Honda LPGA Thailand

Stanley

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Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)

Hee-Won Han to win 20/1 e.w. @ Centrebet
One common feature about the Nine Bridges Classic in South Korea was that a home player has won the event every year despite a strong contingent of American LPGA players competing on the Asian leg of the Tour. So with the Tour now adding an event in Thailand to this leg, there appears little reason to deviate from South East Asian players for these two weeks at least. Han does not share the advantage of having time in the region before this event, having played in the Samsung World Championship in California last week, but that is simply a testamount of how good a player she is relative to this field. In terms of the World Rankings, only Cristie Kerr and Mi Hyun Kim rank above her. She is in decent form and typically plays well at the end of the year, winning September in 2004 and October last year and this price is simply too big to ignore. She is a best-price of 16/1 elsewhere.

Jee Young Lee to win 33/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Lee is the 5th best player in this field, according to the World Rankings, but she has had the advantage of returning to South Korea over the past month. She earned her LPGA Tour Card as a result of being a wire-to-wire winner of the Nine Bridges Classic last year and has more than justified her place on this Tour with three top-5 finishes in her last four LPGA Tour starts. But there is more ... she has played in one Korean LPGA Tour event since those LPGA Tour events and she won. With very good recent form on the LPGA Tour and a proven winning record in South East Asia, she should be much lower than 33/1.

Nontaya Srisawang to win 200/1 e.w. @ Tote
Much more speculative here, but these events do throw up winners that have been unheard of outside the region. In the case of Srisawang, that won't be for long. She only graduated from high school this year, but beat several LPGA Tour players to win the 2005 Thailand Ladies Masters and also won the China Women's Open, both times as an amateur. And then two weeks ago she was the medallist in Sectional Qualifying for the LPGA Tour in Venice, Florida. She will now play in the Final Qualifying Tournament next month in order to gain her 2007 LPGA Tour Card, but her performances as an amateur indicate that she may have a reasonable chance of earning her Tour Card this week instead.
 

ridle

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Agree with those - was stunned to see Bluesq initially going 41 for JY Lee- as well as 151 Nirapathpongporn.

For me the following:
1-5:
Srisawang 30/1 Expekt
Phatlum 30/1 Expekt
W/P:
Porani 200/1 Expekt & Top 5 40/1 Expekt
1-4:
Park J 30/1 Centrebet
Reis 80/1 Centrebet
Song A 80/1 Centrebet
Futcher 80/1 Centrebet

Matchup:
Phatlum over Wang @1.9 Centrebet
 

Stanley

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Matchup plays (2pts unless stated):

Sophie Gustafson to beat Laura Davies -171 @ Pinnacle
Short odds on Sophie to win this match, but they could hardly be anything but. Over the last 12 months, she has a 13-0-0 h2h record against Davies on the LPGA Tour and a 16-1-0 h2h record against her in all events over the last 12 months.

Suzann Pettersen to beat Maria Hjorth -111 @ Centrebet
Opposed Hjorth with Meena Lee three weeks ago and paid the price, but will do so again with Pettersen who has a 13-2-1 h2h record against her on the LPGA Tour over the past year. And in terms of their performances in South-East Asia, the advantage also lies with Pettersen. Her sole finish in this region was 6th in the 2003 Nine Bridges Classic, whereas Hjorth's finishes in that event have been 43rd, 57th and 45th, plus she finished 30th in the Singapore Ladies Masters and 26th in the Thailand Ladies Open on the Ladies European Tour last year.

Pornapong Phetlum to beat Chun Wang -118 @ Centrebet [6pts]
Phetlum is certainly one of Thailand's rising young stars and has already made quite an impression in the previous Thai event to be on one of the main Tours: in the 2005 Thailand Ladies Open, which was part of the Ladies European Tour schedule, she was in 4th position after two rounds at the age of just 15 years and 4 months. She struggled over the weekend, but that was to be expected at such an age and she did still finish 17 shots ahead of her Chinese opponent. But she has made good use of the Ladies Asian Golf Tour, which was set up last year, to gain experience and even won the Hong Kong Ladies Masters as an amateur in February. She has since turned professional and recorded top-10 finishes in half her ALGT events - Wang has just one in six events - so should be the strong favourite in this match.
(also available at Five Dimes)
 
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Stanley

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Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 1-2; +10.50pts

Han 1st
Lee 12th
Srisawang 55th

Comfortable five-shot win for Han in the end to finally bring the LPGA outright plays back into profit on the year.

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -12.72pts

Gustafson/Davies LOST by 5
Pettersen/Hjorth LOST by 4
Phatlum/Wang LOST by 7

Continue to struggle with LPGA Tour matchups without any explanation of why this year is so different to previous years. Phatlum was a major disappointment. After promising so much heading into this week, she finished last. And that turned a good result with Han into an overall loss on the event.

LPGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 14-39; +3.33pts
Matchups: 32-30; -20.06pts
 
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