don't be too hung up with public perception, as there are some very strong trends going on with g.b., denver, cinci, s.d., minny, washington, etc.
seems like more than the usual, and the public will be on the strong teams and against the weaker ones. i believe contrarian players (win 1, lose 1, big score, little score) will keep getting burned, at least for now.
as long as the lines don't start being more realistic, the public will be CASHING on these trends.
i am not j.q. public, but am pretty much comitted to g.b., who is only giving 3.5, when it probably should be about 6.5, or maybe higher. there is a very strong trend that started last year, and if anything, they look more impressive than ever. everyone saw the mnf game, and i can't believe this line will stay this low for long. (i only saw the last 10 minutes or so, not enough to be influenced by gb, but enough to see wash in disarray. carolina is an average team which may get better, but this g.b. train looks unstoppable for now.
denver's offensive thrust and baltimore's offensive weakness spell out much more than a few points. same here, the line should be around 7. as far as the post superbowl syndrome, maybe a little bit, but the absence of the strong running back is mostly responsible in my thinking.
as bad as k.c. has performed this year, it looks logical for them to win this game, and whether the 3 points will do it or not, i don't know, but i will probably go with them, and the anti-washington pick. if only k.c. had scored a few more points in their previous games, the line would probably be around -6 or -7. eventually, green and the offense will click, and what better spot than here, with wash being in total disarray.
in conclusion: in my book, it looks like jqp will be cashing this week, and i would not read too much into it.
pep
seems like more than the usual, and the public will be on the strong teams and against the weaker ones. i believe contrarian players (win 1, lose 1, big score, little score) will keep getting burned, at least for now.
as long as the lines don't start being more realistic, the public will be CASHING on these trends.
i am not j.q. public, but am pretty much comitted to g.b., who is only giving 3.5, when it probably should be about 6.5, or maybe higher. there is a very strong trend that started last year, and if anything, they look more impressive than ever. everyone saw the mnf game, and i can't believe this line will stay this low for long. (i only saw the last 10 minutes or so, not enough to be influenced by gb, but enough to see wash in disarray. carolina is an average team which may get better, but this g.b. train looks unstoppable for now.
denver's offensive thrust and baltimore's offensive weakness spell out much more than a few points. same here, the line should be around 7. as far as the post superbowl syndrome, maybe a little bit, but the absence of the strong running back is mostly responsible in my thinking.
as bad as k.c. has performed this year, it looks logical for them to win this game, and whether the 3 points will do it or not, i don't know, but i will probably go with them, and the anti-washington pick. if only k.c. had scored a few more points in their previous games, the line would probably be around -6 or -7. eventually, green and the offense will click, and what better spot than here, with wash being in total disarray.
in conclusion: in my book, it looks like jqp will be cashing this week, and i would not read too much into it.
pep
