Here's an interesting thought. . . opinions???

[Nickelback]

Ok, Carib has a lot of props for the FInal Four games. These include special point spreads. Two that are particularly interesting to me are:

Kansas laying 5.5 +170
Maryland LAYING 5.5 +220

So basically if I put $100 on each side, I would come out ahead and do very well as long as the winning team takes the game by six or more points. Obviously if Kansas wins by more than six, I would win $70. . . if Maryland covered, I'd win $120. I think there's a perception that this game will come down to the wire (as indicated by the point spread), but what are the odds that the winning team wins by less than six?

Perhaps this is a stupid idea, but one has gotta like the value if the game isn't as close as every thinks. Given the high total for this game, there should be a lot of offense and its not out of the question that one team pulls ahead or covers this spread during garbage time or late free throws.

Thoughts?!?!

 

[pd1]

I would NEVER make a wager where I could middle myself. I like Kansas, but it could be a very close game, and 5.5 is a lot in a close game.

 

[ZNine]

Nickleback,
I like the idea myself. I Agree with U that this game will be decided by more then 6. Putting yourself "in the middle" can be a bad spot, but either it hits or it doesen't. Just like any other wager, accept for the fact more units might be lost. Don't think that will be the case here though. GL with your decision!!!

-Z9

 

[NT325]

Kinda sounds like a good idea. But as I see it u are putting up
200 to win 70 or 120. Is that it or am I missing something?:shrug:

 

[Nickelback]

NT325,

No, that's it. . . BUT, this is far from being just a normal straight wager. I guess what I need to determine is the odds for one of the sides hitting. I assume its a decent percentage. . . probably around 75%+. Again, this game SHOULD be a high scoring game and certainly a good possibility that the winner comes out ahead by six or more points. There could also be a possible hedge at halftime if the game appears likely to go down to the wire.

I'm still not sure what I'm going to do. . . probably not worthy of a serious wager.

There is another proposition line that I an going to look into:

Team to score first:

Indiana +110. . . probably another pointless wager, but why is this line so one sided for Oklahoma? Sure they may likely win the tip off, but Indiana may still get a shot at scoring first.

Best bet is still OU over Indiana. . . love that line up to 9.

 

[infinii]

Only reason you'd need to hedge at half is if the game is close. Well, which team are you going to wager on? You could still lose your halftime wager in a close game and end up losing all 3 bets.