heisman site (good info for betting purposes)

dr. freeze

BIG12 KING
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www.stiffarmtrophy.com

They say Bradford will win. With -300 out there and this site's fairly soild record along with a larger than average sample this year, this is as good a STATISTICAL LOCK as there ever is in sports gambling.

They have Bradford picking up nearly as many 1st place votes and double the 2nd place votes as Tebow with an over-representation of the South which should help Tebow.

USA Today had 6 votes, 5 of which picked Bradford to win it as they published their votes today.

I think this bet is as good as it comes.

Anyone with any evidence otherwise? Betting on this year's Heisman is as good a proposition as I have ever seen.
 

dr. freeze

BIG12 KING
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ended up putting the whole bankroll on this between -300 and -400. Nice little profit!

As this site correctly predicted, Bradford wins with a stastically significant margin while Tebow wins the first place vote tally.

Pay attention to this site in future years. It is as close as a lock as you can find.
 

dr. freeze

BIG12 KING
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-400 to -420 (offshores)

going out on a limb there, no?

If you have a proposition that is statistically -2000 and you can get it for -400, that is extreme value.

This website's formula pretty much has a 2% margin of error with 98% confidence regarding their sample size. This set this up for great value. If it was -1500, I might not have put the farm on it, but -400 was tremendous.
 

IE

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hey, no prob mr freeze...hope you bang all of them,

congrats.

(3 players + the media -2000 ??)
 
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