Outright plays (2 units):
Gil Morgan to win 20/1 e.w. @ Paddy Power
For a player who has finished 1st or 2nd in three of his last five events, Morgan is a long way down the bookies' lists this week. He would be far more consistent at the moment, but it appears to be a problem of motivation. In his last ten events, when his 1st round has been over-par, he has finished 45th, 46th and 33rd. When it has been under-par, he has finished 7th, 8th, 5th, 2nd, 2nd and 1st. The only missing event is the U.S. Senior Open when a 73 was a good score for the 1st round and he finished 12th. So, if he gets off to a good start, these odds should look rather large as he is playing much better than his average scores at the moment.
Jim Thorpe to win 22/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Thorpe is a player who has played well in the late season and this season is no exception. In the last nine events since July, he has finished in the top-4 five times (1 win) and in the top-10 on two of the remaining four times. So he is certainly playing better than a 22/1 shot and if another edge were needed, then this is his local event. The North Carolina native should have plenty of support this week.
Tom Purtzer to win 28/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Purtzer is another who is playing much better than his odds would suggest. He has finished in the top-10 in six of his last eight starts and is widely available at very much lower odds. He ranks 1st in driving distance and 2nd in greens in regulation this year, so he does appear to have the right game to prosper on virtually any new course.
Gil Morgan to win 20/1 e.w. @ Paddy Power
For a player who has finished 1st or 2nd in three of his last five events, Morgan is a long way down the bookies' lists this week. He would be far more consistent at the moment, but it appears to be a problem of motivation. In his last ten events, when his 1st round has been over-par, he has finished 45th, 46th and 33rd. When it has been under-par, he has finished 7th, 8th, 5th, 2nd, 2nd and 1st. The only missing event is the U.S. Senior Open when a 73 was a good score for the 1st round and he finished 12th. So, if he gets off to a good start, these odds should look rather large as he is playing much better than his average scores at the moment.
Jim Thorpe to win 22/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Thorpe is a player who has played well in the late season and this season is no exception. In the last nine events since July, he has finished in the top-4 five times (1 win) and in the top-10 on two of the remaining four times. So he is certainly playing better than a 22/1 shot and if another edge were needed, then this is his local event. The North Carolina native should have plenty of support this week.
Tom Purtzer to win 28/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Purtzer is another who is playing much better than his odds would suggest. He has finished in the top-10 in six of his last eight starts and is widely available at very much lower odds. He ranks 1st in driving distance and 2nd in greens in regulation this year, so he does appear to have the right game to prosper on virtually any new course.
