I'm leaning to MSU. I note that in their previous two games, Zaga faced the dead last teams in each of their conferences in opponents FG%. UVA dead last in ACC at 46.6% and Indy State dead last in Mzzou Valley at 46.4%. Accordingly, Zaga, a good shoooting team to begin with, shot the lights out in both games (51% and 58%). Can't see the same thing happening tonight against MSU (third in Bten at 39.7%). Zags may make it interesing but MSU pulls away. Blowout a distinct possibility