Preview & outright plays:
The week before a foreign major and the effect on the field is obvious. Last year, the JP McManus pro-am in Limerick, Ireland has a stronger field than this event. No such embarrassment for the tournament this year, but only one player from the top-25 in the world rankings tees it up at Brown Deer Park (Scott Hoch). There will be less matchups on offer this week than usual, but for the rewards for homework on those less familiar faces will be all the greater!
The course, Brown Deer Park, is one of only three municipal courses on the PGA Tour - Torrey Pines and next week's En-Joie the other two - but is widely acclaimed for being one of the finest public courses in the country. Whether it is of PGA Tour standard is another question. It is extremely short for a Tour course, just over 6,700 yards and is also unusual in that it only has nine par-fours. Basically, despite this being a tree-lined course, it plays rather easy with 24-under-par being the winning score last year. Providing fairways can be found, this turns into a putting contest. No surprise that Loren Roberts has such a good record here!
Hoch heads the lists this week, but it was hard to see him winning an event before this year. To win two weeks in a row is still unthinkable despite him losing the silent "C" before his last name. Another player who is notably overlooked this week is Loren Roberts. He may have a great record in this event, but he has not finished in the top-25 in any event this year since the Sony Open in Hawaii in January. He should do better this week than in previous weeks, but that is too much of a slump to break.
The outright picks instead are Kenny Perry, Frank Lickliter and Jeff Sluman. With three top-10 finishes in his last five events - and 20th and 26th the other two - Perry is in great form at the moment. Having made his debut at Brown Deer Park and secured 3rd place, it is easy to see why he has returned this year and against a weak field a repeat of that performance is certainly on the cards.
Lickliter is another with good current and course form. He has finished in the top-10 in both of the last two weeks and represents a fine return to form after winning the Kemper Open seven weeks ago. The worries over his Sunday nerve are now fading - they did cost him last year as he slipped from 3rd to 9th with a final round 73 - and he looks good for a strong performance, despite being the shortest-priced of the three selections.
As for Sluman, he has a very solid record on this course - just one round over par since 1994 and a former winner of this event as well (1998). He may not be in the same form as the other two selections, but his play has been consistent albeit not matching the two top-3 finishes he achieved earlier in the season. If he can keep the ball on the fairway, he could well make another top-3 finish this week.
Outright plays:
Kenny Perry to win 33/1 e.w. @
Sports.com
Frank Lickliter to win 18/1 e.w. @
BetInternet or
NetBetSports
Jeff Sluman to win 28/1 e.w. @
BetInternet