match play
Azinger -110 over Micheal Clark @ GOTO
Ckark has had good form of late but has missed more cuts than he's made this year.
Azinger has missed 1 cut in 15 events and with Clark having no experience here I am thinking at shot to win at cut
 

Stanley

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Adding one 72-hole play:

Greg Chalmers to beat Mark O'Meara -110 @ GoTo Casino
Chalmers was an outright selection last week and every reason to expect another good performance this week. He was 15th alongside O'Meara last year, but has vastly superior stats for this type of course and much more likely to finish in top-10
 

AussieVamp2

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Stanley, cool stats stuff on your site there
smile.gif
Nice one!
 

AussieVamp2

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well, haven't looked there for a while...
smile.gif


you have had all those every week???

I certainly didn't notice that.

You should have told me
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AussieVamp2

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european ice hockey starts this weekend, hopefully intertops will be friends to us again
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Stanley

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25/1 without Woods does appeal as an e/w bet, but again Victor Chandler have the best value: 33/1 and paying e/w on five not four places.

Getting my fingers burned with early season soccer at the moment. I think I'll do what I should have done with soccer and wait a few weeks before I delve into European hockey
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AussieVamp2

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yeah, wait 3-4 games before betting if they have it for sure, see Berlin Capitals for prime example at start of season last year, started off burning and weren't

usually leave first 3 weeks of each league's soccer season alone, too, generally speaking, the lower divisions especially
figures numbers had a great week while I was away and last night a bit nasty, oh well, will keep plugging away
smile.gif


Don't have a Chandler account, no real interest for me there - sportsinteraction have 29 no Woods though for Langham.
 

Stanley

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Adding another 72-hole play:

Franklin Langham to beat Michael Clark -110 @ SIA
No course form and with his best club being his driver, can't see Clark challenging this week. Have been looking for a decent matchup with Langham

The 33/1 @ VC on Langham is w/o Woods BTW
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Stanley

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Adding:

72-hole plays:

Mark Calcavecchia to beat Mike Weir -105 @ WSEX
Top-25 in last two seasons here, Calc's fade is the ideal shot for this course. If putter holds up, his momentum from last week should see him easily beat Weir who has a very poor record here

Hal Sutton to beat Sergio Garcia -110 @ WSEX [same odds @ Olympic]
No course form and very poor greens in regulation stats suggest this could be a difficult tournament for Garcia

Hal Sutton to beat Mike Weir -138 @ Sportingbet [adding another unit]
Just can't see this one being close


1st round plays:

Paul Azinger to beat Michael Clark -110 @ Five Dimes [2 units]
Greg Chalmers to beat Mark O'Meara -115 @ Five Dimes
Chris DiMarco to beat Mathew Goggin -105 @ DAS [2 units]
Steve Flesch to beat Mike Weir -110 @ Five Dimes [3 units]
Scott Verplank to beat Steve Jones -110 @ Five Dimes
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Stan On same page on 1st rounders. Scary of late.
72 hole
Sutton over Garcia -110 Oly

1st round all @ 5dimes
Flesch over Weir -110
Verplank over Jones -110
Zinger over Clark now -125
eek.gif

Sure hated to give that but is my fav.
 

selkirk

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playing hal sutton over davis love, just like the match up, famous last words.

thanks
selkirk
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Fats Ya thinking Parny playing with Tiger will bring out the worst in him? I definately think it will effect Sadler as emotional as he is but could find no matches involving him.I look for Parny to pull out those Peptol Bismal pants today and try and blind Tiger
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