Good read on tonites 1st half...

Dead Money

Registered User
Forum Member
Sep 15, 2005
4,350
64
0
Upstairs watching sports on the big TV.
From Las Vegas Sun sports desk....

"The Cavaliers find themselves in nearly the exact same position as they did this time last season ? down 2-0 to the Warriors as they head back to Cleveland following two blowout losses.

Last year, the Cavaliers responded, winning game three 120-90. I don?t expect that to happen this year, but Cleveland should come out much stronger.

It?s a trend that has emerged with astonishing regularity. Any team down 2-0 in a playoff series is 18-1 against the spread in the first half of game three. Teams in that situation are 8-1 this year (San Antonio?s loss to Golden State in the conference finals was the only outlier), and 10-0 in the 2016 postseason.

It makes sense. A team down 2-0 has its back against the wall and knows it must play with urgency or its season is likely going to be over soon. Meanwhile, teams up 2-0 tend to take their foot off the gas pedal early in game three as they feel comfortable coming from behind in the second half if needed.

And while two postseasons are a small sample size, teams in this situation are 64-31-1 (67 percent) versus the first-half game three spread since 2007.

The Warriors seem almost unbeatable, and they may very well sweep the defending champions to finish the postseason undefeated. But I will take Lebron James and the desperate Cavaliers in the first half tonight."
 

Dr Feelgood

StonedPimp
Forum Member
Feb 3, 2001
3,607
23
38
Las Vegas
My buddy is the gambling sports writer for the RJ now (Todd Dewey) and he had turned me onto this early and it has been cashing...I was going to hammer GS tonight FH until his subtle reminder...now I am torn, but a degenerate who will have action on it...

Nice find DM, hope you are well buddy!!
 

margwellus

Registered User
Forum Member
Apr 2, 2005
337
8
18
My buddy is the gambling sports writer for the RJ now (Todd Dewey) and he had turned me onto this early and it has been cashing...I was going to hammer GS tonight FH until his subtle reminder...now I am torn, but a degenerate who will have action on it...

Nice find DM, hope you are well buddy!!

just save yourself the 1st half sweat if you're nervous and take the Warriors $$$ line -160....
 

DZ

Urban Achiever
Forum Member
Oct 22, 2009
11,819
119
63
310/917
Posted this trend a month ago....... I hope some people were paying attention then.

Keep in mind, the Spurs broke this trend in Game 3 against GS in the WCF. Also, as it pertains to the first post in this thread, this trend only applies if the team down 0-2 is at home. Otherwise, this trend would be 0-2 in the last two games as the Cavs dominated the Celts in the first half of Game 3 of the ECF in Cleveland when they were up 2-0.
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top