Handicapping homework for Monday

[buddy]

I admit, I ain't the brightest bulb on the Christmas Tree.

But no matter how hard I think, I can't figure out why a team that has both a worse overall SU/ATS, a worse record versus common opponents plus a very poor recent performance record would be favored in this matchup....and be a road favorite to boot.

citadel -1' vs. VMI

The Citadel's Last 10 Games

2/16/2002 @GA Sou. 86-95 (L) 5 L
2/11/2002 Furman 64-70 (L) -5' L
2/09/2002 @NC-Green 68-81 (L) 7 L
2/04/2002 Charlotte 60-58 (W) 2 W
2/02/2002 @TN-Chat. 77-84 (L) 5' L
1/28/2002 @Furman 75-83 (L) 2' L
1/26/2002 App. St. 74-78 (L) -9 L
1/21/2002 @Charlotte 65-77 (L) 7' L
1/19/2002 TN-Chat. 72-64 (W) -3 W
1/14/2002 GA Sou. 85-80 (W) -2' W


Virginia Military's Last 10 Games

2/16/2002 @NC-Green. 71-74 (L) 13 W
2/11/2002 @TN-Chat. 64-91 (L) 13 L
2/09/2002 @W. Car. 97-91 (W) 7 W
2/04/2002 App. St. 88-81 (W) -1' W
2/02/2002 @Wofford 68-78 (L) 7.5 L
1/30/2002 E. Tenn. 77-96 (L) 3 L
1/26/2002 Furman 76-68 (W) 1' W
1/24/2002 @Vir. 59-93 (L) 25' L
1/21/2002 @App. St. 93-91 (W) 7 W
1/19/2002 Char. 55-63 (L) 8.5 W

 

[fletcher]

buddy i tell you what at this point its not much different looking at the lines and just pick a team with out work,i put in over 60 hours a week and the games a have as strong seem to have to fight their ass off at time ,then the ones i have rated lower seem to blow teams out when i think it should be tight the whole game,this has been a very weird season at least for me its a fight just to get some coin each week and not alot of it,its at the point where i have had to play every dat and i never had to do that in hoops i go 3-4 days aweek tops now at times if i did that i would be in the bread line some weeks ,and still a few weeks it has been that,nothing sucks more then working full time all week to not make money,i have had to hit the tables 2-3 nights a week to either get back money and look for new day and just to win for the week,its not all bad but have had far better seasons then this,hell i am going to the kiss method shot and sweet from here on,its not much of a difference it cant be,why sit in front of this tracker all day and reading paper after paper on net and listening to local shows on net and matching stats and looking for mismatch do to injuries or something ,teams on road a few days back to back road games and shit like that because nothing has been a given this tear except harder work for lesser income,so i see you point nothing is inline all year. hell i even had dogs today

 

[superbook]

Hungry for a win, The Citadel will take to the road with back-to-back games with Georgia Southern and military rival VMI.

The Bulldogs meet the Eagles Saturday at 2 p.m. in Hanner Fieldhouse in Statesboro, Ga., and will then play Monday night at 7 p.m. in Cameron Hall in Lexington, Va.

The lengthy road trip begins Friday afternoon as the team departs from McAlister Field House at 5:15 p.m. After the Georgia Southern game Saturday afternoon, the Bulldogs will bus straight to Lexington. The team will practice at VMI Sunday afternoon and will depart Lexington for Charleston immediately after Monday night's game.

The Citadel (14-10 overall and 6-7 in the league) has dropped six of the last seven games and are knotted with the Eagles for third place in the South Division of the Southern Conference. Georgia Southern, which was picked first in the preseason polls, are 13-11 overall and 6-7 in the conference. Both teams still have a chance at the top two spots in the South Division, which will mean a first-round bye in the upcoming tournament, and both are eager to break the logjam.

The Bulldogs are coming off a 70-64 overtime loss to Furman Monday night in McAlister Field House while Georgia Southern is coming off a 64-56 loss at Davidson Wednesday night at the Belk Arena.

Travis Cantrell continues to pace the Bulldogs in scoring with a 17.4 average. Cliff Washburn, who already owns eighth place on the school's all-time rebounding chart with 606, is 29 points shy of 1,000 for his career. Should he reach that plateau, it would give The Citadel three 1,000-point scorers on the floor at the same time, the first that has happened since Norm Sloan's 1959-60 team when Art Musselman, Dick Wherry and Ray Graves were the first to do it.

Georgia Southern is paced by two quality guards in Sean Peterson (16.4 ppg) and Julius Jenkins (15.0), along with big-man Kashien Latham (11.1, 9.0 rpg).

The Citadel defeated Georgia Southern, 85-80, in Charleston on Jan. 14.

Monday night, The Citadel will face VMI for the only time during the regular season. VMI (9-15, 4-9) features redshirt freshman Jason Conley, who currently leads the NCAA in scoring with over 29 points per game.

 

[buddy]

Fletch and Superbook,

Thanks for the reply.

Fletch, I know what you mean and it aint gonna get any easier with Conference Playoffs right around the corner.

At least for me, anyways.

That is my worst time to wager.

 

[Stewy]

I crunched the #s on this game.

I crunched the #s on this game.

I came out with a 77-77 tie, slight lean toward VMI

Citadel 3-8 away from home
VMI 6-5 @ home

 

[superbook]

Guess now we know why The Citadel was favored.

I should have put on play on them seeing the discrepancy between their record and the line.

 

[buddy]

sb,

you scooped the thoughts right out of my head.

"Vegas does not hand out gifts."

 

[superbook]

You're right.

Good stats on that game and thanks for bringing it to my attention, I wouldn't have looked at that game normally.

Too bad we didn't play it.