==== HPT GOES 6-3-1 YET LOSES POCKET CHANGE YESTERDAY -.35<p>THANK YOU MOOSE ! :moon:<p>HPT FOR THE GAME WENT 3-2 -.95<p>HPT 1ST 5 INN. WENT 3-1-1 +.60 :thumb:<p>REBOUND DAY !!!<p><br>ACCOUNTING:<p>HPT FOR THE GAME: W 169 L 115 SINCE 6/25<br>109-87 SINCE THE BREAK<p>HPT 1ST 5 INN.: W 92 L 72 T 32 SINCE THE BREAK<p><br>TODAY'S HOT PITCHERS:<p><b>MARTINEZ - 8.5<p>ZITO - 9.8<p>CHACON - 9.0</b><p><br>GL2A<p>Marty<p>====
==== HOT PITCHER THEORY THURSDAY 8/25 ====
- Thread starter MAJOR MARTY
- Start date
O.k Marty-
Here is what we got
Mets game Over strongest play based on my numbers- Pedro allowing 39% of baserunners to score last three games and the opposing pitcher has allowed 55%
Rest of leans
Yankees Under and Yankees
Detroit Over but barely-
White Sox
Angels
Tamba Bay Under and Tapa Bay- This is biggest discrepancy on board
Reds and reds team total over
Pittsburgh
Colorado
Now- The thing today I just used the chart on Ny post- However, when I do this normally I use last 5 starts and total innings pitched-
For instance I calculate Runs, WHIP, and Innings pitched-
But I am going to try and use the NYPOST because it is readily avaliable and only takes about 10 minutes to calculate whole card
Now actually plays with this system
Yankees 7% difference
Mets Over Pitchers Allow 39%, 55% of BR to Score
White Sox 7.1% difference
Angels 15% difference
Tampa Bay 15.3 % difference
Tampa Bay Under Kazmir has allowed 15% of BR to score
Reds 24.7% difference
Pirates 8% difference
Treading lightly
Played all for one unit-
Questions let me know
Here is what we got
Mets game Over strongest play based on my numbers- Pedro allowing 39% of baserunners to score last three games and the opposing pitcher has allowed 55%
Rest of leans
Yankees Under and Yankees
Detroit Over but barely-
White Sox
Angels
Tamba Bay Under and Tapa Bay- This is biggest discrepancy on board
Reds and reds team total over
Pittsburgh
Colorado
Now- The thing today I just used the chart on Ny post- However, when I do this normally I use last 5 starts and total innings pitched-
For instance I calculate Runs, WHIP, and Innings pitched-
But I am going to try and use the NYPOST because it is readily avaliable and only takes about 10 minutes to calculate whole card
Now actually plays with this system
Yankees 7% difference
Mets Over Pitchers Allow 39%, 55% of BR to Score
White Sox 7.1% difference
Angels 15% difference
Tampa Bay 15.3 % difference
Tampa Bay Under Kazmir has allowed 15% of BR to score
Reds 24.7% difference
Pirates 8% difference
Treading lightly
Played all for one unit-
Questions let me know
For people who are math literate-
We are doing this
Runs Per Inning / Baserunners per inning = r/br inning * 100%
The goal is to find pitchers or teams who allow baserunners but not runs- as we know that is the key-
In my system I use 25% as average- That would be 2.5 runs per 10 baserunners- Actual average probably could move to 3 per 10. Anything Above that I graph mentally- Looking for outliers and eliminate- Look for consistency- Line of best fit- Then bet accordingly
Jason
We are doing this
Runs Per Inning / Baserunners per inning = r/br inning * 100%
The goal is to find pitchers or teams who allow baserunners but not runs- as we know that is the key-
In my system I use 25% as average- That would be 2.5 runs per 10 baserunners- Actual average probably could move to 3 per 10. Anything Above that I graph mentally- Looking for outliers and eliminate- Look for consistency- Line of best fit- Then bet accordingly
Jason
went 5-0 early on leans
actual plays went 3-0 with reds and white sox which were small dogs winning
So, pull in the night
actual plays went 3-0 with reds and white sox which were small dogs winning
So, pull in the night
JUST GOT HOME FROM WORK ........
JUST GOT HOME FROM WORK ........
==== cisco, THANK YOU SIR FOR THE THUMBS UP !<p>Musca,<p>GREAT WORK SO FAR ............ :hail:<p>LET'S TRY TO WORK OFF OF L3 GAMES, KEEPS IT "SIMPLE" ! <p>MAYBE EVEN THIS OL' TIMER CAN FOLLOW ! LOL !
<p>Marty<p>====
JUST GOT HOME FROM WORK ........
==== cisco, THANK YOU SIR FOR THE THUMBS UP !<p>Musca,<p>GREAT WORK SO FAR ............ :hail:<p>LET'S TRY TO WORK OFF OF L3 GAMES, KEEPS IT "SIMPLE" ! <p>MAYBE EVEN THIS OL' TIMER CAN FOLLOW ! LOL !
<p>Marty<p>====left @3 3-5 for the day IMO highlights why three days hurts this system. Will work them today for 5 games and ny post 3 games... see what we get
Jason
Jason