Hanna Knightly - Tuesday

[Hanna Knightly]

I'm feeling great about tuesday. In the NBA the Golden State Warriors -3.5 was irresistible to me. Love it.


In baseball, the St. Louis Cardinals && New York Mets are the plays.


St. Louis is nearly unbeatable at home with their 24-7 record. With Michael Wacha pitching and Minnesota struggling, it didn't take too much additional info to make this pick. Following this game in St. Louis, these teams travel to Minnesota to continue playing each other.


New York has beaten Toronto 7 straight times in New York. In fact, on Monday night the Mets even put an end to Toronto's super hot 11 game winning streak. Matt Harvery is pitching for the Mets. He is a right handed pitcher and that is the hand you need to throw with against Toronto. They dominate left handed pitching & are less effective against right handed pitching. The most important bit of info is that this is Toronto. They are bound to have that streak snapped in annoying fashion. (annoying to the fans)


That is all. Good luck everyone. I really feel like Tuesday is an easy 2-1 day waiting to happen but, I'm aiming for a perfect 3-0.

 

[DZ]

Wacha's last start at home vs LAD was a loss as was his last outing on the road in COL, so one could expect this to be a bounce back game for the young righty. Nobody on MIN has had an AB vs Wacha, so that gives him an edge in his first cycle through a slumping Twins lineup that is averaging just 2.85 runs/gm in June and 2.70 runs/gm in their last 10. Meanwhile, STL has allowed a league low 2.87 runs/gm this season. After a concerning start in the strikeouts category with a 5.46 K/9 in his first 9 starts (career 7.82 K/9 in the Majors), Wacha has really picked it up with a 10.24 K/9 over his last three games.

Gibson's metrics over the first two months of the season pegged him as a candidate for a statistical regression and he has done just that over his last two games giving up 4 and 5 ERs to MIL and KC, respectively, with 4 HRs surrendered. From the Cardinals lineup, only Mark Reynolds has had at bats against Gibson, going 1-2 with a strikeout a home run.

If you are looking to bet St. Louis today, it might be a good idea to hold off for now as the line continues to move down from the -185/+175 opener. It looks like a price lower than -170 on the favorite may be widely available pretty soon.

BOL to you today Hanna :toast:

 

[Hanna Knightly]

Wacha's last start at home vs LAD was a loss as was his last outing on the road in COL, so one could expect this to be a bounce back game for the young righty. Nobody on MIN has had an AB vs Wacha, so that gives him an edge in his first cycle through a slumping Twins lineup that is averaging just 2.85 runs/gm in June and 2.70 runs/gm in their last 10. Meanwhile, STL has allowed a league low 2.87 runs/gm this season. After a concerning start in the strikeouts category with a 5.46 K/9 in his first 9 starts (career 7.82 K/9 in the Majors), Wacha has really picked it up with a 10.24 K/9 over his last three games.

Gibson's metrics over the first two months of the season pegged him as a candidate for a statistical regression and he has done just that over his last two games giving up 4 and 5 ERs to MIL and KC, respectively, with 4 HRs surrendered. From the Cardinals lineup, only Mark Reynolds has had at bats against Gibson, going 1-2 with a strikeout a home run.

If you are looking to bet St. Louis today, it might be a good idea to hold off for now as the line continues to move down from the -185/+175 opener. It looks like a price lower than -170 on the favorite may be widely available pretty soon.

BOL to you today Hanna :toast:

Great insight. & 5es, the line dropped down to -170. I decided to submit the bets last night, so missed out. That's okay, I can live with that.

 

[DZ]

Great insight. & 5es, the line dropped down to -170. I decided to submit the bets last night, so missed out. That's okay, I can live with that.

Line value derived from market-reading and price shopping is key to long term success in a ML sport like baseball

Nice job grabbing the GSW line while it was at 3.5. I see it's back up to 4.5 now :0074

 

[Hanna Knightly]

Line value derived from market-reading and price shopping is key to long term success in a ML sport like baseball

Nice job grabbing the GSW line while it was at 3.5. I see it's back up to 4.5 now :0074

The line was -4.5 when it opened and I took the money line. Once it dropped to -3.5 I thought "Okay, you talked me into it" and took that too. That one point could be huge if the game is close.

 

[Brownie]

Keep it up mets. Let's go!!!!!!!

 

[Hanna Knightly]

Both baseball picks end up winning 3-2. & people ask me why I don't bet run lines. Both money lines win for me & now it's up to Golden State -3.5 to finish the day off perfect.

 

[Brownie]

Both baseball picks end up winning 3-2. & people ask me why I don't bet run lines. Both money lines win for me & now it's up to Golden State -3.5 to finish the day off perfect.

NICE WORK, U GOT MY FOLLOW

 

[Ramjet7]

Im a believer. Welcome aboard and thanks for posting

 

[Ramjet7]

By the way... Do u have a white horse?

 

[hammer1]

Both baseball picks end up winning 3-2. & people ask me why I don't bet run lines. Both money lines win for me & now it's up to Golden State -3.5 to finish the day off perfect.

Been doing this 30 plus years and learned early on Run Lines are sucker bets for people with no...... shall we say Cajones.. They are a long term loser. When i first started in this endeavor i had a local 26 years old..dealt only a run line. Taught to him by his dad >> Italian descent. within 2 years he had a Vette a house on a lake and a Strip Club. Dealing Run Lines !!!!! I broke every local book i ever had..But Sal run line wd have broken me.........You seem wise beyond your years. Where the hell were you in my prime.

Continued success. Hammer1

 

[DZ]

Way to close out a 3-0 day. Congrats :toast:

 

[Hanna Knightly]

Thanks everyone