HP Byron Nelson

DerrickTulips

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5/24/11 6:45pm $220.00 $200.00 PGA Golf 136 Marc Leishman (Tourn) -110* vs Charles Howell III (Tourn)

5/24/11 6:30pm $140.00 $100.00 5/26/11 8:00am PGA Golf 125 Blake Adams (Tourn) -140* vs Tom Gillis (Tourn)
 

Dallasbetgolf

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For the first time in my life, I had golf ball sized hail at my house last night which I am taking as a great omen from the golf gods. Last year I had back to back winners at both Colonial and the Nelson, and I am planning on a repeat.
The forecast for the rest of the week is perfect.
It's a pretty weak field with Kuchar being the only top ten ranked guy in it. Most of the tour players really don't like this course, with local Hunter Mahan even saying so in the press the other day.
Most of the tip guys are liking Watney, Johnson, and last years winner, Day, but their odds are just too low for me, so here I go.....

Sabbatini 25-1 win, 12 1/2 place, 6-1 show

Gay 30-1 win, 15-1 place, 7 1/2 show

Verplank 40-1 win, 20-1 place, 10-1 show

Leishman 50-1 win, 25-1 place, 12 1/2 show

Davis 60-1 win, 30-1 place, 15-1 show

Just for grins keep an eye on our 17 year old local phenom Jordan Spieth who is the number 2 ranked junior in the country. Last year at the Nelson he was 3 shots behind the leader going into the back nine on Sunday. He ended up tied for 16th as a 16 year old. Good stuff.

As alway, good luck to all!
 

Stanley

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Round 1 play (2pts):

Matt Kuchar to beat Nick Watney +100 @ Pinnacle and Bet365 [available generally]
Opposing Watney who has a poor record in this event and in Texas generally. He has opted not to play in this event in each of the last two years, but before that his finishes here had been: mc, 61st, mc, 31st. In the 13 previous times that he has played in Texas, he has yet to record a top-10 finish. Kuchar has recorded top-10 finishes in six of his 23 previous starts in this State and has yet to miss the cut in three previous starts in this event. With little to separate them in terms of recent form, Kuchar is the player who should be favourite in this State, at least.

[unofficial rd1 system play: Jobe tb Stroud +100]
 

Another Steve

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Conlonial was Great. I got to Play Colonial on Monday with the same pins and conditions. Have never scamed by way into that before. Only got 16 hole in before the rain. Played bad but I Played.

4 Round Match Ups
M LEISHMAN +125 (M LEISHMAN vrs F JACOBSON)
M LEISHMAN +125 (C HOWELL III vrs M LEISHMAN)
R SABBATINI -130 (B CRANE vrs R SABBATINI)

1st Round Match Ups
S VERPLANK (1RD) -105 (S VERPLANK (1RD) vrs C HOFFMAN (1RD))
B GAY (1RD) -145 (R PALMER (1RD) vrs B GAY (1RD))

Outrights
BEN CRANE +4000
BRIAN GAY +3000
MARC LEISHMAN +5000
RORY SABBATINI +2500
 

DerrickTulips

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Im on the leishman play also, I got a horrid line. I am shocked by how much that line and the Gillis line moved.

I also have Hoffman +105 over Sergio and his hurt fingernail
 

DerrickTulips

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KJ Choi is talking about tremendous fatigue and jet lag, should be interesting to see .

They said Sergio had to WD from the Wed pro am for the same finger issue. Should be interesting.
 

Another Steve

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2nd Round Match Ups

B GAY (2RD) -120 (R PALMER (2RD) vrs B GAY (2RD))
A KIM (2RD) -130 (J LEONARD (2RD) vrs A KIM (2RD))
D JOHNSON (2RD) -120 (KJ CHOI (2RD) vrs D JOHNSON (2RD))
R SABBATINI (2RD) -110 (R SABBATINI (2RD) vrs J DAY (2RD))
 

Stanley

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Round 2 play (2pts):

Sergio Garcia to beat Marc Leishman -120 @ Boyle Sports
Easy to oppose a player who ranked last in fairways hit yesterday - he hit only three all day. With that lack of control off the tee, it will be an effort for Leishman to make the cut today - it would be his fourth missed cut in six events. Sergio, meanwhile, continues his steady return to his former self - he has finished in the top-35 in every start over the last seven months and ended the 1st round in 3rd place. A former winner of this event (2004), this really should be as easy as it gets apart from one issue - the fingernail infection that caused him to pull out of Monday's qualifying for the Open Championship. He didn't play on either Tuesday or Wednesday, but the cream and antibiotics appear to have worked and every new day should see an improvement in that ailment.

[unofficial rd2 system play: Singh tb Kim A -125]
 

Stanley

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Round 3 play (2pts):

Keegan Bradley to beat Josh Teater +100 @ Paddy Power [available generally]
Two players who have had very similar weeks so far, but have tended to have different trajectories at the weekend this year - Bradley has never been beaten by Teater in the 3rd round either this year or in any previous year. Teater ranks 176th (of 185) in 3rd round scoring this year, which helps to explain why he is outside the top-150 in scoring average. He is currently on the bubble for the Money List for retaining his Tour Card in 2012 basically because no-one else has played in more events this year than Teater. Currently 8th, this could make (or break) his season and that pressure tends to lead to a poor performance. Bradley should finish ahead of him yet again.

[unofficial rd3 system play: Stanley tb Bowditch +110]
 

Stanley

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Round 4 play (4pts):

Nick Watney to beat Dustin Johnson -125 @ 5Dimes, Bet365 and Carib [available generally]
Johnson came back into contention yesterday as he shot 69 in the much easier morning conditions - he teed off at 8:48am - whereas Watney started the day in 5th place and played in the worst of the conditions - no player in the last 15 groups that teed off Saturday managed to shoot a round under par. In the last five groups, the collective score was 33-over-par. The weather will be much the same today, but this time Watney and Johnson will be facing the same conditions and Watney is the far better play in wind. He is also playing far better than Johnson - Watney ranks 7th in Scoring Average this year; Johnson 98th - and has finished behind him just once this year. This h2h dominance should continue today.

[unofficial rd4 system plays: Jobe tb Collins -110; Bradley K tb Speith -125; Palmer tb Imada -125; Rollins tb Imada +105; Singh tb Taylor -124; Rollins tb Atwal -120; Quinney tb Gordon -150]
 

Chip Hilton

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HP Byron Nelson Championship

HP Byron Nelson Championship

Fourth Round Matchups for 18 holes only --

(late afternoon matchups)


Four Units :

12:39 - Jeff Overton over Rod Pampling @ - 125. Push.


Three Units :

12:57 - Gary Woodland over Ryan Palmer @ - 140. Lost by 9.


Two Units :

12:57 - Matt Kuchar over Sergio Garcia @ - 155. Won by 5.


One Unit :

12.57 - Matt Kuchar over Ryan Palmer @ - 135. Push.

.
 
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