I.E. has posted some stats for the first two months of the NBA season.
His figures say home favs are 127-35 SU, and away favs are 47-26 SU (74%). Now if you dont play favs coming off a 15 or more points win the total for favs are 156-48 (76%).
This to me appears a very high percentage of favourites winning.
ARE THESE STANDARD RESULTS FOR FAVS IN THE NBA OR ARE THEY OVER INFLATED ?
To me if these results are the norm, then loads of money to be made laying the chalk as I am sure the average price for the winning favs is not -300.
example: all favs are -200
204 games X $200 = $40,800 staked
156 wins X $300 = $46,800 returns
PROFIT = $6,000 which is an ROI (returns on investment) of 14.7%
A very nice return for two months work. Now I know all money line favs will not be -200, I only used this figure as an example. But I do believe the average price of the chalk will be around this figure.
Feedback would be welcome. I dont play the NBA that often, but if the above is how it is I for one will play all day and night.
His figures say home favs are 127-35 SU, and away favs are 47-26 SU (74%). Now if you dont play favs coming off a 15 or more points win the total for favs are 156-48 (76%).
This to me appears a very high percentage of favourites winning.
ARE THESE STANDARD RESULTS FOR FAVS IN THE NBA OR ARE THEY OVER INFLATED ?
To me if these results are the norm, then loads of money to be made laying the chalk as I am sure the average price for the winning favs is not -300.
example: all favs are -200
204 games X $200 = $40,800 staked
156 wins X $300 = $46,800 returns
PROFIT = $6,000 which is an ROI (returns on investment) of 14.7%
A very nice return for two months work. Now I know all money line favs will not be -200, I only used this figure as an example. But I do believe the average price of the chalk will be around this figure.
Feedback would be welcome. I dont play the NBA that often, but if the above is how it is I for one will play all day and night.