Green Bay @ Carolina

yyz

Under .500
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Mar 16, 2000
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On the course!
I see a lot of folks jumping on the over with both feet!

I'm not so sure if that is a wise move, but I'll get back to that.

Green Bay is 2-0 based on two great games at home. Carolina is 1-1 in two road games. Today, the tide turns in the home field advantage, as Green Bay heads to Carolina.

You can sense it up here in Wisconsin, and they are buzzing in the locker room about the energy that the Packers have shown. With Favre's receiving core of WR's, TE's, and Green out of the back field, it looks a lot like the hay day of a few years back. He loves to toss the ball to the tight ends, and he has a couple of nice ones to work with this season.

The Packer defense has been a pleasant surprise, even if the masses will say that they have not really been tested yet. I say....they stopped two teams from getting the ball into the endzone!

Looking at the numbers, we have Green Bay giving up 64 yds rushing per game. Carolina gets 90 a game. With numbers like that, Carolina will need to rely on the passing game far too much today.

Carolina has thrown for 235 yards a game, while the Packers give up 149. Weinke will most likely be between those two numbers today. (just under 200, I figure)

On the flip side, Carolina's defense surrenders 115 rushing, and 245 passing. Green Bay gets 170 rushing, and 235 passing.

I certainly can't see Ahman Green pulling off 6+ yds per carry all season, but a sustained running game will kill the hopes of a lot of Packer opponants this season.

Favre and company should move the ball in a very deliberate manner today, mixing the pass and run in a potent way. Carolina does not have what it takes to stop Green Bay. Now, Favre's tendancy to toss interceptions, and Green's ability to lay the ball down, could hurt Green Bay, but there has not been too much of that yet this season.

When the Panthers have the ball, I look for a confident Weinke to lose a bit of that armour today. He has done well so far, and is solid on the third down plays. He will see plenty of those today, but he has not seen this kind of a defense in his young pro carreer. I see enough "3 and outs" from his team today, to render him punchless. Their average at best running game won't bail him out from needing to complete long passes.

All in all, a healthy Packer team is no match for this Carolina team. I see Green Bay moving like a slow, creeping, death over the Panthers today.

At 41, I think the total is too close to call. (But, I took the under in several contests before really digging into the game)

The Packers are the play today, and I recomend taking them for 3 units.

Shop for a good line, as it is around 3' currently. Being a road game, I would buy the hook, just in case. (I don't think you will need it, but......

I might put some cash on the 1st half, but it depends on the line. I will update later in the morning if that happens.

For now, good luck, and better betting!

Green Bay 24
Carolina 13


[This message has been edited by yyz (edited 09-30-2001).]
 

Big Daddy

Registered User
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Apr 30, 2000
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Wisconsin
Couldn't agree more, yyz. My top play of the day. Just went back to add a couple of units at one of my books, and line has jumped to -4 -100. I am sure it is still 3.5 at some books, but like you say, shop around. Good luck.
 

djeze

Mr & Mrs djeze
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Sep 21, 2000
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yyz- I am close to sealing the deal with the Pack- not sold yet. How confident are you?

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I don't have a gambling problem. My bookie calls me at home for marrital advice only.
 

yyz

Under .500
Forum Member
Mar 16, 2000
41,619
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On the course!
Green Bay -3' (Passing on buying the hook) 3 units

Green Bay -1' -110 1st half 3 units

djeze.....I am very confident.

(But I'm not on the field!)

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"You didn't lose your girlfriend.....you just lost your turn!"
 

djeze

Mr & Mrs djeze
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Sep 21, 2000
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GB just went to -4 at wagerstreet. I think that I am going to take them. Thanks for the input... now let's see if they can't piss us off somehow.

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I don't have a gambling problem. My bookie calls me at home for marrital advice only.
 

djv

Registered User
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Nov 4, 2000
13,817
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If I take GB, then I have to play over. One side note. Coach Seifert I think I speled it right. He has a real nack of not loosing to the spread two weeks in a row. So watch those unit plays today. The 3 and 4 you may want to use 1 or 2. GL
 

Aces High

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Forum Member
Jun 9, 2001
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watch it guys, those numbers for this year include last mnf w/redskins. car is better than the skins, and will be pumped for their home opener.

not sold on the pack yet, lets see how they do on the road against a decent team.

i like car and the over, nice little parlay on the side looks like one sweet dish to me.

love the line going up too, thanks.

peace

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ACES HIGH
 

Nittany17

Registered User
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Dec 16, 2000
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Be careful on this one guys ... I think Carolina may win this game outright or at least play the Pack very tough and lose by a FG. Th4e public is going to be on the Packers after easy covers the first 2 weeks. The Panthers are NOT a horrible team.

I doubt I will play the Panthers but I am definitely NOT playing the Packers today.
 

yyz

Under .500
Forum Member
Mar 16, 2000
41,619
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On the course!
A wicked way to piss money away!

GB couldn't get it right in the 1st qtr.

Overall....the game played out as expected.

1-1 -0.30 units
 
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