Hey Superbook

superbook

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Jun 26, 2001
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I'm flattered that you would ask.

This line looks pretty low, actually I was expecting 7 or 7.5.

As you know Yale is the surprise of the Ivy this year, at 7-1 they're ahead of both the Killer P's, and they're the only team in the Ivy in true control of their destiny -- if they win the rest of their games they win the automatic ticket to the big dance (the Ivy is the only conference in Division 1 without a post-season tourney). But they have yet to pay a visit to Princeton and The Palestra.

Yale is 8-2 SU and 7-2 ATS in their L10. The Bulldogs are also 5-0-1 ATS on the road.

Cornell is 1-7 in the Ivy and 1-3 ATS at home. As far as the Ivy is concerned, their season is over. The Big Red are coming off an upset 63-62 home victory over Harvard last Saturday where they gave the Crimson at least 3 chances to win in the last minute.

On paper this looks like an easy win for Yale as IMO Cornell is the worst team in the Ivy.

What concerns me is that Yale is just looking to be 9-1 by Sunday. Their tougher game of the weekend will be played at Columbia on Saturday night, less than 24 hours after they start play in Ithaca. And they've done that four hour bus ride from Ithaca to Manhattan on the two-lane highways before. A little look-ahead?

Also now that Yale is atop the Ivy they're the team that everyone is looking to beat; especially those teams like Cornell whose season is over anyway. Kind of like FIU vs UNLV last night. I think that's what happened to Penn early on in their Ivy games.

Earlier this season, Yale suffered some lapses on the road with a couple of inexecusable losses at Colgate (by 12), at Gardner-Webb (by 10) and at Macalester (by 8). I don't foresee a loss in Ithaca but I wouldn't be surprised if Cornell covers the number.

Yale should beat Cornell by 16 but when the line goes to 7 I'll be on Cornell.

If anyone else has any other thoughts I'd love to hear them.

IMO the better Ivy play is Dartmouth +16 at Princeton.
 

RobertBIrish

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You don't think the loss of Ja'Ron Barnes for Cornell will hurt them he is the 2nd leading scorer and I think with Cornell getting the upset over Harvard might be enough to keep Yale from looking ahead?
 

superbook

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Barnes didn't play in either of Cornell's games last weekend and they did okay without him.

FWIW they were up by double digits vs Dartmouth in the second half and they let the Big Green go on a run to take over the game.

Cornell is a very young team and makes a lot of freshmen mistakes.

Robert -- I don't want to talk you or anyone off of an easy winner but it seems to me that Vegas made the line kind of low on purpose. But I 'm probably wrong and Yale will win by 20.

I see at the concensus site that the majority of the people are on Yale, Columbia, Princeton and Penn. Exactly the opposite of who I would play. I'm probably due to go 0-4.

gl
 

loophole

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just a note to point out that the yale losses to garner-webb and macalester both came in greenville, sc at the poinsetta holiday classic and were the elis' first games after a 16 day layoff for exams and semester break. btw, garner-webb is a pretty good team. i think yale will retain their focus and win tonight in ithaca but like superbook i don't think i would want to lay much more than the six.
 
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